All markets
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
4%chance
- Yes4%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.0¢ per share
- No96%
96.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4¢Spread 2.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9¢ | 95 | $2.76 |
| 2.8¢ | 559.72 | $15.67 |
| 2.7¢ | 70 | $1.89 |
| 2.6¢ | 20 | $0.52 |
| 2.5¢ | 104 | $2.60 |
| 2.2¢ | 212.18 | $4.67 |
| 2.1¢ | 428 | $8.99 |
| 2¢ | 1,100 | $22.00 |
| 1.9¢ | 512 | $9.73 |
| 1.8¢ | 7.75 | $0.14 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 46 | $2.30 |
| 5.1¢ | 127.99 | $6.53 |
| 5.4¢ | 640.74 | $34.60 |
| 5.5¢ | 20 | $1.10 |
| 5.7¢ | 203.68 | $11.61 |
| 5.9¢ | 680 | $40.12 |
| 6¢ | 438.94 | $26.34 |
| 6.1¢ | 126.72 | $7.73 |
| 6.8¢ | 20 | $1.36 |
| 6.9¢ | 57 | $3.93 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.