World

100 events

Brazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva14%
$181.0M Vol.

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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen43%
Édouard Philippe20%

$150.3M Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%
December 31, 20264%

$29.2M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$885.1K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson15%

$10.1M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.9M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance

$44.0M Vol.2 months left

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$8.9M Vol.

$40.2M Vol.

NATO article 5 before 2027?

5%chance

$283.0K Vol.2 months left

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance

$3.6M Vol.2 months left

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 312%

$4.3M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen88%
Édouard Philippe4%

$13.3K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Mohammed bin Salman78%
Vladimir Putin78%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

5%chance

$563.0K Vol.2 months left

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

Donald Trump9%
Yulia Navalnaya9%

$15.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Ofer Winter17%

$38.5K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon43%
Édouard Philippe37%

$9.9K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3189%
October 3169%

$881.5K Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change81%
25 bps increase18%

$113.8K Vol.annual

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

5%chance

$228.2K Vol.2 months left

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202746%
June 30, 202736%

$2.9M Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 20%+23%
Ruas 15-20%9%

$26.0K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Gabriel Attal21%

$6.6K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu53%
The Democrats50%

$54.9K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%61%
Remain 60–80%22%

$20.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv17%

$48.9K Vol.

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

<1%chance

$23.7K Vol.18 days left

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Germany15%
Japan14%

$680.9K Vol.annual

Spain General Election Winner

PP86%
PSOE14%

$102.4K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

41%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change97%
25 bps increase3%

$199.5K Vol.annual

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%47%
4.50-4.99%19%

$162.4K Vol.

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$174.1K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$45.4K Vol.2 days left

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

8%chance

$2.9M Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?

AfD63%
Grüne37%

$58.6K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$273.6K Vol.2 months left

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

59%chance

$51.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202730%
December 31, 20265%

$33.2K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$252.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
76-78%18%

$12.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<473%
4-628%

$10.9K Vol.

French election called by...?

8%chance

$9.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%48%
0.75-1.25%42%

$4.9K Vol.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

5%chance

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Macron out by...?

6%chance

$39.7K Vol.2 months left

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

4%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.0K Vol.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

28%chance

$533.1K Vol.2 months left

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 3-6%28%
Allyson 10-15%26%

$8.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%42%
5-6%28%

$4.2K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

74%chance

$7.1K Vol.5 months left

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%50%
Iotova 10-20%31%

$13.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

20-2138%
22-2325%

$17.9K Vol.

Northern Nalšia District By-Election Winner

Gintautas Kindurys49%
Ignotas Adomavičius20%

$7.0K Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

2%chance

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa54%
Centre Party36%

$974.9 Vol.

Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Zeeshan Wahla43%
Amna Shah37%

$2.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

20%chance

$6.6K Vol.14 days left

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%37%
Celina 25%+28%

$3.8K Vol.

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

6.5-7.5%43%
5.5-6.5%39%

$2.4K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton76%
Harwinder Sandhu18%

$5.4K Vol.

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$6.9K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December

No change70%
25 bps increase26%

$9.7K Vol.annual

Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Jaime Stein56%
Sunita Dhir35%

$1.6K Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$82.7K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%38%
6-7%35%

$6.7K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PCN28%
PDC28%

$6.4K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

64%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

85%chance

$23.9K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne95%

$21.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.5K Vol.

Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Paul Choi42%
David Xie34%

$1.2K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+39%
Mailza 10-15%32%

$4.2K Vol.

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang76%
Bruce Kong21%

$3.4K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

7%chance

$7.5K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2840%
Yoav Ben-Tzur22%

$13.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%40%
7-9%22%

$2.9K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

New pandemic in 2026?

5%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Ukraine election called by...?

5%chance

$97.5K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

5%chance

$167.3K Vol.2 months left

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%46%
1.1 – 1.5%26%

$112.4K Vol.

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy65%
Sara Lopez32%

$1.4K Vol.

Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?

UAE41%
Turkey28%

$33.0K Vol.

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202716%
December 31, 20268%

$250.4K Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Li Xi7%
Ding Xuexiang6%

$251.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.8K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.4K Vol.8 months left

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal56%
Terry Yung32%

$3.4K Vol.

World

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?

Netanyahu out by...?

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

French election called by...?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Macron out by...?

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Bulgaria election?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

New pandemic in 2026?

Ukraine election called by...?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?