All markets
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
3%chance
- Yes2.6%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.6¢ per share
- No97%
97.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.6¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5¢ | 5.1 | $0.13 |
| 2.2¢ | 1,006.73 | $22.15 |
| 2.1¢ | 1,007.72 | $21.16 |
| 2¢ | 1,698.1 | $33.96 |
| 1.8¢ | 225.1 | $4.05 |
| 1.7¢ | 883 | $15.01 |
| 1.6¢ | 1,072.1 | $17.15 |
| 1.5¢ | 445 | $6.68 |
| 1.4¢ | 10,763.02 | $150.68 |
| 1.3¢ | 1,688.48 | $21.95 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7¢ | 2,317.69 | $62.58 |
| 2.8¢ | 35.56 | $1.00 |
| 2.9¢ | 10,705.25 | $310.45 |
| 3.1¢ | 647.67 | $20.08 |
| 3.4¢ | 925.91 | $31.48 |
| 3.5¢ | 8,888 | $311.08 |
| 3.6¢ | 5 | $0.18 |
| 3.7¢ | 414.72 | $15.34 |
| 4.2¢ | 222 | $9.32 |
| 4.5¢ | 11,411 | $513.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a referendum on Alberta's independence from Canada is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any referendum that establishes Alberta's desire for independence, sets a framework for independence, or establishes independence from Canada will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Alberta, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.