World

$380.7K Vol.2 months left

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%26%

$32.7K Vol.

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%chance

$834.6K Vol.2 months left

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202749%
June 30, 202735%

$2.9M Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change78%
25 bps increase23%

$122.8K Vol.annual

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe30%

$15.3K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$58.2K Vol.20 hours left

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

$403.4K Vol.2 months left

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3195%
October 3190%

$888.6K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.6K Vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 20%+17%
Ruas <5%13%

$31.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot18%

$63.5K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman80%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats54%
Yashar54%

$58.7K Vol.

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202730%
December 31, 202614%

$3.9K Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%

$13.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

70%chance

$3.9K Vol.12 days left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%54%
Iotova 10-20%31%

$16.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$40.9K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Grüne56%
SPD54%

$22.3K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$534.7K Vol.2 months left

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%37%
7-9%27%

$5.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.7K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

47%chance

$2.2K Vol.45 days left

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%53%
3.75-4.25%20%

$5.1K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne93%

$23.4K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

47%chance

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%32%
2.5-3.25%29%

$5.3K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%chance

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa50%
Centre Party30%

$2.4K Vol.

Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?

94%chance

$173.3K Vol.2 months left

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%52%
1.1 – 1.5%23%

$114.0K Vol.

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-869%
9-1014%

$11.7K Vol.

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein70%
Sunita Dhir28%

$2.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

27%chance

$7.6K Vol.12 days left

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%chance

$183.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1631%
11-1330%

$7.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$24.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%39%
6-7%35%

$7.7K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$274.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-742%
8-937%

$4.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%46%
0.75-1.25%44%

$6.0K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton86%
Harwinder Sandhu12%

$6.3K Vol.

French election called by...?

9%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%46%
Celina 25%+26%

$5.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Tally Gotliv13%

$49.8K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD65%
Grüne34%

$59.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

20-2121%
22-2320%

$19.3K Vol.

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202614%
October 31, 202611%

$363.3K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Vicentinho 4%+31%
Vicentinho <4%27%

$3.6K Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$12.0K Vol.8 months left

Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Thind69%
Garry Begg31%

$2.3K Vol.

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by...?

15%chance

$36.5K Vol.2 months left

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal49%
Terry Yung30%

$4.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.6K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

537%
624%

$9.7K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN44%
PAIS27%

$6.9K Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$15.5K Vol.

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

11%chance

$225.9K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 20266%

$172.8K Vol.

Will any country leave NATO by...?

$406.2K Vol.2 months left

Which party will gain most seats in El Salvador Legislative Election?

Nuevas Ideas (NI)80%
PCN4%

$5.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
76-78%18%

$12.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%45%
4-5%27%

$4.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2844%
Yoav Ben-Tzur20%

$14.5K Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

$235.0K Vol.2 months left

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<466%
4-631%

$11.3K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change71%
25 bps increase24%

$10.2K Vol.annual

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

1%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

8%chance

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

$7.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+34%
6-728%

$8.1K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%50%
5.50-5.99%21%

$162.9K Vol.

Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner

$135.1K Vol.

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$7.2K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase53%
No change43%

$93.8K Vol.annual

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

$799.3K Vol.2 months left

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

SDP BiH84%
SNSD9%

$8.1K Vol.

Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?

$169.2K Vol.2 months left

US x China Military clash before 2027?

$218.8K Vol.2 months left

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PCN47%
ARENA28%

$10.2K Vol.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$26.4K Vol.8 months left

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE41%
Turkey23%

$33.2K Vol.

Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by...?

December 313%
October 31<1%

$7.2K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

$378.8K Vol.4 days left

Argentina Official USD Exchange Rate end of 2026? (Higher Brackets)

<1600.0055%
1600.00–1699.9932%

$22.7K Vol.monthly

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

83%chance

$592.9 Vol.5 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202727%
December 31, 20265%

$33.4K Vol.

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-733%
4-528%

$11.4K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202721%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Erdoğan out by...?

December 31, 202717%
December 31, 20264%

$649.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%34%
5-6%28%

$4.4K Vol.

Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Brennan Day66%
Will Cole-Hamilton27%

$1.9K Vol.

Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?

$34.6K Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Morocco? (Invested)

$34.4K Vol.

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Li Xi7%
Wang Huning5%

$251.5K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+31%
Pazolini 5-10%26%

$4.2K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+44%
Mailza 10-15%35%

$4.3K Vol.

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

December 319%
October 313%

$58.3K Vol.

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

6.5-7.5%35%
5.5-6.5%33%

$2.9K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 3-6%28%
Cadu wins25%

$9.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-732%

$7.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

7-8%34%
<6%33%

$3.5K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 10-15%38%
Aziz 6-10%32%

$5.9K Vol.

El Salvador Presidential Election Winner

Nayib Bukele97%
Rafael Aguirre2%

$2.4K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

25 bps increase66%
No change31%

$13.6K Vol.annual

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

89%chance

$3.1K Vol.10 days left

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

75%chance

$7.2K Vol.5 months left

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%53%
3.25-4%21%

$5.1K Vol.

China coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202715%
December 31, 20264%

$163.5K Vol.

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

David Xie54%
Paul Choi34%

$1.4K Vol.

Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?

$191.9K Vol.2 months left

$34.9K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Korea decision in October?

No Change96%
25 bps hike3%

$38.6K Vol.annual

Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Harj Dhaliwal44%
Jessie Sunner35%

$3.5K Vol.

Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?

8%chance

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$174.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-931%
10-1127%

$6.4K Vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 312%

$4.3M Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-948%
6-720%

$5.7K Vol.

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

40-4386%
36-3913%

$55.9K Vol.

Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Bert Chen42%
Debra Toporowski29%

$1.1K Vol.

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

857%
932%

$1.7M Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

US x Russia military clash by...?

$222.2K Vol.2 months left

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kristina Loewen70%
Loyal Wooldridge24%

$2.0K Vol.

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

25 bps increase60%
No change37%

$38.9K Vol.annual

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang81%
Bruce Kong19%

$3.4K Vol.

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy63%
Sara Lopez28%

$1.5K Vol.

China x India military clash by...?

7%chance

Prime Minister of Australia after next election?

Anthony Albanese36%
Pauline Hanson23%

$33.3K Vol.

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Japan18%
Germany16%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$167.4K Vol.2 months left

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%66%
25-29.9%30%

$79.9K Vol.monthly

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

25%chance

$13.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

$251.6K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.5K Vol.2 months left

European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

$113.4K Vol.2 months left

$90.8K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Korea decision in November?

No Change49%
25 bps hike42%

$32.6K Vol.annual

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

SNSD95%
DF3%

$11.0K Vol.

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Zeeshan Wahla41%
Amna Shah35%

$2.1K Vol.

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

55-5975%
60-6420%

$30.8K Vol.

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

1%chance

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

$104.7K Vol.2 months left

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

$449.2K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$99.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

$142.8K Vol.2 months left

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?