All markets

Fed Decision in October?

• No change87%YesNo
• 25 bps increase13%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

• 340-359>99%YesNo
• 360-379<1%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro77%YesNo
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva23%YesNo

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 16>99%YesNo
• October 1796%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MIBR (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

• Astralis28%
• MIBR72%

LoL: MVK Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

• MVK Esports16%
• Karmine Corp85%

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

• Harry Kane65%YesNo
• Lamine Yamal28%YesNo

East Carolina vs. UAB

• 17East Carolina0%
• 30UAB100%

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 1896%YesNo
• October 2193%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen46%YesNo
• Édouard Philippe18%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↑ 82,50084%YesNo
• ↓ 80,00077%YesNo

Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Francesco Passaro

• 1M. Trungelliti57%
• 1F. Passaro43%

MLB World Series Champion 2026

• Milwaukee Brewers65%YesNo
• Cleveland Guardians19%YesNo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

• March 3159%YesNo
• December 3134%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B

• Legacy61%
• BetBoom Team40%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona24%YesNo
• Paris Saint-Germain16%YesNo

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep63%YesNo
• R Senate, D House28%YesNo

Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion

• 23Georgia Southern100%
• 15Old Dominion0%

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club - More Markets

• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

• San Francisco 49ers13%YesNo
• Buffalo Bills12%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%40%YesNo
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%28%YesNo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party91%YesNo
• Republican Party10%YesNo

Worlds 2026: Winner

• Gen.G32%YesNo
• Hanwha Life Esports19%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 16?

• ↓ 81,00055%YesNo
• ↓ 80,0009%YesNo

Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Team Synapse55%
• Dawn Bulls45%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance47%YesNo
• Marco Rubio14%YesNo

NBA: 2027 Champion

• San Antonio Spurs22%YesNo
• Oklahoma City Thunder20%YesNo

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot49%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu31%YesNo

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party65%YesNo
• Republican Party37%YesNo

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln

• Frankfurt53%
• Köln48%

Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Abha Saudi Club

• 2Al Qadisiyah>99%
• 1Abha<1%

EPL: 2027 Champion

• Arsenal64%YesNo
• Manchester City19%YesNo

LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

• FURIA Esports18%
• Cloud983%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T87%YesNo
• ↑$1.75T71%YesNo

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln - More Markets

• O/U 0.598%YesNo
• O/U 1.591%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

• 340-35916%YesNo
• 380-39915%YesNo

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

• ↑ $10085%YesNo
• ↓ $9571%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?

• 90-11454%YesNo
• 115-13932%YesNo

Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC

• Fulham56%
• Hull City AFC44%

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

• ↓ 2,25056%YesNo
• ↑ 3,00038%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Team Nemesis100%
• Nuclear TigeRES0%

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 202725%YesNo
• December 3113%YesNo

FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg

• 0FC Energie Cottbus36%
• 0Nürnberg65%

Panthers vs. Eagles

• Panthers64%
• Eagles37%

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%YesNo
• Gavin Newsom15%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,00055%YesNo
• ↓ 70,00041%YesNo

Texas Senate Election Winner

• James Talarico (D)63%YesNo
• Ken Paxton (R)38%YesNo

Washington vs. Purdue

• Washington41%
• Purdue60%

IF Brommapojkarna vs. Djurgardens IF

• IF Brommapojkarna16%
• Djurgardens IF85%

Dota 2: Royal Bear vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - DreamLeague Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Royal Bear100%
• InterActive Philippines0%

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

• BNK FEARX68%
• Team WE33%

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

• December 3137%YesNo
• November 3019%YesNo

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona81%YesNo
• Real Madrid16%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

• No Hormuz Agreement95%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate3%YesNo

Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina

• Appalachian State52%
• Coastal Carolina49%

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

• ↓ 80,00031%YesNo
• ↑ 84,0007%YesNo

Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi

• 0M. Mmoh<1%
• 2L. Nardi>99%

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Cloud Dawning (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Xtreme Gaming100%
• Cloud Dawning0%

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD - More Markets

• O/U 0.594%YesNo
• RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 0.581%YesNo

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD Vance21%YesNo
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%YesNo

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T24%YesNo
• $2.0–$2.25T23%YesNo

Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC

• Everton31%
• Chelsea70%

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

• December 3139%YesNo
• October 3114%YesNo

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

• October 18>99%YesNo
• October 2197%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

• ↓ 2,40053%YesNo
• ↑ 2,50018%YesNo

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

• 100 Thieves71%
• Sangal30%

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

• Rays51%
• Guardians50%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 314%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar67%YesNo
• Likud34%YesNo

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

• Nemiga Gaming>99%
• SpiritAc<1%

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

• December 3114%YesNo
• November 3010%YesNo

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs The Warriors (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

• Yellow Submarine51%
• The Warriors50%

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase78%YesNo
• No change19%YesNo

Çorum FK vs. Çaykur Rizespor

• Çorum FK49%
• Rizespor52%

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio - More Markets

• O/U 0.596%YesNo
• O/U 1.588%YesNo

Anthropic IPO by __?

• December 31, 202663%YesNo
• December 15, 202658%YesNo

Frosinone Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio

• Frosinone Calcio40%
• Sassuolo61%

Titans vs. Colts

• Titans26%
• Colts75%

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs potn9ki (BO3) - DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Team Lynx>99%
• potn9ki<1%

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $80; D Senate62%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNo

Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC - More Markets

• O/U 0.592%YesNo
• Hertha BSC O/U 0.578%YesNo

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

• December 3131%YesNo
• November 3021%YesNo

Counter-Strike: BBL vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• BBL91%
• EYEBALLERS10%

Ohio Senate Election Winner

• Sherrod Brown (D)65%YesNo
• Jon Husted (R)36%YesNo

Highest temperature in Tokyo on October 16?

• 25°C>99%YesNo
• 24°C<1%YesNo

Ravens vs. Browns

• Ravens64%
• Browns37%

Al Ahli Doha SC vs. AL Wakrah SC - More Markets

• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo

Wieczysta Krakow vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa

• Wieczysta Krakow43%
• RKS Rakow Czestochowa57%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)97%YesNo
• 2 (50 bps)<1%YesNo

Zimbabwe Women Tour of India T20s: India Women vs Zimbabwe Women

• India Women>99%
• Zimbabwe Women<1%

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

• ↓ 2,40088%YesNo
• ↑ 2,50074%YesNo

FK Kokand 1912 vs. FK Neftchi Fargona - More Markets

• FK Neftchi Fargona (-1.5)>99%YesNo
• O/U 2.5>99%YesNo

Commanders vs. 49ers

• Commanders23%
• 49ers78%

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 16?

• 56-57°F85%YesNo
• 58-59°F14%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,00099%YesNo

Chargers vs. Chiefs

• Chargers22%
• Chiefs79%

Texans vs. Jaguars

• Texans44%
• Jaguars56%

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs HAVU (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #2 Group B

• Phantom>99%
• HAVU<1%

Saints vs. Giants

• Saints52%
• Giants49%

Al Dhafra SSC vs. Dubai United FC - More Markets

• O/U 4.5>99%YesNo
• O/U 3.5>99%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

• December 31, 202768%YesNo
• November 30, 202764%YesNo

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

• December 3130%YesNo
• November 3027%YesNo

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

• December 3113%YesNo
• November 307%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Joga de terno vs your end (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage

• Joga de terno<1%
• your end>99%

ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc

• 1Oțelul Galați<1%
• 1Csíkszereda>99%

FC Energie Cottbus vs. 1. FC Nürnberg - More Markets

• O/U 0.595%YesNo
• FC Energie Cottbus O/U 0.585%YesNo

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

• Javier Milei50%YesNo
• Axel Kicillof30%YesNo

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX64%YesNo
• Anthropic36%YesNo

Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $25M95%YesNo
• $50M93%YesNo

KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Paris Basketball

• Crvena Zvezda75%
• Paris Basketball26%

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

• March 31, 202724%YesNo
• December 319%YesNo

Serie A: 2027 Champion

• Inter Milan60%YesNo
• Roma14%YesNo

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

• December 318%YesNo
• October 311%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

• Luca Niculescu87%YesNo
• Sorin Grindeanu1%YesNo

Memphis vs. Tulane

• Memphis71%
• Tulane30%

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 16?

• 20°C>99%YesNo
• 23°C or higher<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in London on October 16?

• 17°C>99%YesNo
• 18°C<1%YesNo

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

• 2 (50 bps)68%YesNo
• 1 (25 bps)22%YesNo

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs

• PARIVISION65%
• magic36%

Cowboys vs. Packers

• Cowboys49%
• Packers52%

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

• Nithya Raman54%YesNo
• Karen Bass47%YesNo

Dota 2: ALOHADANCE Team vs by Owl Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs

• ALOHADANCE Team>99%
• by Owl Team<1%

Catania: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller

• 1G. Cadenasso88%
• 0Marvin Moeller13%

Highest temperature in Milan on October 16?

• 20°C>99%YesNo
• 16°C or below<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Paris on October 16?

• 21°C>99%YesNo
• 22°C<1%YesNo

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage

• ex-Zero Tenacity<1%
• UNiTY esports>99%

West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies

• India71%
• West Indies30%

Michigan Senate Election Winner

• Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%YesNo
• Mike Rogers (R)33%YesNo

Holstein Kiel vs. Hertha BSC

• 0Holstein Kiel27%
• 0Hertha BSC74%

Ohio State vs. Indiana

• Ohio State59%
• Indiana42%

Highest temperature in Austin on October 16?

• 74-75°F98%YesNo
• 76-77°F2%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement97%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate2%YesNo

Rovereto: Lucie Havlickova vs Jil Teichmann

• 1L. Havlickova72%
• 0J. Teichmann28%

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google73%YesNo
• Anthropic24%YesNo

ASC Oțelul Galați vs. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - More Markets

• O/U 1.5>99%YesNo
• 1st Half O/U 0.5>99%YesNo

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 16?

• 29°C>99%YesNo
• 30°C<1%YesNo

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

• Chiang Wan-an63%YesNo
• Puma Shen38%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit on October 16?

• ↓ 2,40030%YesNo
• ↓ 2,3504%YesNo

Virginia vs. SMU

• Virginia25%
• SMU76%

Largest Company end of October 2026?

• NVIDIA82%YesNo
• Apple13%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 260-27910%YesNo
• 280-29910%YesNo

Highest temperature in Munich on October 16?

• 20°C>99%YesNo
• 14°C or below<1%YesNo

Wieczysta Krakow vs. RKS Rakow Czestochowa - More Markets

• O/U 0.586%YesNo
• Wieczysta Krakow O/U 0.568%YesNo

Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

• Burnley31%
• Wolverhampton Wanderers FC70%

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD

• RC Deportivo A Coruña46%
• Levante55%

Bears vs. Falcons

• Bears51%
• Falcons50%

Highest temperature in Busan on October 16?

• 25°C>99%YesNo
• 23°C<1%YesNo

Raptors vs. Pistons

• Raptors22%
• Pistons79%

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 16?

• 65°F or below67%YesNo
• 66-67°F31%YesNo

FK Kokand 1912 vs. FK Neftchi Fargona

• FK Kokand 1912<1%
• FK Neftchi Fargona>99%

# of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer on week 1?

• 40-60M68%YesNo
• 60-80M20%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

• A. Zverev76%
• A. Fokina25%

Israel military action against Syria by...?

• November 3031%YesNo
• October 3114%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

• Aleksandar Vučić69%YesNo
• Ilija Srdanović19%YesNo

Hornets vs. Grizzlies

• Hornets51%
• Grizzlies50%

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

• CXMT31%YesNo
• CATL21%YesNo

Le Mans FC vs. Toulouse FC - More Markets

• O/U 0.595%YesNo
• O/U 1.583%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

• Nicolás Maduro71%YesNo
• Delcy Rodríguez23%YesNo

KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. Traktor

• Neftekhimik76%
• Traktor25%

UNLV vs. Air Force

• UNLV51%
• Air Force50%

Dota 2: Stray Team vs Gorgc Team (BO3) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs

• Stray Team9%
• Gorgc Team91%

Manchester City FC vs. Ipswich Town FC

• Man City80%
• Ipswich21%

Highest temperature in Singapore on October 16?

• 33°C>99%YesNo
• 34°C<1%YesNo

CD Leganés vs. Córdoba CF - More Markets

• O/U 0.594%YesNo
• CD Leganés O/U 0.577%YesNo

Utah vs. Colorado

• Utah87%
• Colorado14%

Highest temperature in Wuhan on October 16?

• 23°C>99%YesNo
• 20°C<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Moscow on October 16?

• 12°C>99%YesNo
• 13°C<1%YesNo

Fed Decision in January?

• No change66%YesNo
• 25 bps increase31%YesNo

What price will Solana hit in October?

• ↓ 10070%YesNo
• ↑ 11057%YesNo

Highest temperature in Chengdu on October 16?

• 21°C>99%YesNo
• 26°C<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 16?

• 26°C49%YesNo
• 25°C33%YesNo

SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?

• $145-$15073%YesNo
• $140-$14526%YesNo