World

$14.8M Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$283.0K Vol.2 months left

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

$380.3K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change97%
25 bps increase3%

$210.9K Vol.annual

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State4%

$40.2M Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

$3.6M Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change74%
25 bps increase23%

$118.7K Vol.annual

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 312%

$4.3M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$39.1K Vol.

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

$563.0K Vol.2 months left

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202717%
December 31, 20269%

$257.1K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$50.3K Vol.1 day left

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen88%
David Lisnard4%

$14.0K Vol.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3189%
October 3182%

$882.1K Vol.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202750%
June 30, 202733%

$2.9M Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%59%
Remain 60–80%21%

$23.4K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$60.5K Vol.

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

$228.2K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu53%
The Democrats51%

$55.9K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin81%
Mohammed bin Salman79%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon45%
Édouard Philippe37%

$10.1K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%19%
Ruas 20%+11%

$27.2K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$49.0K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany16%

$680.9K Vol.annual

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon40%
Édouard Philippe24%

$6.7K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

54%chance

$52.5K Vol.2 months left

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%48%
5.50-5.99%22%

$162.7K Vol.

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202730%
December 31, 20269%

$2.3K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD63%
Grüne29%

$59.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%40%
2.75-3.25%33%

$3.1K Vol.

French election called by...?

7%chance

$10.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2325%
24-2520%

$19.1K Vol.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

4%chance

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%54%
0.75-1.25%43%

$5.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<476%
4-617%

$10.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
76-78%18%

$12.0K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

Macron out by...?

$39.9K Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election Winner

PP87%
PSOE14%

$102.7K Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$273.6K Vol.2 months left

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

92%chance

$173.2K Vol.2 months left

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

30%chance

$534.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%34%
5-6%28%

$4.3K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%47%
Celina 25%+36%

$4.3K Vol.

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

5.5-6.5%36%
6.5-7.5%35%

$2.8K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 3-6%28%
Allyson <3%24%

$9.0K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

74%chance

$7.1K Vol.5 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$24.5K Vol.2 months left

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$7.2K Vol.

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein73%
Sunita Dhir26%

$2.4K Vol.

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa59%
Centre Party26%

$974.9 Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

19%chance

$6.9K Vol.2 months left

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$15.0K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho 4%+31%
Dorinha <4%27%

$3.0K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%50%
Iotova 10-20%31%

$13.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.7K Vol.8 months left

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$26.2K Vol.8 months left

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$82.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.7K Vol.

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

December 313%
October 31<1%

$7.1K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%37%
5-6%36%

$6.7K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

63%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

14%chance

$11.0K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%40%
7-9%19%

$3.0K Vol.

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%55%
1.1 – 1.5%27%

$112.6K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

18%chance

$6.6K Vol.13 days left

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Paul Choi49%
David Xie41%

$1.4K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+40%
Mailza 10-15%36%

$4.3K Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.3K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am95%
RZP-Zehut86%

$14.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Yoav Ben-Tzur26%

$14.2K Vol.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$395.2K Vol.2 months left

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal48%
Terry Yung30%

$3.7K Vol.

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE41%
Turkey21%

$33.1K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland14%
Lebanon8%

$1.8M Vol.

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

$235.0K Vol.2 months left

$43.2K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

9%chance

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Li Xi6%
Ding Xuexiang5%

$251.5K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy65%
Sara Lopez36%

$1.5K Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change70%
25 bps increase22%

$9.9K Vol.annual

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202620%
October 31, 202612%

$362.9K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Andris Kulbergs98%
Viktors Valainis1%

$12.8K Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202729%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

85%chance

$350.0 Vol.46 days left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase52%
No change44%

$93.8K Vol.annual

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

SPD83%
Grüne77%

$20.0K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.5K Vol.5 days left

Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Purewal55%
Jagrup Brar48%

$2.2K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton77%
Harwinder Sandhu18%

$5.4K Vol.

Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jessie Sunner34%
Harj Dhaliwal34%

$3.5K Vol.

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

SDP BiH85%
SNSD8%

$8.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+34%
8-932%

$8.0K Vol.

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

$567.0K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

<1%chance

$23.7K Vol.17 days left

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%42%
6%+33%

$4.4K Vol.

Ukraine election held by...?

$239.2K Vol.2 months left

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

$182.4K Vol.2 months left

$29.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

4%chance

Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Brennan Day72%
Will Cole-Hamilton24%

$1.8K Vol.

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

$191.8K Vol.2 months left

$21.4K Vol.2 months left

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+33%
Pazolini 5-10%26%

$4.2K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 6-10%43%
Aziz 15%+35%

$5.9K Vol.

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

$134.9K Vol.

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Zeeshan Wahla43%
Amna Shah41%

$2.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

91%chance

$3.0K Vol.11 days left

Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kristina Loewen67%
Loyal Wooldridge27%

$2.0K Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

8%chance

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang78%
Bruce Kong20%

$3.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

4-5%32%
2.5-3.25%26%

$3.5K Vol.

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change96%
25 bps hike4%

$38.6K Vol.annual

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%41%
<6%32%

$3.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

4.5-5.5%31%
5.5-6.5%26%

$3.7K Vol.

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%46%
3.25-4%18%

$5.0K Vol.

Ukraine election called by...?

$97.5K Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

$34.2K Vol.

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Thind61%
Garry Begg37%

$1.7K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy10%
New Zealand10%

$762.4K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN26%
Vamos24%

$6.4K Vol.

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Ryan Peterson63%
Jodie Wickens34%

$964.3 Vol.

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?