All markets
NATO article 5 before 2027?
5%chance
- Yes5.5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.5¢ per share
- No95%
94.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.5¢Spread 0.9¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 9,813.26 | $490.66 |
| 4.9¢ | 44.94 | $2.20 |
| 4.7¢ | 174.1 | $8.18 |
| 4.6¢ | 689.82 | $31.73 |
| 4.4¢ | 51.13 | $2.25 |
| 4¢ | 30,000 | $1,200.00 |
| 3.9¢ | 50 | $1.95 |
| 3.2¢ | 1,172.24 | $37.51 |
| 3.1¢ | 10 | $0.31 |
| 3¢ | 284.91 | $8.55 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9¢ | 100 | $5.90 |
| 6¢ | 17.8 | $1.07 |
| 6.1¢ | 34.12 | $2.08 |
| 6.2¢ | 60.28 | $3.74 |
| 6.7¢ | 100 | $6.70 |
| 6.8¢ | 200 | $13.60 |
| 6.9¢ | 100 | $6.90 |
| 7¢ | 100 | $7.00 |
| 7.2¢ | 156.37 | $11.26 |
| 8¢ | 300 | $24.00 |
Rules
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.