Trump

$441.5K Vol.Ended

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

December 3126%
October 317%

$205.1K Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3127%
October 318%

$9.0M Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change56%
25 bps increase41%

$496.0K Vol.monthly

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3132%
November 3022%

$1.9M Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL23%

$536.8K Vol.

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1897%

$1.9M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro68%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.3M Vol.

$8.6M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Montana?

Healthcare 3+ times>99%
SI / Super Intelligence 3+ times>99%

$34.4K Vol.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3134%
November 3024%

$3.1M Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202637%
November 30, 202627%

$732.0K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

76%chance

$262.0K Vol.20 days left

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Jon Ossoff96%
Kaitlan Collins90%

$132.7K Vol.monthly

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3110%
October 312%

$2.4M Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.8M Vol.

US imports Russian diesel by...?

November 3039%
October 3113%

$222.2K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%61%
≥ 4.5%23%

$7.1M Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3135%
October 315%

$52.9K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?

37.0+>99%
36.8+>99%

$17.5K Vol.weekly

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%23%
Below 4.6%10%

$361.0K Vol.

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Dad / Daddy62%
Mardi Gras60%

$10.9K Vol.weekly

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

160-17937%
180-19929%

$51.3K Vol.daily

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

200+26%
120-13919%

$11.1K Vol.daily

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+27%
180-19924%

$29.7K Vol.daily

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3126%
October 317%

$6.7M Vol.

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan20%
Mahmoud Khalil17%

$501.2K Vol.

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

10%chance

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

December 3112%
October 312%

$10.6K Vol.

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

28%chance

$32.2K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?

Clay87%
Pee-wee / Peewee83%

$3.8K Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 318%
October 31<1%

$18.1M Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

10%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement67%
Likud34%

$65.3K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China75%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202749%
Pete Hegseth9%

$109.2K Vol.annual

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3161%
Qatar18%

$158.0K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

$505.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$354.8K Vol.

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%86%
↓ 36%70%

$8.2K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.5%22%
4.25%16%

$22.1K Vol.

Who will be the next US Ambassador to Greece?

Gus Bilirakis32%
Geoffrey Pyatt19%

$2.4K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

17%chance

$76.7K Vol.2 months left

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

$4.3K Vol.2 months left

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?

60%chance

$2.0K Vol.2 days left

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.20 days left

US strike on Colombia by...?

26%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 1699%
October 1797%

$40.4K Vol.monthly

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer36%

$11.4K Vol.

Kash Patel out by...?

December 3119%
October 313%

$1.8M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

$2.4M Vol.2 months left

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$468.2K Vol.2 months left

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Georgia>99%
North Carolina>99%

$25.5K Vol.

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

7%chance

$258.6K Vol.2 months left

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

31%chance

$548.1K Vol.9 months left

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro19%
Romeu Zema1%

$55.0K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro86%
Delcy Rodriguez78%

$72.4K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Friedrich Merz95%
Ursula von der Leyen89%

$211.3K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman55%
Miguel Díaz-Canel16%

$53.6K Vol.monthly

Weed rescheduled by...?

9%chance

$208.8K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$287.1K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$24.9K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie47%
Stefan Brodie17%

$511.2K Vol.

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3077%

$393.1K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1292%
13-155%

$63.3K Vol.

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?

98%chance

$847.6 Vol.2 months left

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

$747.4K Vol.2 months left

$32.4K Vol.2 months left

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

$410.6K Vol.

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

December 3171%
October 3136%

$788.6 Vol.monthly

Trump approval rating on October 16?

38.0–38.119%
37.0–37.118%

$4.0K Vol.weekly

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

10%chance

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.9K Vol.

Trump goes to space in 2026?

$56.8K Vol.2 months left

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20917%

$325.6K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

What will Trump say in October?

Slob99%
Caddie97%

$11.0K Vol.monthly

Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

$63.5K Vol.Ended

US strike on Mexico by...?

$765.6K Vol.2 months left

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

36%63%
35%28%

$164.3K Vol.

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.3K Vol.2 months left

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines36%
Anduril17%

$215.1K Vol.

What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?

$272.4 Vol.monthly

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3111%
October 312%

$507.7K Vol.

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.8K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

082%
117%

$1.3K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time56%
60+24%

$915.2K Vol.

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Dan Scavino28%
Kristi Noem28%

$1.4M Vol.monthly

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 202768%
June 30, 202759%

$1.1M Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.8K Vol.4 days left

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?

December 3184%
October 3156%

$7.7K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202727%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

71%chance

$111.2K Vol.2 years left

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 3134%
October 3112%

$53.3K Vol.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

$765.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

$27.0K Vol.2 months left

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202721%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

U.S. nuclear test by...?

$77.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

31%chance

$83.1K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

350%
227%

$24.5K Vol.

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

December 3146%
November 3011%

$26.8K Vol.

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%chance

$14.9K Vol.20 days left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

41%chance

$1.8K Vol.Ended

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

$174.1K Vol.2 months left

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

$272.1K Vol.2 months left

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$87.2K Vol.2 months left

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 15?

78%chance

$398.7 Vol.23 hours left

U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?

5–15%79%
15–25%9%

$10.1K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$11.0K Vol.

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 319%
November 304%

$30.3K Vol.

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

$50.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

$3.2K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1123%
1223%

$18.0K Vol.

Next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026?

No HR in 202665%
William Ruger16%

$28.6K Vol.

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

$33.9K Vol.2 months left

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

$3.1K Vol.2 months left

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M63%
270M6%

$32.7K Vol.monthly

Russia nuclear test by...?

$122.4K Vol.2 months left

Epstein client list released by...?

October 315%
December 310%

$4.4M Vol.

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 14?

$1.6K Vol.Ended

Lai Ching-te visits US by...?

June 3011%
December 315%

$3.0K Vol.

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

$1.4K Vol.16 days left

US x Russia military clash by...?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?

$119.9K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

371%
425%

$20.6K Vol.

How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

400-500k49%
500-600k12%

$130.6K Vol.annual

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

935%
824%

$32.8K Vol.

Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

December 3134%
November 3024%

$3.1K Vol.

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

$205.5K Vol.2 months left

$42.7K Vol.2 months left

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

28%chance

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Who will be Trump's next Army Secretary?

Adam Telle35%
Sean Parnell16%

$4.5K Vol.

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

$10.1K Vol.Ended

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

$12.6K Vol.2 months left

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

November 3084%
October 3173%

$7.8K Vol.annual

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany16%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Will Trump resign before 2027?

$25.7K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump endorse?

$148.7K Vol.19 days left

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

11%chance

$2.9K Vol.2 months left

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

$295.5K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+27%

$31.6K Vol.

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

7%chance

$37.6K Vol.2 months left

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

$163.7K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
923%

$23.4K Vol.

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$544.3K Vol.2 months left

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

$10.3K Vol.2 months left

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

15%chance

$21.3K Vol.2 months left

Maduro guilty of all counts?

36%chance

$133.2K Vol.1 year left

Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

October 313%
October 15<1%

$13.8K Vol.

Obama arrested before 2027?

$23.1K Vol.2 months left

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

$113.4K Vol.2 months left

$14.6K Vol.2 months left

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$408.7K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

J.D. Vance54%
Marco Rubio27%

$21.7K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
12+13%

$13.1K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-694%
7-93%

$104.7K Vol.

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%chance

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

1070%
11+21%

$13.3K Vol.

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

$51.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

$68.6K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

$52.8K Vol.2 months left

Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by...?

$2.8M Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

$133.9K Vol.2 months left

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$65.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

$12.7K Vol.5 months left

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%chance

$14.4K Vol.20 days left

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$99.6K Vol.2 months left

Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?

$34.8K Vol.2 months left

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

$337.5K Vol.2 months left

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 16?

26%chance

$0.0 Vol.1 day left

What will Trump post this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Putin54%
Rigged54%

$890.6 Vol.weekly

Will Trump meet with Marcos by December 31, 2026?

92%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump pardon Richard Nixon by December 31?

9%chance

$175.6 Vol.2 months left

Putin visits US by December 31, 2026?

9%chance

$2.9K Vol.2 months left

Elon Musk out as Project Meridian co-lead by January 27?

27%chance

$107.7 Vol.3 months left

Trump and Pezeshkian meet by December 31?

$153.2 Vol.2 months left

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?

10+23%
20+19%

$4.3K Vol.monthly

US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?