All markets
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?
20%chance
- Yes20%
Outcomes
- Yes20%
20.0¢ per share
- No80%
80.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 20¢Spread 18¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 59.54 | $6.55 |
| 10¢ | 255.09 | $25.51 |
| 7¢ | 6.82 | $0.48 |
| 5¢ | 9.82 | $0.49 |
| 4¢ | 60 | $2.40 |
| 3¢ | 471 | $14.13 |
| 2¢ | 504.84 | $10.10 |
| 1¢ | 1,694.6 | $16.95 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 29¢ | 88.35 | $25.62 |
| 30¢ | 100 | $30.00 |
| 42¢ | 72 | $30.24 |
| 43¢ | 500 | $215.00 |
| 45¢ | 31.47 | $14.16 |
| 46¢ | 18.05 | $8.30 |
| 73¢ | 30 | $21.90 |
| 74¢ | 60 | $44.40 |
| 83¢ | 5 | $4.15 |
| 89¢ | 20 | $17.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.