World

$380.7K Vol.2 months left

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202749%
June 30, 202735%

$2.9M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot18%

$63.5K Vol.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$403.4K Vol.2 months left

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

October 3195%
December 3194%

$887.5K Vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.6K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu54%
The Democrats54%

$56.5K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman80%
Vladimir Putin80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202727%
December 31, 202614%

$3.1K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon38%

$13.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

69%chance

$3.8K Vol.13 days left

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%33%
7-9%28%

$5.0K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%12%
Ruas 20%+10%

$28.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%54%
0.75-1.25%40%

$6.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%43%
2.75-3.25%28%

$3.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$40.0K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Grüne61%
Linke58%

$22.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
76-78%19%

$12.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

26-2725%
22-2323%

$19.2K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

47%chance

$1.9K Vol.46 days left

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.4K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

47%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$534.7K Vol.2 months left

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%chance

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne96%

$23.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Tally Gotliv13%

$49.7K Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

81%chance

$825.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%37%
2.5-3.25%32%

$5.0K Vol.

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa55%
Centre Party29%

$2.2K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon41%
Édouard Philippe26%

$8.0K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%47%
Celina 25%+26%

$5.1K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

92%chance

$173.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-866%
9-1012%

$11.7K Vol.

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%49%
1.1 – 1.5%26%

$113.6K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 10-15%24%
Allyson 3-6%23%

$9.1K Vol.

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein71%
Sunita Dhir31%

$2.7K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho <4%27%
Vicentinho 4%+27%

$3.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

34%chance

$7.6K Vol.13 days left

French election called by...?

9%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<462%
4-633%

$11.3K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%41%
5-6%39%

$7.7K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$274.5K Vol.2 months left

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$26.4K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-742%
8-936%

$4.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1631%
11-1330%

$7.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.6K Vol.

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

December 313%
October 31<1%

$7.2K Vol.

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal54%
Terry Yung32%

$4.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD71%
Grüne41%

$59.4K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton83%
Harwinder Sandhu16%

$6.1K Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$24.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

5.5-6.5%35%
6.5-7.5%35%

$2.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$14.5K Vol.

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202617%
October 31, 202612%

$363.2K Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$12.0K Vol.8 months left

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

15%chance

$36.5K Vol.2 months left

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE41%
Turkey24%

$33.2K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN28%
PDC26%

$6.9K Vol.

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Thind73%
Garry Begg28%

$2.2K Vol.

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Paul Choi43%
David Xie37%

$1.4K Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$15.5K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 10-15%42%
Mailza 20%+39%

$4.3K Vol.

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

11%chance

$225.9K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 20266%

$172.8K Vol.

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$7.4K Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?

Nuevas Ideas (NI)80%
PCN4%

$5.6K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%50%
5.50-5.99%21%

$162.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

533%
425%

$9.5K Vol.

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

$235.0K Vol.2 months left

$43.2K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

9%chance

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change71%
25 bps increase23%

$10.1K Vol.annual

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut87%

$14.6K Vol.

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$7.2K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase52%
No change43%

$93.8K Vol.annual

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.3K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+35%
8-928%

$8.0K Vol.

Macron out by...?

$39.9K Vol.2 months left

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%36%
5-6%28%

$4.3K Vol.

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

SDP BiH84%
SNSD9%

$8.1K Vol.

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$169.2K Vol.2 months left

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN42%
ARENA25%

$10.2K Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Li Xi6%
Wang Huning5%

$251.5K Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$82.7K Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

8%chance

$191.9K Vol.2 months left

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

$135.0K Vol.

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change96%
25 bps hike3%

$38.6K Vol.annual

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

75%chance

$7.2K Vol.5 months left

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%38%
6%+33%

$4.4K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.8K Vol.5 days left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-735%
4-530%

$11.4K Vol.

Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?

$21.4K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine election held by...?

$239.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202727%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Harj Dhaliwal44%
Jessie Sunner37%

$3.5K Vol.

Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Brennan Day67%
Will Cole-Hamilton30%

$1.9K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

<6%34%
6-7%31%

$3.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

89%chance

$3.1K Vol.11 days left

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%51%
3.25-4%21%

$5.1K Vol.

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

$34.6K Vol.2 months left

China coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202715%
December 31, 20264%

$163.5K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

$34.4K Vol.

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+36%
Pazolini 5-10%27%

$4.2K Vol.

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

December 319%
October 313%

$58.3K Vol.

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-732%

$7.1K Vol.

El Salvador Presidential Election Winner

Nayib Bukele97%
Rafael Aguirre2%

$2.4K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase66%
No change31%

$13.6K Vol.annual

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 6-10%35%
Aziz 10-15%30%

$5.9K Vol.

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

$34.9K Vol.2 months left

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy68%
Sara Lopez34%

$1.5K Vol.

Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Debra Toporowski42%
James Chumsa35%

$1.1K Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

86%chance

$357.0 Vol.46 days left

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

7.5%+41%
5.5-6.5%26%

$3.8K Vol.

Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Purewal47%
Jagrup Brar38%

$2.2K Vol.

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

40-4386%
36-3913%

$55.9K Vol.

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

857%
933%

$1.7M Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

US x Russia military clash by...?

$222.2K Vol.2 months left

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-932%
12-1326%

$6.4K Vol.

Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kristina Loewen70%
Loyal Wooldridge24%

$2.0K Vol.

China x India military clash by...?

7%chance

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang80%
Bruce Kong21%

$3.4K Vol.

Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Anthony Albanese36%
Pauline Hanson23%

$33.3K Vol.

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$174.1K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany17%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%66%
25-29.9%30%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

24%chance

$13.4K Vol.2 months left

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$405.7K Vol.2 months left

Erdoğan out by...?

December 31, 202717%
December 31, 20264%

$649.0K Vol.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase59%
No change37%

$38.9K Vol.annual

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$251.6K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

$90.8K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change49%
25 bps hike42%

$32.6K Vol.annual

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

SNSD95%
DF3%

$11.0K Vol.

NATO article 5 before 2027?