All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before June 30, 2027?
45%chance
- Yes44.5%
Outcomes
- Yes45%
44.5¢ per share
- No56%
55.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 44.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 44¢ | 476.75 | $209.77 |
| 43¢ | 205.61 | $88.41 |
| 42¢ | 77.7 | $32.63 |
| 41¢ | 71 | $29.11 |
| 40¢ | 94.07 | $37.63 |
| 34¢ | 104 | $35.36 |
| 30¢ | 84.15 | $25.25 |
| 29¢ | 374 | $108.46 |
| 28¢ | 80 | $22.40 |
| 27¢ | 183 | $49.41 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 45¢ | 468.89 | $211.00 |
| 46¢ | 205.24 | $94.41 |
| 47¢ | 146 | $68.62 |
| 50¢ | 200 | $100.00 |
| 71¢ | 6 | $4.26 |
| 72¢ | 111.37 | $80.19 |
| 73¢ | 495 | $361.35 |
| 77¢ | 10 | $7.70 |
| 79¢ | 66 | $52.14 |
| 81¢ | 526 | $426.06 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.