All markets
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
14%chance
- Yes14.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
14.5¢ per share
- No86%
85.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 14.5¢Spread 5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12¢ | 46.66 | $5.60 |
| 11¢ | 55 | $6.05 |
| 10¢ | 749.95 | $75.00 |
| 9¢ | 137.93 | $12.41 |
| 8¢ | 86.99 | $6.96 |
| 7¢ | 497.2 | $34.80 |
| 6¢ | 553.3 | $33.20 |
| 5¢ | 700 | $35.00 |
| 4¢ | 881.25 | $35.25 |
| 3¢ | 1,532.1 | $45.96 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 17¢ | 4.3 | $0.73 |
| 20¢ | 40 | $8.00 |
| 25¢ | 15 | $3.75 |
| 37¢ | 82.77 | $30.62 |
| 47¢ | 100 | $47.00 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
| 60¢ | 20 | $12.00 |
| 64¢ | 20 | $12.80 |
| 77¢ | 8 | $6.16 |
| 78¢ | 10 | $7.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.