World

$14.9M Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%
Ulf Kristersson17%

$10.1M Vol.

$1.8M Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202711%
December 31, 20264%

$29.3M Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance

$3.6M Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$834.6K Vol.2 months left

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

10%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

Netanyahu out by...?

39%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.8M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen87%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon7%

$26.0K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$288.2K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change87%
25 bps increase11%

$125.7K Vol.annual

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%28%

$32.7K Vol.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202749%
June 30, 202735%

$2.9M Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%chance

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change96%
25 bps increase4%

$220.3K Vol.annual

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$58.9K Vol.18 hours left

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe30%

$15.3K Vol.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$403.4K Vol.2 months left

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3194%
October 3188%

$889.0K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$257.5K Vol.2 months left

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202721%
December 31, 20268%

$262.7K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China75%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.6K Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar55%
The Democrats54%

$59.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 20%+13%
Ruas 5-10%13%

$31.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot18%

$63.5K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman80%
Vladimir Putin80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

62%chance

$4.0K Vol.12 days left

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%

$13.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%53%
2.75-3.25%25%

$5.8K Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%54%
Iotova 10-20%31%

$16.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$41.0K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Grüne71%
SPD57%

$22.4K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

48%chance

$2.3K Vol.45 days left

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202730%
December 31, 202614%

$3.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%36%
7-9%27%

$5.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.7K Vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 313%

$4.3M Vol.

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

$380.7K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne93%

$23.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%47%
3.25-4%28%

$5.4K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$173.3K Vol.2 months left

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa49%
Centre Party36%

$2.6K Vol.

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

89%chance

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%53%
1.1 – 1.5%21%

$114.0K Vol.

Will any country leave NATO by...?

4%chance

$407.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-861%
<713%

$11.7K Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Li Xi5%
Wang Huning5%

$252.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

27%chance

$7.6K Vol.12 days left

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%chance

$183.1K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$25.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1630%
11-1328%

$7.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%39%
6-7%36%

$7.7K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

50%chance

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton86%
Harwinder Sandhu9%

$6.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-743%
8-937%

$4.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%52%
0.75-1.25%45%

$6.0K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$274.5K Vol.2 months left

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%46%
Celina 25%+28%

$5.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Tally Gotliv13%

$49.8K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN44%
PDC24%

$7.1K Vol.

French election called by...?

9%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202614%
October 31, 202611%

$363.3K Vol.

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein71%
Sunita Dhir28%

$2.7K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho 4%+33%
Vicentinho <4%27%

$3.6K Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

$226.0K Vol.2 months left

$12.0K Vol.8 months left

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

15%chance

$36.5K Vol.2 months left

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

12%chance

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%48%
4-5%22%

$5.0K Vol.

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal47%
Terry Yung42%

$4.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD67%
Grüne30%

$59.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.6K Vol.

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Thind68%
Garry Begg31%

$2.3K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

543%
623%

$9.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
76-78%19%

$12.5K Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$15.5K Vol.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

$534.7K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change71%
25 bps increase23%

$10.3K Vol.annual

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 20266%

$172.8K Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?

Nuevas Ideas (NI)80%
PCN4%

$5.6K Vol.

Jimmy Lai released by...?

$25.8K Vol.2 months left

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

$35.3K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<461%
4-632%

$11.3K Vol.

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

David Xie44%
Paul Choi39%

$1.8K Vol.

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

$235.0K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%
Yoav Ben-Tzur24%

$14.5K Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

<6%32%
6-7%22%

$3.7K Vol.

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

$135.1K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan24%
Germany16%

$681.2K Vol.annual

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN44%
ARENA30%

$10.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+35%
8-930%

$8.1K Vol.

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

$7.2K Vol.2 months left

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$169.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.8K Vol.4 days left

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%49%
5.50-5.99%28%

$162.9K Vol.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

4%chance

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Brennan Day60%
Will Cole-Hamilton26%

$2.0K Vol.

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

$26.4K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-733%
4-533%

$11.4K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase52%
No change43%

$94.0K Vol.annual

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

24-2526%
20-2125%

$19.3K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+39%
Mailza 10-15%36%

$4.4K Vol.

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE41%
Turkey23%

$33.2K Vol.

Will Alberta join the US?

4%chance

$2.2M Vol.2 months left

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.0053%
1600.00–1699.9932%

$22.7K Vol.monthly

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

83%chance

$592.9 Vol.5 months left

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.8K Vol.2 months left

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$7.4K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202722%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase66%
No change31%

$13.7K Vol.annual

Erdoğan out by...?

December 31, 202717%
December 31, 20264%

$649.2K Vol.

China x India military clash by...?

7%chance

$222.3K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%35%
5-6%28%

$4.4K Vol.

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

$34.6K Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

$34.4K Vol.

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

December 319%
October 313%

$58.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-732%

$7.1K Vol.

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

5.5-6.5%36%
6.5-7.5%34%

$2.9K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 3-6%27%
Allyson 10-15%25%

$9.1K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 6-10%35%
Aziz 15%+25%

$5.9K Vol.

El Salvador Presidential Election Winner

Nayib Bukele97%
Rafael Aguirre2%

$2.4K Vol.

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

December 313%
October 31<1%

$7.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

89%chance

$3.1K Vol.10 days left

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

75%chance

$7.2K Vol.5 months left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-933%
12-1325%

$6.5K Vol.

China coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202712%
December 31, 20264%

$163.5K Vol.

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang80%
Bruce Kong18%

$3.5K Vol.

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change96%
25 bps hike3%

$38.6K Vol.annual

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

$142.8K Vol.2 months left

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$174.2K Vol.

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%48%
4.75-5.5%19%

$5.1K Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

$191.9K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium11%
Italy9%

$762.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-948%
6-723%

$5.7K Vol.

Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Bert Chen41%
Debra Toporowski28%

$1.1K Vol.

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

857%
932%

$1.7M Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

US x Russia military clash by...?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Harj Dhaliwal44%
Jessie Sunner36%

$3.5K Vol.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase60%
No change37%

$38.9K Vol.annual

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy62%
Sara Lopez30%

$1.5K Vol.

Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Purewal48%
Jagrup Brar47%

$2.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

7.5%+37%
5.5-6.5%30%

$3.8K Vol.

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut87%

$14.6K Vol.

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

22%chance

$13.4K Vol.2 months left

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+31%
Pazolini 5-10%26%

$4.2K Vol.

Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?

11%chance

$144.3K Vol.2 months left

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%66%
25-29.9%30%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

$90.8K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change48%
25 bps hike42%

$32.6K Vol.annual

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

$688.9K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Zeeshan Wahla40%
Amna Shah35%

$2.1K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202727%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

$161.0K Vol.2 months left

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

$228.3K Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?

87%chance

$364.0 Vol.45 days left

Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Lisa Beare38%
Doug Morneau36%

$2.9K Vol.

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico17%
Vietnam13%

$401.7K Vol.annual

Maduro guilty of all counts?

36%chance

$133.2K Vol.1 year left

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election Winner

SDA97%
SDS2%

$11.5K Vol.

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

11%chance

$92.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?

$159.8K Vol.2 months left

$53.9K Vol.2 months left

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

10%chance

Which countries will host an F1 race in 2026?

Qatar54%
UAE39%

$527.7 Vol.

NATO article 5 before 2027?

$283.0K Vol.2 months left

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

20%chance

$1.0K Vol.3 months left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

63%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

7%chance

$10.9K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine election held by...?

$239.2K Vol.2 months left

EU dissolves before 2027?

1%chance

$181.1K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$99.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%31%
6-7%23%

$2.1K Vol.

Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner

$161.0K Vol.

Will "Leave" win any Alberta electoral division in the independence referendum?

49%chance

$95.6 Vol.4 days left

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Cape Verde election?

61%chance

$31.1 Vol.31 days left

Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?

March 3119%
December 316%

$4.0K Vol.

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?

10%chance

$133.2 Vol.2 months left

Quebec General Election: # of Seats Margin of Victory?

PQ 10-1959%
PQ 20-2926%

$7.4K Vol.

Canada admitted to the EU before 2029?

20%chance

$3.9K Vol.2 years left

Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Andris Kulbergs98%
Viktors Valainis1%

$12.4K Vol.

Venezuelan oil added to Strategic Petroleum Reserve by...?

11%chance

$5.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

December 314%
October 31<1%

$118.0K Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?

Anthony Albanese36%
Pauline Hanson22%

$33.2K Vol.

Which countries will make Eric Adams a citizen?

Israel14%
Sudan9%

$2.3K Vol.

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?