Politics

$566.2K Vol.2 months left

$44.3M Vol.2 months left

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$4.0M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$617.0K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%chance

$74.5M Vol.2 months left

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202769%
November 30, 202763%

$8.8M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu95%
Ilie Bolojan<1%

$5.4M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?

220-23910%
240-25910%

$60.2K Vol.weekly

Next Press Secretary?

Scott Jennings16%
Anna Kelly14%

$107.0K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)59%
Joe Lombardo (R)42%

$481.7K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

25%chance

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%
December 31, 20263%

$29.4M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.7M Vol.2 months left

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)93%
Andy Biggs (R)7%

$180.8K Vol.

Next leader out of power before 2027?

None before 202756%
Netanyahu - Israel PM29%

$1.2M Vol.annual

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%56%
Iotova 40%+19%

$58.7K Vol.

NC-11 House Election Winner

Jamie Ager (D)79%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)18%

$57.2K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party96%
Republican Party2%

$44.9K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar68%
Likud32%

$941.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.8M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

TX-06 House Election Winner

Jake Ellzey (R)98%
Danny Minton (D)2%

$115.1K Vol.

Will Ilhan Omar be deported by...?

June 30, 202716%
December 31, 20263%

$36.7K Vol.

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 3130%
November 3020%

$1.6M Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)91%
John E. Sununu (R)11%

$362.4K Vol.

US imports Russian diesel by...?

November 3032%
October 313%

$288.2K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

<1%chance

$154.3K Vol.13 days left

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)41%

$2.3M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro71%
Delcy Rodríguez25%

$98.4M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?

KFC / Chicken10%
Maduro6%

$35.2K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$131.5K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry99%
Ken Sim1%

$303.6K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton5%

$42.0M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

12%chance

$15.0M Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China76%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.9M Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2443%
<2025%

$571.0K Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an62%
Puma Shen38%

$1.2M Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow75%
Brad Bradford25%

$424.7K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$27.4M Vol.2 months left

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.8M Vol.

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3125%
October 317%

$429.0K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)67%
Jon Husted (R)33%

$1.3M Vol.

Richmond Mayoral Election

Rob Howard91%
Kash Heed7%

$53.0K Vol.

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$298.1K Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez16%

$1.9M Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$27.6K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić68%
Ilija Srdanović23%

$1.4M Vol.

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

$398.1K Vol.2 months left

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)83%
Max Miller (R)17%

$109.2K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%60%
Remain 20–40%26%

$50.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%34%
5-6%28%

$18.6K Vol.

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

34%chance

$219.6K Vol.2 months left

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$646.9K Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%26%
Below 4.6%23%

$410.3K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%
Ulf Kristersson17%

$10.2M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula66%
Flavio Bolsonaro35%

$96.8K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$216.7K Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$112.4K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$87.7K Vol.

Ilhan Omar arrested by...?

December 3112%
October 315%

$37.4K Vol.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202742%
June 30, 202732%

$2.9M Vol.

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

June 30, 202756%
March 31, 202736%

$2.0M Vol.

TN-07 House Election Winner

$54.7K Vol.

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 18>99%
October 2198%

$2.1M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan26%

$1.4M Vol.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

June 30, 202750%
December 3114%

$4.3M Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)93%
John James (R)6%

$338.3K Vol.

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3120%
October 319%

$85.5K Vol.

NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%17%
Republican 0-10%16%

$27.2K Vol.

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

26%chance

$195.7K Vol.2 months left

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)73%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$450.6K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4740%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula76%
Flavio Bolsonaro23%

$66.2K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Winner

Chris McGowan (R)96%
David Dawson (D)<1%

$65.7K Vol.

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3117%
October 315%

$316.6K Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202725%
December 3112%

$27.5M Vol.

CO-03 House Election Winner

Jeff Hurd (R)70%
Dwayne Romero (D)29%

$31.7K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.6M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro67%
Lula34%

$112.1K Vol.

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 202610%

$272.7K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$308.9K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland12%
Syria6%

$1.8M Vol.

$20.3K Vol.

Surrey Mayoral Election

Doug McCallum99%
Brenda Locke1%

$49.8K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202712%

$742.1K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$260.8K Vol.

Who will be the next US Ambassador to Greece?

Josh Huck11%
Geoffrey Pyatt10%

$13.8K Vol.

Ljubljana Mayoral Election Winner

Zoran Janković63%
Luka Mesec22%

$33.1K Vol.

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 202722%
December 31, 20262%

$752.7K Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$90.5K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$565.5K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)95%
Doug Jones (D)5%

$48.7K Vol.

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

$309.8K Vol.2 months left

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud69%
Yashar31%

$30.1K Vol.

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202713%

$6.0M Vol.

Tlaxcala Governor Election Winner

$85.6K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)97%
Nancy Mannion (D)4%

$64.0K Vol.

Kelowna Mayoral Election

Tom Dyas92%
Ron Cannan2%

$35.7K Vol.

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

10%chance

$44.9K Vol.8 months left

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson77%
David Eby23%

$175.6K Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$24.1M Vol.2 months left

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State4%

$40.2M Vol.

France United Left Primary Winner

Canceled97%
Clémentine Autain<1%

$251.6K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.16 days left

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

11%chance

$45.7K Vol.2 months left

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Talarico 0-3%32%
Paxton 0-3%30%

$43.0K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

$11.8M Vol.2 months left

Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

November 3057%
October 3131%

$139.4K Vol.

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

$11.4K Vol.15 days left

Kamloops, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Mike O'Reilly97%
Reid Hamer-Jackson1%

$51.1K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$75.0K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

200+24%
160-17916%

$5.7K Vol.daily

Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?

1000+98%
960-999<1%

$393.6K Vol.daily

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

140-15931%
120-13927%

$42.1K Vol.daily

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

161%
230%

$70.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$442.5K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$391.1K Vol.1 day left

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S + MP19%
S18%

$107.5K Vol.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3196%
October 3195%

$895.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco

Lula99%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$6.6K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui62%
Lee Shu-chuan38%

$121.5K Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$618.1K Vol.2 months left

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 3126%
November 3014%

$658.2K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

90%chance

$73.5K Vol.9 days left

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

JD Vance92%
Other5%

$7.6K Vol.

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

17%chance

$17.3K Vol.13 days left

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)3%

$101.5K Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202636%
November 30, 202624%

$759.5K Vol.

NC-01 House Election Winner

Don Davis (D)72%
Laurie Buckhout (R)29%

$38.9K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman53%
Karen Bass47%

$15.4M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana14%

$66.1K Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$74.9K Vol.2 months left

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Rishi Sharma86%
Zac de Vries6%

$61.1K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 80%
David Jolly (D)21%

$301.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%
Gadi Eizenkot16%

$75.2K Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

86%chance

$39.4K Vol.6 days left

TN-04 House Election Winner

$133.6K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez42%
Gavin Newsom26%

$82.5K Vol.

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Miloš Vučević34%
Ana Brnabić20%

$89.8K Vol.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

14%chance

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe39%

$386.5K Vol.

Gyanesh Kumar out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?

25%chance

$25.4K Vol.2 months left

IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%26%
Democrat 20-25%23%

$18.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Flavio Bolsonaro>99%
Lula<1%

$5.3K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%31%
↓ 30%24%

$89.9K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD94%
UDMR11%

$82.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro91%
Lula4%

$20.2K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Cooper 12-15%25%
Cooper 9-12%23%

$21.9K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)88%
Zach Lahn (R)13%

$257.8K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei49%
Axel Kicillof30%

$955.3K Vol.

Macron out by...?

$50.9K Vol.2 months left

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz85%
Professora Maria do Carmo14%

$83.4K Vol.

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 3196%
October 3192%

$67.7K Vol.

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?

↑ 70%34%
↑ 80%18%

$5.6K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Iowa72%
Kansas70%

$113.4K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

23%chance

$11.0K Vol.43 days left

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat96%
PSD3%

$352.3K Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3125%
October 315%

$6.7M Vol.

NC-13 House Election Winner

Brad Knott (R)87%
Paul Barringer (D)13%

$13.3K Vol.

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%77%
↓ 36%71%

$13.2K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

100-11925%
120-13919%

$24.8K Vol.daily

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 312%

$4.3M Vol.

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

$847.1K Vol.2 months left

$8.3K Vol.15 days left

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$805.4K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election: Turnout

62-66%42%
66-70%41%

$22.3K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp89%
Stefan Evers9%

$242.8K Vol.

Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Melissa Granum98%
George Harvie2%

$31.2K Vol.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic64%
Republican35%

$2.5M Vol.

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

November 3048%
October 3140%

$17.5K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together85%
The Democrats6%

$72.4K Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets October 19 - October 21, 2026?

40-6430%
65-8930%

$3.0K Vol.daily

Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

$257.7K Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

84%chance

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Kaitlan Collins90%
J.B. Pritzker69%

$142.3K Vol.monthly

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD94%
Other2%

$102.1K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire

Dems sweep66%
Reps MI, Dems MN & NH21%

$13.9K Vol.

Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner

Philip Brown51%
Daniel Mullen10%

$20.0K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$905.7K Vol.

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan22%
Mahmoud Khalil18%

$506.9K Vol.

Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

120-13929%
100-11923%

$2.8K Vol.daily

Zelenskyy # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

80-9947%
100-11933%

$7.6K Vol.daily

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe30%

$18.9K Vol.

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

7%chance

$159.9K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin83%
Mohammed bin Salman80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)68%
Adam Hamilton (D)33%

$6.3K Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

$186.5K Vol.2 months left

$3.6M Vol.2 months left

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Rebeca Grynspan37%
Rafael Grossi20%

$228.9K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R)77%
Fred Wellman (D)23%

$68.7K Vol.

Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%20%
Democrat 15-20%19%

$24.5K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Winner

Elaine Luria (D)90%
Jen Kiggans (R)10%

$57.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)64%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$917.4K Vol.

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?

98%chance

$18.7K Vol.1 year left

CT-05 House Election Winner

Jahana Hayes (D)96%
Chris Shea (R)4%

$11.7K Vol.

Whistler, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Jack Crompton>99%
Brandon Smith<1%

$15.3K Vol.

Revelstoke, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Taha Attiah87%
Gary Sulz20%

$33.4K Vol.

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-734%
8-931%

$14.8K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Jackson 0-3%25%
Jackson 3-6%22%

$11.8K Vol.

NV-01 House Election Winner

Dina Titus (D)96%
Carrie Buck (R)4%

$35.1K Vol.

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time58%
60+24%

$924.4K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Winner

Greg Landsman (D)94%
Eric Conroy (R)5%

$54.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Yaron Zelekha20%

$50.7K Vol.

South Carolina Governor Election Winner

$26.7K Vol.

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202740%
Susie Wiles23%

$133.8K Vol.annual

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Raman 0-4%24%
Bass 0-4%20%

$22.0K Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Li Xi5%
Wang Huning5%

$256.3K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund73%
Sven Schulze3%

$475.6K Vol.

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

89%chance

$4.8K Vol.15 days left

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

11%chance

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

January 31, 202767%
January 15, 202739%

$864.8K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

4.4M-4.6M38%
3.6M-3.8M28%

$12.2K Vol.

West Vancouver, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Kirk LaPointe>99%
Mark Sager<1%

$12.4K Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3132%
November 3026%

$419.8K Vol.

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

December 3113%
October 312%

$15.6K Vol.

Next President of the National Rally in 2026?

Jordan Bardella>99%
Jean-Philippe Tanguy<1%

$42.7K Vol.

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 2597%
October 2097%

$58.3K Vol.monthly

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$1.3M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula62%
Flavio Bolsonaro37%

$102.1K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

Otzma Yehudit35%
The Democrats31%

$11.8K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)75%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 25%

$578.1K Vol.

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?

97%chance

$3.5K Vol.15 days left

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

290K-305K37%
320K+22%

$17.0K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson59%
Cadu de Lula41%

$77.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

540%
422%

$12.9K Vol.

NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%27%
Democrat 60-65%24%

$19.0K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

James Comer57%
Thomas Massie14%

$2.9K Vol.

AR-02 House Election Winner

French Hill (R)83%
Chris Jones (D)18%

$41.8K Vol.

Coquitlam, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Craig Hodge99%
Trish Mandewo1%

$22.0K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)86%
Mike Rogers (R)7%

$4.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$9.8K Vol.

Prince George, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Garth Frizzell99%
Kyle Sampson2%

$23.5K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Winner

Charlie Hatcher (R)94%
Chaz Molder (D)6%

$73.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

14%chance

$9.8K Vol.9 days left

New Westminster, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Daniel Fontaine61%
Patrick Johnstone2%

$12.9K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Pete Buttigieg34%
Rahm Emanuel24%

$1.2M Vol.

Zelenskyy # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?

80-9942%
100-11931%

$1.8K Vol.daily

Texas Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Dan Patrick (R)74%
Vikki Goodwin (D)27%

$12.5K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 10-15%5%
Ruas 15-20%4%

$43.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

60%chance

$6.2K Vol.9 days left

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Linke90%
SPD77%

$24.5K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

463%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

3.25-3.75%46%
2.75-3.25%32%

$8.0K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova97%
Andrey Gyurov3%

$19.6K Vol.

CZ # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

20-3982%
<2015%

$10.7K Vol.daily

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

Grüne96%
SPD96%

$25.5K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%67%
≥ 4.5%13%

$7.1M Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats66%
Yashar59%

$62.5K Vol.

White House # posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+96%
180-1993%

$11.4K Vol.daily

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

18%chance

$176.0K Vol.2 months left

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Kansas24%
Iowa21%

$24.3K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California98%

$434.9K Vol.

NYC Mayor # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

20-3996%
40-596%

$3.8K Vol.daily

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

9%chance

$752.7K Vol.2 months left

Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

70%chance

$19.6K Vol.2 months left

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Hamilton Wins38%
Marshall 0-5%36%

$14.7K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 0-3%34%
Peltola 3-6%34%

$18.6K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova89%
Аndrey Gyurov12%

$1.2M Vol.

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3183%
November 3076%

$406.5K Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Yulia Navalnaya11%
Elon Musk9%

$18.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Tally Gotliv14%

$52.1K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska

Reps sweep39%
Dems IA & KS, Ind NE18%

$3.4K Vol.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Steve Witkoff34%
Jared Kushner32%

$1.5M Vol.

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

3.25M-3.5M22%
3.5M-3.75M19%

$11.4K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Turnout

7.75M-8M31%
9M+19%

$17.6K Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

John Healey6%
Douglas Alexander6%

$138.0K Vol.

Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?

Nobody47%
Pete Hegseth24%

$2.2K Vol.

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$356.3K Vol.

Langley Township, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Jay Lundgren99%
Eric Woodward<1%

$7.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$141.4K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 15%+35%
Aziz 10-15%27%

$7.4K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)87%
Michele Tafoya (R)14%

$276.2K Vol.

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 3184%
October 3124%

$466.0K Vol.

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Morena88%
PAN7%

$109.8K Vol.

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

23%chance

$20.7K Vol.2 months left

OK-05 House Election Winner

Stephanie Bice (R)89%
Jena Nelson (D)13%

$26.1K Vol.

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

$240.5K Vol.2 months left

$55.0K Vol.2 months left

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

James Talarico (D)52%
Ken Paxton (R)48%

$9.3K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

62-64%40%
64-66%28%

$3.4K Vol.weekly

CZ # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

20-3952%
<2024%

$8.0K Vol.daily

WI-01 House Election Winner

Bryan Steil (R)62%
Mitchell Berman (D)39%

$19.7K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro95%
Delcy Rodriguez74%

$77.8K Vol.monthly

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE17%

$115.5K Vol.

What will be in the UK Budget?

CGT increase28%
Fuel duty increase12%

$14.8K Vol.

ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%22%
Republican 25-30%20%

$16.1K Vol.

Ukraine election held by...?

4%chance

Netanyahu out by...?

38%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

US files Ilhan Omar denaturalization case by...?

March 3128%
December 3111%

$7.1K Vol.

Will Russia invade another country by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 20267%

$609.3K Vol.

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 50-55%19%
Republican 40-45%17%

$24.8K Vol.

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Democrats75%
Republicans27%

$36.7K Vol.

OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%31%
Democrat 25-30%18%

$33.1K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Jackson 3-6%33%
Collins 0-3%20%

$20.6K Vol.

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

8%chance

$135.1K Vol.2 months left

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$243.1K Vol.

Chihuahua Congress Election Winner

Morena47%
PAN23%

$7.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout

72-74%40%
74%+25%

$3.7K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$66.8K Vol.

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

December 31, 20268%
November 2, 2026<1%

$48.9K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

$113.7K Vol.

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$186.6K Vol.

NATO downs another Russian drone by...?

81%chance

$6.0K Vol.13 days left

New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+50%
Democrat 18-21%24%

$13.4K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%31%
Democrat 15-20%22%

$19.7K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%32%
Republican 15-20%28%

$13.2K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?

$35.5K Vol.13 days left

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

8%chance

$8.7K Vol.2 months left

Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027?

61%chance

$44.5K Vol.8 months left

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

800K-900K43%
900K-1M24%

$9.0K Vol.

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

26%chance

$5.0K Vol.15 days left

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

$94.1K Vol.

VA-06 House Election Winner

Ben Cline (R)94%
Beth Macy (D)7%

$121.7K Vol.

Trump approval rating on October 23?

38.5–38.935%
38.0–38.427%

$3.7K Vol.weekly

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Ursula von der Leyen94%
Friedrich Merz94%

$215.3K Vol.monthly

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

18%chance

$5.6K Vol.15 days left

Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%29%
Republican 20-25%24%

$9.8K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%30%
Democrat 20-25%24%

$10.7K Vol.

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

35%chance

$620.9 Vol.21 hours left

TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%28%
Republican 25-30%26%

$21.6K Vol.

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

December 3176%
October 31<1%

$141.7K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)10%

$232.4K Vol.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party71%
Republican Party20%

$10.6K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

Mike Rogers (R)60%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)33%

$7.6K Vol.

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Ken Calvert55%
Young Kim44%

$17.2K Vol.

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3%+95%
Republican 0-3%3%

$64.2K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$546.8K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Abbott 6-9%21%
Abbott 3-6%20%

$11.3K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

70%chance

$9.1K Vol.5 months left

NC-09 House Election Winner

Richard Hudson (R)82%
Richard Ojeda (D)19%

$31.8K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)77%
Adam Hamilton (D)23%

$1.0K Vol.

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$409.0K Vol.2 months left

Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?

November 305%
October 312%

$28.9K Vol.

US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?

December 3142%
November 3022%

$261.3K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

94%chance

$10.7K Vol.13 days left

TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%36%
Democrat 55-60%20%

$10.6K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear88%
Ted Cruz83%

$116.7K Vol.

California Governor Election: Turnout

13M-13.5M24%
14M-14.5M20%

$10.5K Vol.

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

4%chance

$74.7K Vol.2 months left

CO-05 House Election Winner

Jeff Crank (R)75%
Jessica Killin (D)26%

$22.5K Vol.

TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%45%
Republican 15-20%18%

$12.3K Vol.

Vernon, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Kari Gares97%
Victor Cumming3%

$6.1K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)61%
Mike Lawler (R)41%

$69.2K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

205-20927%
Below 19024%

$334.9K Vol.

South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%25%
Republican 20-25%22%

$20.7K Vol.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am94%
RZP-Zehut87%

$15.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep73%
Reps sweep14%

$63.3K Vol.

Russia coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202712%
December 31, 20263%

$149.7K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%47%
5-6%38%

$12.3K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%19%
Democrat 3-6%18%

$19.2K Vol.

New York Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%24%
Democrat 10-15%21%

$10.1K Vol.

Trump goes to space in 2026?