All markets

Fed Decision in October?

• No change87%YesNo
• 25 bps increase13%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro77%YesNo
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva24%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

• 340-359>99%YesNo
• 360-379<1%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group A

• Aurora Gaming98%
• 9z3%

Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,000>99%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen46%YesNo
• Édouard Philippe18%YesNo

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 16>99%YesNo
• October 1797%YesNo

East Carolina vs. UAB

• 17East Carolina0%
• 30UAB100%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

• Harry Kane64%YesNo
• Lamine Yamal28%YesNo

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

• MVK Esports17%
• Karmine Corp84%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 1896%YesNo
• October 2194%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

• Astralis62%
• MIBR39%

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↓ 80,00079%YesNo
• ↑ 85,00051%YesNo

MLB World Series Champion 2026

• Milwaukee Brewers65%YesNo
• Cleveland Guardians19%YesNo

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep63%YesNo
• R Senate, D House28%YesNo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

• March 3159%YesNo
• December 3134%YesNo

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona24%YesNo
• Paris Saint-Germain16%YesNo

Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion

• 23Georgia Southern100%
• 15Old Dominion0%

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club - More Markets

• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party91%YesNo
• Republican Party10%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%41%YesNo
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%28%YesNo

Henan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo
• 1st Half O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

NBA: 2027 Champion

• San Antonio Spurs22%YesNo
• Oklahoma City Thunder20%YesNo

Worlds 2026: Winner

• Gen.G32%YesNo
• Hanwha Life Esports19%YesNo

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance47%YesNo
• Marco Rubio13%YesNo

Ethereum above ___ on October 16?

• 2,000>99%YesNo
• 2,100>99%YesNo

Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs Execration (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Xipto Esports66%
• Execration35%

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot48%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu31%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B

• Legacy62%
• BetBoom Team39%

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 16?

• ↑ 83,00049%YesNo
• ↓ 81,00016%YesNo

Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs CyberHero (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A

• Mena Warriors<1%
• CyberHero>99%

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

• No Hormuz Agreement94%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate3%YesNo

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T87%YesNo
• ↑$1.75T70%YesNo

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln

• Frankfurt53%
• Köln48%

Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC

• Fulham56%
• Hull City AFC44%

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

• ↓ 2,25056%YesNo
• ↑ 3,00041%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

• 360-37916%YesNo
• 340-35915%YesNo

Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs PuckChamp (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Dawn Bulls100%
• PuckChamp0%

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $80; D Senate61%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNo

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%YesNo
• Gavin Newsom15%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Team Nemesis>99%
• Nuclear TigeRES<1%

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,00059%YesNo
• ↑ 95,00039%YesNo

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party65%YesNo
• Republican Party38%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

Panthers vs. Eagles

• Panthers64%
• Eagles37%

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 202725%YesNo
• December 3112%YesNo

Lisbon: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Polona Hercog

• 2J. Maneiro100%
• 1P. Hercog0%

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club

• 2Al Qadisiyah99%
• 0Abha2%

IF Brommapojkarna vs. Djurgardens IF

• IF Brommapojkarna16%
• Djurgardens IF85%

Texas Senate Election Winner

• James Talarico (D)63%YesNo
• Ken Paxton (R)38%YesNo

Dota 2: Royal Bear vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Royal Bear>99%
• InterActive Philippines<1%

Olbia: Jacob Fearnley vs Maxim Mrva

• 2J. Fearnley>99%
• 0M. Mrva<1%

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD Vance21%YesNo
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%YesNo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

• ↓ $9593%YesNo
• ↑ $10059%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 84,00028%YesNo
• ↓ 80,00014%YesNo

Rovereto: Dominika Salkova vs Lea Boskovic

• 2D. Salkova>99%
• 1Lea Boskovic<1%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 314%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona81%YesNo
• Real Madrid16%YesNo

Henan FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC

• 0Henan FC<1%
• 1Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC>99%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

• BNK FEARX68%
• Team WE33%

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

• December 3138%YesNo
• November 3024%YesNo

EPL: 2027 Champion

• Arsenal64%YesNo
• Manchester City19%YesNo

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

• FURIA Esports18%
• Cloud983%

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $2.0–$2.25T28%YesNo
• $1.75–$2.0T24%YesNo

Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina

• Appalachian State52%
• Coastal Carolina49%

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Xtreme Gaming100%
• Cloud Dawning0%

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 2,50063%YesNo
• ↓ 2,40020%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?

• 90-11446%YesNo
• 115-13937%YesNo

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

• December 3138%YesNo
• October 3111%YesNo

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD - More Markets

• O/U 0.594%YesNo
• RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 0.581%YesNo

Commanders vs. 49ers

• Commanders23%
• 49ers78%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets

• O/U 0.598%YesNo
• O/U 1.591%YesNo

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar67%YesNo
• Likud33%YesNo

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

• 100 Thieves71%
• Sangal30%

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

• October 18>99%YesNo
• October 2199%YesNo

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase78%YesNo
• No change19%YesNo

Bitcoin price on October 16?

• 82,000-84,00084%YesNo
• 80,000-82,00014%YesNo

Titans vs. Colts

• Titans26%
• Colts75%

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio

• Frosinone Calcio41%
• Sassuolo60%

Mallorca: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Laura Samson

• 0A. Garcia<1%
• 1L. Samson>99%

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

• December 3131%YesNo
• November 3021%YesNo

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs The Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

• Yellow Submarine51%
• The Warriors50%

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 16?

• 25°C>99%YesNo
• 19°C or below<1%YesNo

Alaska Senate Election Winner

• Mary Peltola74%YesNo
• Sen. Dan Sullivan26%YesNo

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)97%YesNo
• 2 (50 bps)<1%YesNo

Chargers vs. Chiefs

• Chargers22%
• Chiefs79%

Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,00099%YesNo

Ravens vs. Browns

• Ravens66%
• Browns35%

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

• Javier Milei49%YesNo
• Axel Kicillof30%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

• December 31, 202768%YesNo
• November 30, 202764%YesNo

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

• December 3130%YesNo
• November 3026%YesNo

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 16?

• 56-57°F86%YesNo
• 58-59°F16%YesNo

Saints vs. Giants

• Saints52%
• Giants49%

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

• December 3113%YesNo
• November 307%YesNo

Java United FC vs. Bali United - More Markets

• O/U 3.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 4.5>99%YesNo

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

• March 31, 202724%YesNo
• December 319%YesNo

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

• Nemiga Gaming98%
• SpiritAc3%

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX64%YesNo
• Anthropic37%YesNo

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

• December 3114%YesNo
• November 3010%YesNo

Ohio Senate Election Winner

• Sherrod Brown (D)62%YesNo
• Jon Husted (R)36%YesNo

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $25M95%YesNo
• $50M94%YesNo

Anthropic IPO by __?

• December 31, 202671%YesNo
• December 15, 202668%YesNo

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro

• 1M. Trungelliti80%
• 0F. Passaro21%

Ethereum price on October 16?

• 2,400-2,50095%YesNo
• 2,500-2,6003%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement97%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate2%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

• Luca Niculescu91%YesNo
• Alexandru Nazare1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 16?

• 20°C>99%YesNo
• 13°C or below<1%YesNo

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

• Chiang Wan-an62%YesNo
• Puma Shen39%YesNo

Serie A: 2027 Champion

• Inter Milan60%YesNo
• Roma14%YesNo

Al Dhafra SSC vs. Dubai United FC - More Markets

• O/U 3.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Highest temperature in London on October 16?

• 17°C>99%YesNo
• 18°C<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 16?

• 23°C>99%YesNo
• 17°C or below<1%YesNo

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

• Rays51%
• Guardians50%

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

• PARIVISION65%
• magic36%

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)68%YesNo
• 1 (25 bps)22%YesNo

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets

• O/U 0.597%YesNo
• O/U 1.587%YesNo

Çorum FK vs. Çaykur Rizespor

• Çorum FK49%
• Rizespor52%

Highest temperature in Paris on October 16?

• 21°C98%YesNo
• 22°C2%YesNo

Highest temperature in Milan on October 16?

• 20°C97%YesNo
• 21°C2%YesNo

Highest temperature in Austin on October 16?

• 74-75°F98%YesNo
• 76-77°F1%YesNo

Texans vs. Jaguars

• Texans44%
• Jaguars56%

Shanghai Sharks vs. Shenzhen Leopards

• Sharks>99%
• Leopards<1%

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 16?

• 25°C>99%YesNo
• 19°C or below<1%YesNo

Bears vs. Falcons

• Bears51%
• Falcons50%

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google72%YesNo
• Anthropic24%YesNo

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

• Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems37%YesNo
• Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps21%YesNo

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

• December 318%YesNo
• October 311%YesNo

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?

• 29°C>99%YesNo
• 30°C<1%YesNo

Virginia vs. SMU

• Virginia25%
• SMU76%

Largest Company end of October 2026?

• NVIDIA78%YesNo
• Apple22%YesNo

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC

• Everton31%
• Chelsea70%

Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs

• ALOHADANCE Team93%
• by Owl Team8%

Madura United vs. Bhayangkara Presisi Lampung FC

• Madura United<1%
• Bhayangkara Presisi Lampung FC>99%

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

• Nicolás Maduro71%YesNo
• Delcy Rodríguez23%YesNo

Highest temperature in Busan on October 16?

• 25°C>99%YesNo
• 20°C or below<1%YesNo

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Team Synapse32%
• Dawn Bulls69%

West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies

• India69%
• West Indies32%

Highest temperature in Munich on October 16?

• 20°C98%YesNo
• 21°C<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 16?

• 65°F or below50%YesNo
• 66-67°F39%YesNo

Michigan Senate Election Winner

• Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%YesNo
• Mike Rogers (R)30%YesNo

Cowboys vs. Packers

• Cowboys48%
• Packers53%

Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

• Burnley31%
• Wolverhampton Wanderers FC70%

Israel military action against Syria by...?

• November 3032%YesNo
• October 3121%YesNo

FK Kokand 1912 vs. FK Neftchi Fargona - More Markets

• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

• Aleksandar Vučić69%YesNo
• Ilija Srdanović19%YesNo

Largest Company end of December 2026?

• NVIDIA71%YesNo
• Apple27%YesNo

Raptors vs. Pistons

• Raptors22%
• Pistons79%

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

• CXMT31%YesNo
• CATL21%YesNo

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?

• 40-60M65%YesNo
• 60-80M20%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit on October 16?

• ↑ 2,50042%YesNo
• ↓ 2,4007%YesNo

UNLV vs. Air Force

• UNLV51%
• Air Force50%

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

• Nithya Raman56%YesNo
• Karen Bass45%YesNo

Ohio State vs. Indiana

• Ohio State61%
• Indiana40%

Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 16?

• 21°C>99%YesNo
• 19°C or below<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Singapore on October 16?

• 33°C>99%YesNo
• 27°C or below<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 16?

• 23°C>99%YesNo
• 24°C<1%YesNo

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

• December 3198%YesNo
• October 3186%YesNo

Hornets vs. Grizzlies

• Hornets52%
• Grizzlies49%

Roanne: Felix Balshaw vs Mika Brunold

• 0Felix Balshaw37%
• 1M. Brunold63%

KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktor

• Neftekhimik57%
• Traktor43%

Utah vs. Colorado

• Utah87%
• Colorado14%

Ayutthaya United FC vs. Lamphun Warriors FC - More Markets

• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Fed Decision in January?

• No change66%YesNo
• 25 bps increase31%YesNo

What price will Solana hit in October?

• ↑ 11075%YesNo
• ↓ 10058%YesNo

Shamakhi FK vs. Safa - More Markets

• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 3.5>99%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 260-2799%YesNo
• 280-2999%YesNo

Highest temperature in Moscow on October 16?

• 12°C99%YesNo
• 13°C1%YesNo

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

• June 30, 202710%YesNo
• December 31, 20264%YesNo

SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?

• $145-$15068%YesNo
• $140-$14516%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 78,000>99%YesNo

FL-18 House Election Winner

• Scott Franklin (R)93%YesNo
• Curtis Gibson (D)5%YesNo

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

• No Change79%YesNo
• Decrease21%YesNo

Memphis vs. Tulane

• Memphis71%
• Tulane30%

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs potn9ki (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Team Lynx92%
• potn9ki8%

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on October 16?

• 19°C>99%YesNo
• 20°C<1%YesNo

Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC

• Man City80%
• Ipswich21%