World

Next French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen42%
- Édouard Philippe22%
$149.8M Vol.

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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$73.8M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot46%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.7M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

$180.4M Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3126%
October 317%

$8.8M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$550.7K Vol.

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?

June 30, 20279%
December 313%

$4.3M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance

$43.9M Vol.2 months left

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202746%
June 30, 202733%

$2.9M Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

3%chance

$14.8M Vol.2 months left

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson83%
Ulf Kristersson15%

$10.0M Vol.

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

4%chance

$351.0K Vol.2 months left

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202710%
December 31, 20263%

$28.8M Vol.

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change78%
25 bps increase21%

$107.8K Vol.annual

Where will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next?

$171.9K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

$20.9K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

3%chance

$377.8K Vol.7 days left

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei88%
No Head of State4%

$40.2M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$49.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$41.1K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin81%
Mohammed bin Salman69%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

6%chance

$30.9K Vol.2 months left

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$81.8K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$249.7K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$98.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2837%
Tally Gotliv13%

$44.3K Vol.

New pandemic in 2026?

5%chance

$1.2M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen14%

$41.8K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

65%chance

$47.7K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar56%
Yisrael Beiteinu55%

$50.2K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

$181.9K Vol.2 months left

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

5%chance

$104.7K Vol.2 months left

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%57%
Remain 20–40%23%

$13.1K Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

16%chance

$7.7K Vol.8 months left

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$215.2K Vol.2 months left

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

5%chance

$220.7K Vol.2 months left

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

25 bps increase54%
No change43%

$93.2K Vol.annual

Argentina Annual Inflation 2026

30.0-34.9%61%
25-29.9%33%

$79.8K Vol.monthly

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

12%chance

$224.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

4-532%
6-731%

$11.2K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 6-10%28%
Aziz 10-15%26%

$5.2K Vol.

El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

PDC28%
Vamos27%

$5.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

13%chance

$5.2K Vol.15 days left

Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Margareta Dovgal64%
Terry Yung35%

$3.0K Vol.

Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Gordon Zhang61%
Bruce Kong23%

$2.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

24%chance

$15.2K Vol.1 year left

Ukraine lowers conscription age by...?

March 3118%
December 316%

$4.0K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%46%
6-7%33%

$4.8K Vol.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut86%

$14.0K Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Ding Xuexiang5%
Dong Jun4%

$250.7K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Dorinha <4%37%
Vicentinho <4%25%

$2.1K Vol.

Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kristina Loewen47%
Loyal Wooldridge24%

$1.8K Vol.

Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Garry Purewal50%
Jagrup Brar36%

$1.8K Vol.

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Kevin Acton63%
Harwinder Sandhu13%

$3.8K Vol.

Macron out by...?

4%chance

$38.2K Vol.2 months left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland14%
Kuwait7%

$1.7M Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<460%
4-636%

$9.0K Vol.

Ukraine election called by...?

7%chance

$96.9K Vol.2 months left

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

5%chance

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

5%chance

$553.8K Vol.2 months left

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202720%
December 31, 20265%

$172.2K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 10-15%39%
Celina 20-25%37%

$2.5K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+43%
Mailza 10-15%33%

$3.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
80-82%19%

$10.0K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD96%
Grüne92%

$20.8K Vol.

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

12%chance

$92.7K Vol.2 months left

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

December 31, 202620%
October 31, 202611%

$361.4K Vol.

North Island British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Anna Kindy83%
Sara Lopez26%

$903.9 Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

2%chance

$1.1M Vol.2 months left

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 15%+35%
Allyson <3%25%

$7.5K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

11%chance

$3.5M Vol.1 year left

World

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

Netanyahu out by...?

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Macron out by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?