Israel

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1598%
- October 1796%
$12.8M Vol.monthly

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1598%
October 2190%

$34.7M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot49%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$46.0M Vol.

$1.8M Vol.

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3125%
October 3110%

$362.6K Vol.

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

7%chance

$840.9K Vol.17 days left

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud42%

$664.7K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together71%
The Democrats17%

$18.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot17%

$62.9K Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3122%
October 317%

$29.6K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$121.5K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu54%
The Democrats54%

$56.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$40.0K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats37%
Together26%

$8.7K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

92%chance

$53.4K Vol.13 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Tally Gotliv14%

$49.3K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud50%
Yashar41%

$19.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

67%chance

$3.8K Vol.13 days left

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2442%
25-2926%

$503.7K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3119%
October 313%

$7.4M Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement67%
Likud34%

$65.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%30%
7-9%28%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%46%
0.75-1.25%44%

$5.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%43%
2.75-3.25%27%

$3.4K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait8%

$906.4K Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1593%
October 2890%

$141.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2325%
26-2723%

$19.2K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%42%
5-6%39%

$7.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%38%
2.5-3.25%28%

$4.9K Vol.

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

6.5-7.5%36%
5.5-6.5%34%

$2.9K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%36%
5-6%28%

$4.3K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
514%

$7.6M Vol.

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

27%chance

$1.3K Vol.5 months left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-869%
9-1017%

$11.7K Vol.

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

10%chance

$6.9K Vol.17 days left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<462%
4-639%

$11.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-741%
8-937%

$4.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.6K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

25%chance

$3.1K Vol.17 days left

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1633%
11-1332%

$7.6K Vol.

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

41%chance

$59.6K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

14%chance

$7.2K Vol.13 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$14.4K Vol.

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

December 3125%
October 318%

$329.9K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3036%
October 3123%

$84.9K Vol.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut86%

$14.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

533%
623%

$9.5K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

October 3170%
October 152%

$11.1K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout

68-70%46%
<66%26%

$380.2 Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%chance

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

35%chance

$17.0K Vol.13 days left

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change93%
Decrease7%

$60.9K Vol.annual

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+34%
8-929%

$8.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%39%
6%+35%

$4.4K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

$182.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

4-532%
6-731%

$11.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%41%
<6%32%

$3.5K Vol.

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

6%chance

$20.7K Vol.17 days left

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

13%chance

$325.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

5%chance

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%47%
3.25-4%21%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-732%

$7.1K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%chance

$473.2K Vol.2 months left

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

165%
230%

$63.7K Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

4%chance

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 3123%
December 315%

$1.4M Vol.

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-934%
10-1132%

$6.4K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 316%
October 154%

$22.1K Vol.

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

19%chance

$56.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

7.5%+36%
5.5-6.5%27%

$3.7K Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

7%chance

$10.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%chance

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

47%chance

$5.0K Vol.2 months left

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

3%chance

$11.1K Vol.17 days left

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy10%
New Zealand9%

$762.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-948%
6-722%

$5.7K Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

12%chance

$1.7M Vol.2 months left

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

94%chance

$28.2K Vol.13 days left

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

2%chance

$7.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

<0.5%97%
0.5-0.75%2%

$5.4K Vol.

Netanyahu drops out before election?

2%chance

$2.2K Vol.12 days left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202734%
June 30, 202730%

$8.5M Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

60%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%30%
6-7%24%

$2.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

51%chance

$379.7 Vol.4 months left

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

December 3157%
October 3120%

$6.4K Vol.

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

32%chance

$349.7 Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%42%
<16%26%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

11%chance

$16.6K Vol.17 days left

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

4%chance

$6.9K Vol.17 days left

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

48%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

2%chance

$3.6K Vol.2 months left

Netanyahu arrested by…?

5%chance

$8.2K Vol.2 months left

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3124%
October 317%

$250.6K Vol.

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

5%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 months left

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%chance

$99.7K Vol.1 year left

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%chance

$223.4 Vol.2 months left

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

5%chance

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

15%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

10%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

20%chance

$33.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

11%chance

$13.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%chance

$195.4K Vol.2 months left

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

11%chance

$54.2K Vol.2 months left

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

7%chance

$15.2K Vol.2 months left

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$215.2K Vol.2 months left

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

$71.0K Vol.2 months left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%chance

$186.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Netanyahu out by...?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

Netanyahu drops out before election?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Netanyahu arrested by…?

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?