All markets
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?
3%chance
- Yes2.9%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.9¢ per share
- No97%
97.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.9¢Spread 1.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1¢ | 34.88 | $0.73 |
| 1.2¢ | 30 | $0.36 |
| 1¢ | 10 | $0.10 |
| 0.6¢ | 6.67 | $0.04 |
| 0.5¢ | 9 | $0.05 |
| 0.4¢ | 19.26 | $0.08 |
| 0.3¢ | 111.86 | $0.34 |
| 0.2¢ | 567.47 | $1.13 |
| 0.1¢ | 907.49 | $0.91 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 19.72 | $0.75 |
| 3.9¢ | 20.1 | $0.78 |
| 6.9¢ | 79.9 | $5.51 |
| 7¢ | 1,000 | $70.00 |
| 8¢ | 492.38 | $39.39 |
| 9¢ | 200 | $18.00 |
| 10.1¢ | 9.28 | $0.94 |
| 11¢ | 2,000 | $220.00 |
| 12¢ | 793.31 | $95.20 |
| 27¢ | 10 | $2.70 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.