Trump

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

US imports Russian diesel by...?

November 3039%
October 3112%

$224.0K Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%18%
Below 4.6%7%

$363.8K Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3134%
October 317%

$6.7M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Mardi Gras60%
Nobel56%

$10.9K Vol.weekly

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

200+26%
120-13919%

$11.1K Vol.daily

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?

Clay88%
Pee-wee / Peewee83%

$5.6K Vol.

Who will be arrested before 2027?

Mahmoud Khalil28%
John Brennan21%

$501.2K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China75%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?

37.0+>99%
36.8+>99%

$17.5K Vol.weekly

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

10%chance

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+28%
180-19924%

$30.1K Vol.daily

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

26%chance

$32.2K Vol.2 months left

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3130%
October 314%

$53.2K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

160-17940%
180-19938%

$51.5K Vol.daily

US strike on Colombia by...?

30%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman80%
Vladimir Putin80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3161%
Qatar19%

$158.4K Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement67%
Likud34%

$65.4K Vol.

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

December 3112%
October 312%

$10.6K Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$505.2K Vol.2 months left

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

19%chance

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202747%
Pete Hegseth9%

$109.5K Vol.annual

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.5%22%
4.25%16%

$22.2K Vol.

Who will be the next US Ambassador to Greece?

Gus Bilirakis32%
Geoffrey Pyatt19%

$2.4K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

17%chance

$76.9K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman42%
Dario Amodei14%

$55.3K Vol.monthly

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

13%chance

$4.3K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Jon Ossoff96%
Kaitlan Collins88%

$132.9K Vol.monthly

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?

61%chance

$2.0K Vol.2 days left

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%86%
↓ 36%77%

$8.2K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.19 days left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 2097%
October 1797%

$40.6K Vol.monthly

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer36%

$11.4K Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$2.4M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro86%
Delcy Rodriguez78%

$73.1K Vol.monthly

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$468.2K Vol.2 months left

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Georgia>99%
North Carolina>99%

$25.5K Vol.

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

7%chance

$258.6K Vol.2 months left

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

31%chance

$548.1K Vol.9 months left

Kash Patel out by...?

December 3119%
October 313%

$1.8M Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro20%
Romeu Zema1%

$55.0K Vol.

Weed rescheduled by...?

$208.8K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie32%
Daniel Penny26%

$511.4K Vol.

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Friedrich Merz95%
Ursula von der Leyen89%

$211.4K Vol.monthly

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$25.0K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$287.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3077%

$393.1K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1292%
13-155%

$63.3K Vol.

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?

98%chance

$847.6 Vol.2 months left

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

19%chance

$32.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

December 3172%
October 3125%

$809.8 Vol.monthly

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

$410.6K Vol.

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time50%
60+27%

$915.8K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20917%

$325.7K Vol.

Trump approval rating on October 16?

37.4–37.520%
38.0–38.120%

$4.0K Vol.weekly

What will Trump say in October?

Slob99%
Weave61%

$11.1K Vol.monthly

Trump goes to space in 2026?

$56.8K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?

Good Day89%
Pressure / Stagflation75%

$495.7 Vol.monthly

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

$747.4K Vol.2 months left

$27.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$354.8K Vol.

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

10%chance

US strike on Mexico by...?

$765.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.4K Vol.2 months left

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

36%63%
35%28%

$164.3K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan24%
Germany16%

$681.2K Vol.annual

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Kristi Noem34%
Dan Scavino28%

$1.4M Vol.monthly

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

1070%
11+18%

$13.6K Vol.

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3111%
October 312%

$507.7K Vol.

Lai Ching-te visits US by...?

June 3016%
December 314%

$3.2K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.8K Vol.4 days left

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 202771%
June 30, 202759%

$1.1M Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

082%
117%

$1.3K Vol.

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

$42.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta join the US?

$2.2M Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
1030%

$23.6K Vol.

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.8K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

71%chance

$111.2K Vol.2 years left

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 3134%
October 3114%

$53.3K Vol.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

$765.9K Vol.2 months left

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?

December 3184%
October 3156%

$7.7K Vol.

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines37%
Anduril17%

$215.2K Vol.

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

15%chance

$174.1K Vol.2 months left

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202722%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

U.S. nuclear test by...?

$77.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

33%chance

$83.1K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

350%
226%

$24.5K Vol.

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

December 3146%
November 3011%

$26.8K Vol.

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

93%chance

$14.9K Vol.19 days left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

30%chance

$1.8K Vol.Ended

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$87.2K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$11.0K Vol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 319%
November 304%

$30.3K Vol.

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

$50.9K Vol.2 months left

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.9K Vol.

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

$3.2K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1123%
1223%

$18.0K Vol.

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

$33.9K Vol.2 months left

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

$3.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

22%chance

$18.5K Vol.2 months left

Epstein client list released by...?

October 315%
December 310%

$4.4M Vol.

Russia nuclear test by...?

$122.4K Vol.2 months left

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 14?

<1%chance

$1.6K Vol.Ended

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

14%chance

$45.0K Vol.2 months left

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 18?

65%chance

$60.0 Vol.3 days left

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

13%chance

$1.4K Vol.16 days left

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

$11.0K Vol.2 months left

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 15?

78%chance

$398.7 Vol.20 hours left

US x Russia military clash by...?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

371%
425%

$20.6K Vol.

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

$205.5K Vol.2 months left

$42.7K Vol.2 months left

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

28%chance

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M59%
270M5%

$32.8K Vol.monthly

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Adam Telle35%
Sean Parnell16%

$4.5K Vol.

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

7%chance

$10.1K Vol.Ended

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

$12.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump resign before 2027?

$25.7K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

11%chance

$2.9K Vol.2 months left

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

$582.3 Vol.16 days left

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

$272.1K Vol.2 months left

$3.1K Vol.Ended

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

19%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

470%
518%

$17.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

935%
824%

$32.8K Vol.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

November 3083%
October 3173%

$7.8K Vol.annual

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+28%

$31.6K Vol.

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

$133.9K Vol.2 months left

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer47%
John Thune25%

$172.8K Vol.

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$408.8K Vol.

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Kansas97%
Utah66%

$329.4K Vol.

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$544.3K Vol.2 months left

CNN flies with Trump by..?

October 3113%
October 152%

$18.4K Vol.

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

16%chance

$21.3K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump endorse?

$148.7K Vol.19 days left

Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

$12.7K Vol.5 months left

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico17%
Vietnam13%

$401.7K Vol.annual

Maduro guilty of all counts?

33%chance

$133.2K Vol.1 year left

FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?

53%chance

$2.8K Vol.2 months left

Obama arrested before 2027?

$23.1K Vol.2 months left

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$14.6K Vol.2 months left

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

$295.5K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

716%
12+13%

$13.1K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-694%
7-94%

$104.7K Vol.

Will Trump praise Allah again by October 31?

36%chance

$4.1K Vol.16 days left

NATO dissolves before 2027?

1%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

$68.6K Vol.2 months left

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

$2.8M Vol.2 months left

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$65.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%chance

$14.4K Vol.19 days left

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$113.4K Vol.2 months left

$99.6K Vol.2 months left

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%chance

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

<1%chance

$34.8K Vol.2 months left

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 16?

27%chance

$0.0 Vol.1 day left

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Putin50%
Sanction50%

$890.6 Vol.weekly

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

October 313%
October 15<1%

$13.8K Vol.

Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?

92%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?

9%chance

$175.6 Vol.2 months left

Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?

9%chance

$2.9K Vol.2 months left

Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?

27%chance

$107.7 Vol.3 months left

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?

$153.2 Vol.2 months left

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?

10+23%
20+17%

$4.3K Vol.monthly

US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?

13%chance

$2.1K Vol.16 days left

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by October 31?

7%chance

$4.7K Vol.16 days left

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?

$1.3K Vol.16 days left

America.gov removed by October 31?

$5.4K Vol.2 months left

What foods will Trump mention in October?

Burger54%
Beef53%

$5.4K Vol.monthly

Will Trump visit any pandas in 2026?

10%chance

$853.2 Vol.2 months left

CNN denied entry from White House again by...?

35%chance

$1.4 Vol.16 days left

Trump Admin held in contempt over press ban by October 31?

21%chance

$427.4 Vol.16 days left

Mamdani visits the White House by...?

December 3128%
October 3113%

$1.6K Vol.

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

December 3157%
October 3116%

$6.4K Vol.

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 3118%
November 306%

$23.7K Vol.

Kennedy Center demolition announced by...?

December 3114%
October 314%

$2.1K Vol.

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 3114%
November 307%

$10.3K Vol.

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

$28.4K Vol.16 days left

RFK Jr. Out by October 31?