All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
14%chance
- Yes13.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
13.5¢ per share
- No87%
86.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13¢ | 1,547.34 | $201.15 |
| 12¢ | 119 | $14.28 |
| 11¢ | 108 | $11.88 |
| 10¢ | 50 | $5.00 |
| 8¢ | 5 | $0.40 |
| 7¢ | 71.4 | $5.00 |
| 6¢ | 91 | $5.46 |
| 5¢ | 95 | $4.75 |
| 4¢ | 20,260 | $810.40 |
| 3¢ | 600 | $18.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14¢ | 368 | $51.52 |
| 15¢ | 555.21 | $83.28 |
| 16¢ | 303 | $48.48 |
| 17¢ | 90 | $15.30 |
| 18¢ | 44 | $7.92 |
| 19¢ | 212 | $40.28 |
| 20¢ | 1,870.17 | $374.03 |
| 21¢ | 180.78 | $37.96 |
| 22¢ | 178 | $39.16 |
| 23¢ | 218 | $50.14 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.