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This is an independent demo that is not affiliated with Polymarket. Market data comes from the public Polymarket API and may be delayed. Prices reflect market odds, not guarantees. Balances and trades on this site use simulated test funds; no real money is moved. Trading real prediction markets involves substantial risk of loss and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. See our Terms of Use & Privacy Policy.

HomeBreaking Portfolio

Trending Combos Perps Breaking NewPolitics Sports Crypto Esports Iran Finance Geopolitics Tech Culture Economy Weather Elections World AI Science

All354
Temperature
Precipitation6
Drought18
Global35
Tornadoes2
Hurricanes12
Earthquakes13
Volcanoes2
Pandemics18

Weather

Oct 12 Oct 13 Oct 14

Precipitation

Precipitation in Seoul in October?
- 85mm+37%
- 70-85mm21%
$24.8K Vol.

Precipitation in Seoul in October?

85mm+·Yes

Market

Amount$

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monthly

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Precipitation in London in October?

<35mm45%
45-60mm24%

$21.2K Vol.monthlyEarn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Precipitation in NYC in October?

<3"39%
3-4.25"36%

$28.0K Vol.monthlyEarn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?

October68%
November22%

$11.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Precipitation in Seattle in October?

<1.75"32%
1.75-2.5"20%

$24.5K Vol.monthlyEarn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Precipitation in Hong Kong in October?

70-120mm81%
120-210mm16%

$45.6K Vol.monthlyEarn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Drought

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
- 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft78%
- Below 4,189.3 ft18%
$25.8K Vol.
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?
- Does not return by November 1, 202692%
- October 1 - 31, 20268%
$140.9K Vol.
When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?
- No return before November 1, 202687%
- October 1 - 31, 202614%
$115.9K Vol.
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
- 3.00 ft or more30%
- 1.00 to 2.99 ft25%
$31.9K Vol.
Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?
- 6.00 ft or more32%
- 4.00 to 4.99 ft30%
$16.9K Vol.
Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?
- 5% to 19.99%28%
- 20% to 39.99%28%
$14.9K Vol.

Global

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
- 4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft78%
- Below 4,189.3 ft18%
$25.8K Vol.
What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?
- Over 2.581%
- 2.25–2.514%
$88.8K Vol.
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
- 1297%
- 111%
$35.7K Vol.weekly
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
- ≤622%
- 712%
$17.8K Vol.weekly
US Tornadoes in October 2026
- 35 - 5926%
- 90 or more22%
$7.3K Vol.monthly
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
- 3.00 ft or more30%
- 1.00 to 2.99 ft25%
$31.9K Vol.

Tornadoes

US Tornadoes in October 2026
- 35 - 5926%
- 90 or more22%
$7.3K Vol.monthly
US Tornadoes in September 2026
- 50 - 7476%
- 75 - 12416%
$3.3K Vol.monthly

Hurricanes

How strong will Isaias be?
- Category 3>99%
- Category 1 or weaker<1%
$19.6K Vol.
Where will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
- Florida>99%
- Hawaii10%
$40.7K Vol.
How strong will Nolo be?
- Category 498%
- Category 52%
$17.1K Vol.
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
6%chance
$350.6K Vol.2 months left
How strong will Simon be?
- Category 497%
- Category 53%
$17.6K Vol.
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?
10%chance
$59.7K Vol.2 months left

Earthquakes

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 5 - October 11?
- 1297%
- 111%
$35.7K Vol.weekly
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
- ≤622%
- 712%
$17.8K Vol.weekly
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- 14–1652%
- 17–1921%
$1.5M Vol.annual
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 12 - October 18?
- 048%
- 137%
$1.3K Vol.weekly
Where will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
- Indonesia52%
- Japan38%
$4.6K Vol.monthly
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
- 6.5+>99%
- 7.0+99%
$16.1K Vol.

Volcanoes

Etna eruption with VEI 2+ in 2026?
50%chance
$71.2 Vol.2 months left
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
6%chance
$669.6 Vol.2 months left

Pandemics

Plague pandemic in 2026?
2%chance
$393.0K Vol.2 months left
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?
4%chance
$98.1K Vol.2 months left
Plague declared public health emergency by...?
- November 305%
- December 314%
$17.1K Vol.
New pandemic in 2026?
5%chance
$1.2M Vol.2 months left
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- 35 to 4961%
- 20 to 3429%
$39.4K Vol.
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
2%chance
$18.6M Vol.2 months left

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Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20

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Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 20

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Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 20

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Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±3.5¢Min Shares 20

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.

Max Spread ±6.5¢

Min Shares 20

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Max Spread ±6.5¢

Min Shares 20

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards