Middle East

$121.8K Vol.2 months left

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

$8.5K Vol.17 days left

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

$274.5K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait8%

$905.2K Vol.

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

$198.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-868%
9-1018%

$11.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-740%
8-937%

$4.8K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

20%chance

$3.1K Vol.17 days left

Iran Nuke before 2027?

$605.2K Vol.2 months left

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3168%
November 3068%

$40.0K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.7K Vol.8 months left

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20267%

$115.5K Vol.

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 3030%
October 3111%

$97.9K Vol.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

10%chance

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.7K Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.8K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

September 2678%
September 2773%

$213.5K Vol.monthly

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%
Yoav Ben-Tzur26%

$14.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

532%
425%

$9.5K Vol.

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

9%chance

$235.0K Vol.2 months left

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

December 3110%
October 311%

$5.8K Vol.

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3127%
October 3113%

$64.2K Vol.

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1585%

$9.0K Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+33%
8-932%

$8.0K Vol.

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

$566.9 Vol.17 days left

Saudi troops enter Taiz by...?

December 3126%
October 313%

$15.1K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

November 3052%
October 3124%

$17.5K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

13%chance

$325.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3141%
October 1512%

$131.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-730%

$7.1K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by...?

19%chance

$18.0K Vol.2 months left

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

15%chance

$6.2K Vol.17 days left

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait12%
Egypt10%

$79.8K Vol.

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 3123%
December 315%

$1.4M Vol.

Will Iran target Oman by...?

November 3019%
October 313%

$45.1K Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

September 1829%
September 2525%

$122.1K Vol.monthly

Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?

December 319%
October 314%

$4.7K Vol.

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

October 3123%
October 1515%

$24.1K Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

$10.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

$473.2K Vol.2 months left

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-950%
6-722%

$5.7K Vol.

Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?

November 306%
October 312%

$27.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1635%
11-1324%

$6.8K Vol.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%chance

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

$677.7K Vol.

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

256%
121%

$5.4K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.4K Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-931%
12-1327%

$6.4K Vol.

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

October 313%
October 15<1%

$13.8K Vol.

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

$71.0K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

$641.4K Vol.2 months left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

64%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

December 314%
October 312%

$12.4K Vol.

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

$65.0K Vol.2 months left

Palestinian elections delayed again?

58%chance

$0.0 Vol.11 months left

Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?

December 3110%
October 314%

$5.0K Vol.

Houthis target Syria by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$4.1K Vol.

Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by...?

December 3116%
November 3013%

$32.0 Vol.

Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by...?

December 3116%
October 311%

$14.0K Vol.

Saudi troops enter Sanaa by...?

December 317%
October 313%

$9.2K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by October 31?

$1.3K Vol.17 days left

NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?

$18.7K Vol.2 months left

Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$7.0K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

December 3115%
October 315%

$5.0K Vol.

Houthis seize an oil tanker by...?

$35.5K Vol.17 days left

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%45%
16-18%30%

$5.0K Vol.

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

32%chance

$2.5K Vol.17 days left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

4-534%
6-734%

$11.2K Vol.

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

11%chance

$16.6K Vol.17 days left

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

$6.9K Vol.17 days left

Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

December 3115%
October 312%

$64.8K Vol.

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3035%
October 3117%

$84.4K Vol.

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

$974.4 Vol.17 days left

Will Iran target Syria by...?

$2.1K Vol.17 days left

Will Iran target Egypt by...?

$1.3K Vol.17 days left

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

10%chance

$40.4K Vol.2 months left

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3124%
October 317%

$250.6K Vol.

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

13%chance

$13.2K Vol.2 months left

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%chance

$223.4 Vol.2 months left

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

$102.5K Vol.2 months left

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%chance

$355.2K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$56.0K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$33.5K Vol.2 months left

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

6%chance

$32.7K Vol.2 months left

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

$195.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

$238.0 Vol.2 months left

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

$161.0K Vol.2 months left

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

11%chance

$54.2K Vol.2 months left

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

$15.2K Vol.2 months left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

$186.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

$94.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?