Trump

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1297%
- October 1593%
$10.2M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in October?

No change84%
25 bps increase17%

$32.1M Vol.monthly

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3166%
December 3144%

$39.1M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$73.3M Vol.2 months left

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3122%
October 317%

$8.7M Vol.

$8.5M Vol.

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 1296%
October 1591%

$203.7K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3112%
October 313%

$2.3M Vol.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3134%
November 3024%

$3.0M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5%chance

$23.9M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

75%chance

$150.7K Vol.23 days left

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase75%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro72%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.2M Vol.

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Mark Carney96%
Friedrich Merz95%

$202.3K Vol.monthly

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

3%chance

$365.8K Vol.8 days left

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Barack Obama96%
Jon Ossoff94%

$102.4K Vol.monthly

Trump

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?