All markets
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
10%chance
- Yes10%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
10.0¢ per share
- No90%
90.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10¢Spread 6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 840 | $58.80 |
| 2¢ | 323 | $6.46 |
| 1¢ | 418 | $4.18 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13¢ | 56.66 | $7.37 |
| 14¢ | 190 | $26.60 |
| 16¢ | 140 | $22.40 |
| 20¢ | 280 | $56.00 |
| 23¢ | 120 | $27.60 |
| 25¢ | 1,435.93 | $358.98 |
| 29¢ | 120 | $34.80 |
| 30¢ | 150 | $45.00 |
| 39¢ | 120 | $46.80 |
| 40¢ | 150 | $60.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.