All markets
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.9%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.9¢ per share
- No98%
98.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.9¢Spread 2.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8¢ | 35 | $0.28 |
| 0.7¢ | 290 | $2.03 |
| 0.6¢ | 692 | $4.15 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,030 | $5.15 |
| 0.4¢ | 2,050 | $8.20 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,300 | $9.90 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,300 | $10.60 |
| 0.1¢ | 12,590 | $12.59 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 10 | $0.30 |
| 3.5¢ | 110 | $3.85 |
| 3.9¢ | 10 | $0.39 |
| 4¢ | 11 | $0.44 |
| 4.5¢ | 10 | $0.45 |
| 5¢ | 10 | $0.50 |
| 6¢ | 9.99 | $0.60 |
| 7¢ | 10 | $0.70 |
| 8¢ | 10 | $0.80 |
| 10¢ | 10 | $1.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.