Israel

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1598%
- October 3181%
$12.5M Vol.monthly

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1599%
October 3186%

$34.6M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$46.0M Vol.

$1.8M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$120.5K Vol.

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3128%
October 319%

$358.5K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud42%

$664.0K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3119%
October 314%

$7.4M Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together70%
The Democrats18%

$18.8K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

41%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$61.0K Vol.

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

7%chance

$829.3K Vol.17 days left

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2444%
25-2926%

$503.6K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu53%
The Democrats51%

$56.0K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats41%
Together38%

$8.0K Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement64%
Likud34%

$64.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$39.2K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

92%chance

$53.2K Vol.13 days left

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud51%
Yashar40%

$19.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$49.0K Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1592%
October 2890%

$141.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%40%
2.75-3.25%28%

$3.1K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 316%
October 154%

$22.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<462%
4-630%

$11.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

0.75-1.25%49%
<0.75%45%

$5.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

24-2525%
22-2322%

$19.1K Vol.

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

11%chance

$6.9K Vol.17 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.4K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

41%chance

$59.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

6.5-7.5%35%
5.5-6.5%31%

$2.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%44%
5-6%28%

$4.3K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%43%
6-7%37%

$7.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%42%
2.5-3.25%28%

$4.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%36%
7-9%31%

$3.6K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait8%

$905.2K Vol.

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

28%chance

$1.1K Vol.5 months left

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change93%
Decrease7%

$60.8K Vol.annual

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.7K Vol.8 months left

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.7K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

61%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-744%
8-934%

$4.5K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

October 3166%
October 152%

$11.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$14.3K Vol.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut86%

$14.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

17%chance

$6.6K Vol.13 days left

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

38%chance

$16.8K Vol.13 days left

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%chance

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+34%
8-932%

$8.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%43%
6%+42%

$4.4K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

December 3126%
October 316%

$329.4K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

13%chance

$325.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

5%chance

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%44%
<6%31%

$3.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

4.5-5.5%33%
5.5-6.5%26%

$3.7K Vol.

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%47%
3.25-4%18%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

8%chance

$20.6K Vol.17 days left

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

13%chance

$1.7M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

533%
428%

$9.2K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

3%chance

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-730%

$7.0K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy10%
New Zealand10%

$762.4K Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

8%chance

$10.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%chance

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

48%chance

$5.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-951%
6-722%

$5.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1632%
11-1325%

$6.8K Vol.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%chance

$473.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202734%
June 30, 202730%

$8.5M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.4K Vol.1 year left

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$215.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-931%
12-1325%

$6.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

54%chance

$789.5 Vol.13 days left

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

$71.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

<0.5%96%
0.5-0.75%2%

$5.4K Vol.

Netanyahu drops out before election?

2%chance

$2.2K Vol.12 days left

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

94%chance

$28.2K Vol.13 days left

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

162%
231%

$63.6K Vol.

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

5%chance

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%35%
6-7%27%

$2.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

54%chance

$379.7 Vol.4 months left

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

December 3157%
October 3117%

$6.4K Vol.

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

33%chance

$349.7 Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%40%
16-18%26%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-741%
4-535%

$11.2K Vol.

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

11%chance

$16.6K Vol.17 days left

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

4%chance

$6.9K Vol.17 days left

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3037%
October 3118%

$84.4K Vol.

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

48%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

2%chance

$3.6K Vol.2 months left

Netanyahu arrested by…?

5%chance

$8.2K Vol.2 months left

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3124%
October 317%

$250.6K Vol.

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

3%chance

$7.8K Vol.2 months left

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

4%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 months left

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%chance

$99.7K Vol.1 year left

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 3123%
December 315%

$1.4M Vol.

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%chance

$223.4 Vol.2 months left

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

15%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

10%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$56.0K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$33.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

11%chance

$13.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%chance

$195.4K Vol.2 months left

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

11%chance

$54.2K Vol.2 months left

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

7%chance

$15.2K Vol.2 months left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%chance

$186.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%chance

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

8%chance

$94.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

6%chance

$688.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Netanyahu out by...?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Netanyahu drops out before election?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Netanyahu arrested by…?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?