All markets
Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?
72%chance
- Yes71.5%
Outcomes
- Yes72%
71.5¢ per share
- No28%
28.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 71.5¢Spread 21¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 61¢ | 250 | $152.50 |
| 60¢ | 20 | $12.00 |
| 51¢ | 39.21 | $20.00 |
| 25¢ | 300 | $75.00 |
| 21¢ | 50 | $10.50 |
| 14¢ | 300 | $42.00 |
| 10¢ | 2,000 | $200.00 |
| 7¢ | 7.96 | $0.56 |
| 6¢ | 325 | $19.50 |
| 5¢ | 487.5 | $24.38 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 82¢ | 18.78 | $15.40 |
| 85¢ | 20 | $17.00 |
| 88¢ | 113.47 | $99.85 |
| 90¢ | 5 | $4.50 |
| 92¢ | 20 | $18.40 |
| 93¢ | 6.74 | $6.27 |
| 95¢ | 63 | $59.85 |
| 96¢ | 100 | $96.00 |
| 97¢ | 39.61 | $38.42 |
| 98¢ | 50 | $49.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.