All markets
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
9%chance
- Yes8.5%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
8.5¢ per share
- No92%
91.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 8.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 130 | $9.10 |
| 6¢ | 54 | $3.24 |
| 5¢ | 175.3 | $8.77 |
| 4¢ | 138.15 | $5.53 |
| 3¢ | 414 | $12.42 |
| 2¢ | 277.57 | $5.55 |
| 1¢ | 743 | $7.43 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 135 | $13.50 |
| 11¢ | 75 | $8.25 |
| 12¢ | 50 | $6.00 |
| 22¢ | 70 | $15.40 |
| 23¢ | 50 | $11.50 |
| 24¢ | 94 | $22.56 |
| 27¢ | 50 | $13.50 |
| 28¢ | 75 | $21.00 |
| 29¢ | 40 | $11.60 |
| 30¢ | 30 | $9.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.