All markets
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
10%chance
- Yes9.9%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
9.9¢ per share
- No90%
90.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9.9¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.4¢ | 208.05 | $19.56 |
| 9.3¢ | 3,735.54 | $347.41 |
| 9.2¢ | 2,000 | $184.00 |
| 9.1¢ | 300 | $27.30 |
| 8.8¢ | 299 | $26.31 |
| 8.5¢ | 83 | $7.06 |
| 8.4¢ | 95.97 | $8.06 |
| 8.3¢ | 175.49 | $14.57 |
| 7.6¢ | 119 | $9.04 |
| 7.5¢ | 200 | $15.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10.4¢ | 360.23 | $37.46 |
| 10.5¢ | 5,049.23 | $530.17 |
| 10.9¢ | 800 | $87.20 |
| 13¢ | 9.62 | $1.25 |
| 13.1¢ | 69 | $9.04 |
| 13.2¢ | 200 | $26.40 |
| 17.5¢ | 63 | $11.02 |
| 17.6¢ | 349.98 | $61.60 |
| 17.8¢ | 2,413.75 | $429.65 |
| 18¢ | 775.04 | $139.51 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran formally notifies the United Nations of its decision to withdraw from the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), pursuant to Article X of the treaty by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the Iranian government must issue an official written notice that explicitly states its intention to withdraw under Article X of the NPT. The resolution sources for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.