All markets
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
2%chance
- Yes1.6%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.6¢ per share
- No98%
98.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.6¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 0.18 | $0.00 |
| 1¢ | 2,445.19 | $24.45 |
| 0.9¢ | 168 | $1.51 |
| 0.7¢ | 2,425.2 | $16.98 |
| 0.5¢ | 823.08 | $4.12 |
| 0.4¢ | 3,550 | $14.20 |
| 0.3¢ | 4,699.6 | $14.10 |
| 0.2¢ | 11,901.94 | $23.80 |
| 0.1¢ | 23,720.76 | $23.72 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9¢ | 394.44 | $7.49 |
| 2¢ | 448.46 | $8.97 |
| 2.1¢ | 210 | $4.41 |
| 2.2¢ | 510 | $11.22 |
| 2.6¢ | 410.66 | $10.68 |
| 2.9¢ | 793.18 | $23.00 |
| 3.6¢ | 318 | $11.45 |
| 3.9¢ | 208.11 | $8.12 |
| 4.9¢ | 209.11 | $10.25 |
| 5¢ | 337.84 | $16.89 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.