All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?
46%chance
- Yes45.5%
Outcomes
- Yes46%
45.5¢ per share
- No55%
54.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 45.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 45¢ | 728 | $327.60 |
| 44¢ | 1,075.11 | $473.05 |
| 43¢ | 435 | $187.05 |
| 42¢ | 354.99 | $149.10 |
| 41¢ | 60 | $24.60 |
| 39¢ | 72 | $28.08 |
| 32¢ | 212 | $67.84 |
| 30¢ | 145.59 | $43.68 |
| 29¢ | 126.1 | $36.57 |
| 28¢ | 134.99 | $37.80 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 46¢ | 930.25 | $427.92 |
| 47¢ | 866.94 | $407.46 |
| 48¢ | 316 | $151.68 |
| 50¢ | 120 | $60.00 |
| 51¢ | 60 | $30.60 |
| 52¢ | 119.98 | $62.39 |
| 57¢ | 60 | $34.20 |
| 69¢ | 10 | $6.90 |
| 72¢ | 5 | $3.60 |
| 74¢ | 150 | $111.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.