All markets

Fed Decision in October?

• No change87%YesNo
• 25 bps increase13%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro76%YesNo
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

• 340-359>99%YesNo
• 360-379<1%YesNo

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

• MVK Esports14%
• Karmine Corp86%

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B

• Legacy62%
• BetBoom Team39%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 16>99%YesNo
• October 1796%YesNo

East Carolina vs. UAB

• 17East Carolina0%
• 30UAB100%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

• Harry Kane65%YesNo
• Lamine Yamal28%YesNo

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 1895%YesNo
• October 2194%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen46%YesNo
• Édouard Philippe18%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↓ 80,00080%YesNo
• ↑ 82,50080%YesNo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

• March 3158%YesNo
• December 3134%YesNo

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona24%YesNo
• Paris Saint-Germain16%YesNo

MLB World Series Champion 2026

• Milwaukee Brewers65%YesNo
• Cleveland Guardians19%YesNo

Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion

• 23Georgia Southern100%
• 15Old Dominion0%

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Team Synapse<1%
• Dawn Bulls>99%

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

• December 31>99%YesNo
• October 3198%YesNo

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

• San Francisco 49ers13%YesNo
• Buffalo Bills12%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 16?

• ↓ 80,00016%YesNo
• ↓ 79,0005%YesNo

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep63%YesNo
• R Senate, D House28%YesNo

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

• 100 Thieves59%
• Sangal42%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln

• Frankfurt54%
• Köln47%

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party91%YesNo
• Republican Party10%YesNo

NBA: 2027 Champion

• San Antonio Spurs22%YesNo
• Oklahoma City Thunder20%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%40%YesNo
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%28%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance47%YesNo
• Marco Rubio14%YesNo

Worlds 2026: Winner

• Gen.G32%YesNo
• Hanwha Life Esports19%YesNo

Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC - More Markets

• O/U 0.557%YesNo
• Holstein Kiel (-4.5)50%YesNo

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot49%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu31%YesNo

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party65%YesNo
• Republican Party37%YesNo

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

• FURIA Esports18%
• Cloud983%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets

• O/U 0.598%YesNo
• Eintracht Frankfurt O/U 0.590%YesNo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

• ↑ $10085%YesNo
• ↓ $9568%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

• 340-35917%YesNo
• 360-37915%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,00055%YesNo
• ↓ 70,00041%YesNo

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T86%YesNo
• ↑$1.75T69%YesNo

FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

• 1FC Energie Cottbus62%
• 0Nürnberg39%

Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?

• 90-11454%YesNo
• 115-13933%YesNo

IF Brommapojkarna vs. Djurgardens IF

• 0IF Brommapojkarna6%
• 1Djurgardens IF95%

Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC

• Fulham56%
• Hull City AFC44%

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Team Nemesis100%
• Nuclear TigeRES0%

FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg - More Markets

• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo
• FC Energie Cottbus O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase77%YesNo
• No change22%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

• ↓ 2,25065%YesNo
• ↑ 3,00035%YesNo

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%YesNo
• Gavin Newsom15%YesNo

EPL: 2027 Champion

• Arsenal64%YesNo
• Manchester City19%YesNo

Washington vs. Purdue

• Washington41%
• Purdue60%

Dota 2: Royal Bear vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Royal Bear100%
• InterActive Philippines0%

Wieczysta Krakow vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa

• Wieczysta Krakow<1%
• RKS Rakow Czestochowa>99%

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD - More Markets

• O/U 0.594%YesNo
• RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 0.581%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

• December 3138%YesNo
• November 3019%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 82,00061%YesNo
• ↓ 80,00041%YesNo

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona81%YesNo
• Real Madrid16%YesNo

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 202725%YesNo
• December 3113%YesNo

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

• BNK FEARX68%
• Team WE33%

Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina

• Appalachian State52%
• Coastal Carolina49%

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 2,50013%YesNo
• ↓ 2,30010%YesNo

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Xtreme Gaming100%
• Cloud Dawning0%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

• Rays51%
• Guardians50%

Catania: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller

• 1G. Cadenasso44%
• 1Marvin Moeller56%

Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC

• 0Holstein Kiel17%
• 0Hertha BSC84%

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

• October 18>99%YesNo
• October 2197%YesNo

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T28%YesNo
• $2.0–$2.25T23%YesNo

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC

• Everton31%
• Chelsea70%

Çorum FK vs. Çaykur Rizespor

• 1Çorum FK38%
• 1Rizespor63%

Roanne: Hugo Gaston vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

• 0H. Gaston<1%
• 2N. Kjaer>99%

Texas Senate Election Winner

• James Talarico (D)63%YesNo
• Ken Paxton (R)38%YesNo

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD Vance21%YesNo
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%YesNo

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 314%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio

• Frosinone Calcio39%
• Sassuolo62%

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets

• O/U 0.596%YesNo
• O/U 1.587%YesNo

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar67%YesNo
• Likud34%YesNo

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

• December 3116%YesNo
• November 3010%YesNo

Anthropic IPO by __?

• December 31, 202671%YesNo
• December 15, 202661%YesNo

Counter-Strike: BBL vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• BBL>99%
• EYEBALLERS<1%

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs The Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

• Yellow Submarine51%
• The Warriors50%

Titans vs. Colts

• Titans27%
• Colts74%

Ohio Senate Election Winner

• Sherrod Brown (D)65%YesNo
• Jon Husted (R)36%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

• No Hormuz Agreement95%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate3%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNo

Al Ahli Doha SC vs. AL Wakrah SC - More Markets

• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo

ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc

• 1Oțelul Galați<1%
• 1Csíkszereda>99%

Wieczysta Krakow vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa - More Markets

• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)97%YesNo
• 1 (25 bps)<1%YesNo

Zimbabwe Women Tour of India T20s: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women

• India Women>99%
• Zimbabwe Women<1%

Michigan Senate Election Winner

• Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%YesNo
• Mike Rogers (R)31%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,00098%YesNo

FK Kokand 1912 vs. FK Neftchi Fargona - More Markets

• FK Neftchi Fargona O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo

Chargers vs. Chiefs

• Chargers22%
• Chiefs79%

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

• December 3131%YesNo
• November 3018%YesNo

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 16?

• 56-57°F87%YesNo
• 58-59°F14%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

• ↑ 2,50068%YesNo
• ↓ 2,30059%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HAVU (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #2 Group B

• Phantom>99%
• HAVU<1%

What price will Ethereum hit on October 16?

• ↓ 2,35010%YesNo
• ↓ 2,3004%YesNo

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

• December 3113%YesNo
• November 307%YesNo

Texans vs. Jaguars

• Texans44%
• Jaguars56%

Saints vs. Giants

• Saints52%
• Giants49%

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

• December 3130%YesNo
• November 3027%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

• December 31, 202768%YesNo
• November 30, 202764%YesNo

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

• Javier Milei50%YesNo
• Axel Kicillof30%YesNo

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX64%YesNo
• Anthropic36%YesNo

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris Basketball

• Crvena Zvezda75%
• Paris Basketball26%

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $25M95%YesNo
• $50M93%YesNo

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

• October 1795%YesNo
• October 1992%YesNo

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

• March 31, 202724%YesNo
• December 319%YesNo

Serie A: 2027 Champion

• Inter Milan60%YesNo
• Roma14%YesNo

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

• December 318%YesNo
• October 311%YesNo

Çorum FK vs. Çaykur Rizespor - More Markets

• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

• Luca Niculescu85%YesNo
• Sorin Grindeanu1%YesNo

Memphis vs. Tulane

• Memphis71%
• Tulane30%

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)68%YesNo
• 1 (25 bps)22%YesNo

Highest temperature in London on October 16?

• 17°C>99%YesNo
• 10°C or below<1%YesNo

Cowboys vs. Packers

• Cowboys49%
• Packers52%

Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

• PARIVISION67%
• magic34%

Baniyas Club vs. Al Wasl FC - More Markets

• Al Wasl FC (-1.5)>99%YesNo
• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Rovereto: Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini

• 2B. Andreescu67%
• 1L. Stefanini34%

Highest temperature in Paris on October 16?

• 21°C>99%YesNo
• 22°C<1%YesNo

Bitcoin price on October 17?

• 80,000-82,00076%YesNo
• 82,000-84,00017%YesNo

ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - More Markets

• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• 1st Half O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies

• India71%
• West Indies30%

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

• ex-Zero Tenacity<1%
• UNiTY esports>99%

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google72%YesNo
• Anthropic25%YesNo

Highest temperature in Milan on October 16?

• 20°C>99%YesNo
• 16°C or below<1%YesNo

FC Annecy vs. AS Nancy-Lorraine - More Markets

• O/U 0.591%YesNo
• AS Nancy-Lorraine O/U 0.576%YesNo

IF Brommapojkarna vs. Djurgardens IF - More Markets

• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo
• 1st Half O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD

• RC Deportivo A Coruña46%
• Levante55%

Ohio State vs. Indiana

• Ohio State59%
• Indiana42%

Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

• Burnley32%
• Wolverhampton Wanderers FC69%

Highest temperature in Austin on October 16?

• 74-75°F98%YesNo
• 76-77°F1%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 260-27910%YesNo
• 280-29910%YesNo

Ethereum above ___ on October 17?

• 2,100>99%YesNo
• 2,000>99%YesNo

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?

• 29°C>99%YesNo
• 30°C<1%YesNo

Largest Company end of October 2026?

• NVIDIA83%YesNo
• Apple14%YesNo

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

• Chiang Wan-an63%YesNo
• Puma Shen38%YesNo

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

• LCK (South Korea)69%YesNo
• LPL (China)24%YesNo

Virginia vs. SMU

• Virginia25%
• SMU76%

Le Mans FC vs. Toulouse FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.595%YesNo
• Toulouse FC O/U 0.582%YesNo

Highest temperature in Munich on October 16?

• 20°C>99%YesNo
• 14°C or below<1%YesNo

SK Rapid vs. TSV Hartberg

• SK Rapid88%
• TSV Hartberg13%

Raptors vs. Pistons

• Raptors22%
• Pistons79%

AC Horsens vs. Randers FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.580%YesNo
• AC Horsens O/U 0.569%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Los Niños (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage

• Procyon Gaming41%
• Los Niños60%

Dota 2: Stray Team vs Gorgc Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs

• Stray Team<1%
• Gorgc Team>99%

FK Kokand 1912 vs. FK Neftchi Fargona

• FK Kokand 1912<1%
• FK Neftchi Fargona>99%

CD Leganés vs. Córdoba CF

• Leganés37%
• Córdoba64%

Bears vs. Falcons

• Bears51%
• Falcons50%

Israel military action against Syria by...?

• November 3025%YesNo
• October 315%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

• Aleksandar Vučić69%YesNo
• Ilija Srdanović19%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

• A. Zverev76%
• A. Fokina25%

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 16?

• 65°F or below74%YesNo
• 66-67°F21%YesNo

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?

• 40-60M68%YesNo
• 60-80M20%YesNo

Hornets vs. Grizzlies

• Hornets51%
• Grizzlies50%

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

• Nithya Raman54%YesNo
• Karen Bass46%YesNo

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

• CXMT31%YesNo
• CATL21%YesNo

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• GamerLegion86%
• ex-RUSTEC14%

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

• Nicolás Maduro71%YesNo
• Delcy Rodríguez23%YesNo

AC Horsens vs. Randers FC

• 0Horsens55%
• 0Randers46%

KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktor

• Neftekhimik56%
• Traktor44%

Besiktas vs. FC Bayern Munchen

• Besiktas95%
• Bayern München6%

UNLV vs. Air Force

• UNLV51%
• Air Force50%

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 16?

• 26°C76%YesNo
• 27°C23%YesNo

SC Heerenveen vs. SBV Excelsior - More Markets

• O/U 0.597%YesNo
• SC Heerenveen O/U 0.590%YesNo

Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC

• Man City80%
• Ipswich21%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - Exact Score

• Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 1 1. FC Köln10%YesNo
• Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 1 1. FC Köln9%YesNo

CD Leganés vs. Córdoba CF - More Markets

• O/U 0.594%YesNo
• CD Leganés O/U 0.577%YesNo

Highest temperature in Singapore on October 16?

• 33°C>99%YesNo
• 34°C<1%YesNo

Utah vs. Colorado

• Utah87%
• Colorado14%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement97%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate2%YesNo

Highest temperature in Moscow on October 16?

• 12°C>99%YesNo
• 13°C<1%YesNo

Rutgers vs. Maryland

• Rutgers35%
• Maryland66%

Fed Decision in January?

• No change66%YesNo
• 25 bps increase31%YesNo

Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 16?

• 23°C>99%YesNo
• 20°C<1%YesNo