Trump

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

Trump out as President before 2027?

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3110%
October 312%

$2.4M Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%61%
≥ 4.5%18%

$7.1M Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.8M Vol.

US imports Russian diesel by...?

November 3041%
October 3112%

$225.4K Vol.

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%18%
Below 4.6%11%

$364.6K Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3135%
October 317%

$6.7M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?

Clay88%
Pee-wee / Peewee83%

$6.5K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China76%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?

200+24%
120-13919%

$11.2K Vol.daily

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

10%chance

Trump approval rating at least ___ on October 16?

37.2+>99%
36.8+>99%

$17.6K Vol.weekly

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

28%chance

$32.2K Vol.2 months left

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+33%
180-19924%

$30.3K Vol.daily

What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18)

Mardi Gras60%
Nobel54%

$10.9K Vol.weekly

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3162%
Qatar18%

$159.2K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman80%
Vladimir Putin80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

US strike on Colombia by...?

28%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3130%
October 314%

$53.2K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

160-17943%
180-19938%

$51.6K Vol.daily

Kimberly Guilfoyle federally charged by...?

December 3112%
October 312%

$10.6K Vol.

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

19%chance

$505.2K Vol.2 months left

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

None before 202746%
Pete Hegseth9%

$109.5K Vol.annual

Who will be the next US Ambassador to Greece?

Gus Bilirakis31%
Geoffrey Pyatt18%

$2.5K Vol.

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?

4.5%22%
4.0%17%

$22.2K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Jon Ossoff96%
Kaitlan Collins88%

$133.7K Vol.monthly

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

17%chance

$76.9K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman38%
Dario Amodei15%

$55.4K Vol.monthly

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan21%
Mahmoud Khalil17%

$501.2K Vol.

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

13%chance

$4.3K Vol.2 months left

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.4K Vol.19 days left

What will Trump's approval rating hit by June 30, 2027?

↓ 37%87%
↓ 36%77%

$8.2K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

$287.8K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro86%
Dario Amodei69%

$73.3K Vol.monthly

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 17?

62%chance

$2.0K Vol.2 days left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 1698%
October 1797%

$40.6K Vol.monthly

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement67%
Likud34%

$65.4K Vol.

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3075%

$393.7K Vol.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

31%chance

$548.1K Vol.9 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$16.8K Vol.1 year left

Kash Patel out by...?

December 3119%
October 313%

$1.8M Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro20%
Romeu Zema1%

$55.0K Vol.

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

North Carolina>99%
Georgia>99%

$25.5K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer36%

$11.4K Vol.

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Donald Brodie49%
Daniel Penny23%

$511.4K Vol.

Weed rescheduled by...?

$208.8K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

SBF released from custody in 2026?

$468.2K Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Friedrich Merz95%
Ursula von der Leyen89%

$211.4K Vol.monthly

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1292%
13-155%

$63.3K Vol.

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

<1%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?

98%chance

$851.3 Vol.2 months left

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

December 3172%
October 3138%

$829.8 Vol.monthly

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

19%chance

$32.4K Vol.2 months left

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

$410.6K Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Unusual Machines36%
OpenAI18%

$215.7K Vol.

Maduro Prison Time?

No prison time50%
60+22%

$915.8K Vol.

What will Kevin Warsh say during October Press Conference?

Good Question95%
Good Day94%

$645.7 Vol.monthly

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?

1%chance

$27.5K Vol.2 months left

Trump approval rating on October 16?

<36.825%
37.6–37.722%

$4.0K Vol.weekly

What will Trump say in October?

Weave61%
Neurotic57%

$11.1K Vol.monthly

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$25.0K Vol.2 months left

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

$747.4K Vol.2 months left

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1141%
1027%

$23.9K Vol.

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

10%chance

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$354.8K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

US strike on Mexico by...?

$765.6K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?

$53.2K Vol.2 months left

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

36%62%
35%28%

$164.3K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 202768%
June 30, 202759%

$1.1M Vol.

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3111%
October 312%

$507.8K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan26%
Germany16%

$681.2K Vol.annual

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.8K Vol.4 days left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

1070%
11+18%

$13.6K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20919%

$325.7K Vol.

Lai Ching-te visits US by...?

June 3014%
December 314%

$3.2K Vol.

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Kristi Noem31%
Dan Scavino27%

$1.4M Vol.monthly

Will Alberta join the US?

$2.2M Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

082%
117%

$1.3K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%chance

$42.3K Vol.2 months left

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.8K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

71%chance

$111.2K Vol.2 years left

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 3133%
October 3113%

$53.3K Vol.

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

$765.9K Vol.2 months left

U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by...?

December 3184%
October 3157%

$7.7K Vol.

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

14%chance

$174.1K Vol.2 months left

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202724%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

U.S. nuclear test by...?

$77.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

25%chance

$83.1K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Virginia?

834%
731%

$11.1K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

350%
226%

$24.5K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1124%
1223%

$18.0K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Ohio?

638%
7+28%

$31.7K Vol.

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%chance

$14.9K Vol.19 days left

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.4K Vol.2 months left

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

$87.2K Vol.2 months left

Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

December 319%
November 304%

$30.3K Vol.

Trump renames New Mexico to New America by...?

$50.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?

$3.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

30%chance

$1.9K Vol.Ended

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto by ___?

$33.9K Vol.2 months left

Jerome Powell federally charged by...?

$3.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

22%chance

$18.5K Vol.2 months left

Epstein client list released by...?

October 315%
December 310%

$4.4M Vol.

Russia nuclear test by...?

$122.4K Vol.2 months left

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

12%chance

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

December 3113%
November 307%

$10.4K Vol.

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 15?

78%chance

$412.8 Vol.15 hours left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

371%
425%

$20.6K Vol.

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

December 3146%
November 3011%

$26.8K Vol.

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

14%chance

$45.0K Vol.2 months left

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 18?

65%chance

$60.0 Vol.3 days left

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$183.9K Vol.

Trump meets with Mark Carney by...?

12%chance

$1.4K Vol.16 days left

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?

16%chance

$11.0K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

344%
432%

$9.9K Vol.

US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?

$80.4K Vol.2 months left

US x Russia military clash by...?

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?

553%
422%

$25.9K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse?

$148.7K Vol.19 days left

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M57%
270M6%

$32.8K Vol.monthly

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

$10.1K Vol.Ended

Will Trump resign before 2027?

$25.7K Vol.2 months left

Kim Jong Un visits the US in 2026?

$354.8 Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%chance

$14.4K Vol.19 days left

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

$272.1K Vol.2 months left

$582.3 Vol.16 days left

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

8%chance

$3.1K Vol.Ended

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

19%chance

SCOTUS grants Trump Birthright Citizenship Rehearing by December 31?

10%chance

$2.9K Vol.2 months left

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

28%chance

$205.5K Vol.2 months left

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
813%

$13.1K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

470%
518%

$17.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?

935%
824%

$32.8K Vol.

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

November 3083%
October 3173%

$7.8K Vol.annual

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

$133.9K Vol.2 months left

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer47%
John Thune25%

$172.8K Vol.

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$408.8K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202727%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

$32.0K Vol.2 months left

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Kansas88%
Utah66%

$329.4K Vol.

US military draft authorized in 2026?

$544.3K Vol.2 months left

CNN flies with Trump by..?

October 3113%
October 152%

$18.4K Vol.

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

15%chance

$21.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?

$12.7K Vol.5 months left

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

Mexico17%
Vietnam15%

$401.7K Vol.annual

Trump renames ICE to NICE by...?

$10.3K Vol.2 months left

Maduro guilty of all counts?

36%chance

$133.2K Vol.1 year left

FDA moves BPC-157 to Category 1 by…?

54%chance

$2.8K Vol.2 months left

Obama arrested before 2027?

$23.1K Vol.2 months left

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?