All markets
Iran Nuke before 2027?
4%chance
- Yes3.5%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.5¢ per share
- No96%
96.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.5¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5¢ | 1,043.06 | $36.51 |
| 3.4¢ | 5,919.76 | $201.27 |
| 3.3¢ | 217.07 | $7.16 |
| 3.2¢ | 3,348.78 | $107.16 |
| 3¢ | 689.08 | $20.67 |
| 2.9¢ | 310.33 | $9.00 |
| 2.7¢ | 1,477.13 | $39.88 |
| 2.6¢ | 1,285.99 | $33.44 |
| 2.4¢ | 1,625 | $39.00 |
| 2.3¢ | 2,511.58 | $57.77 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.6¢ | 2,290.2 | $82.45 |
| 3.7¢ | 5.91 | $0.22 |
| 3.9¢ | 139.12 | $5.43 |
| 4.1¢ | 200 | $8.20 |
| 4.3¢ | 3,031.63 | $130.36 |
| 4.5¢ | 10 | $0.45 |
| 4.6¢ | 500 | $23.00 |
| 4.7¢ | 1,944.55 | $91.39 |
| 4.8¢ | 227.05 | $10.90 |
| 4.9¢ | 499.35 | $24.47 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".