
I still got the sauce 🍅
$1,333,831.52
+$2,224,416.77
$252,833,631.18
3,262 markets traded
+$402,880.36
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be l…| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No1,382,244 shares74¢ → 89.5¢ | 1,382,244 | 74¢ → 89.5¢ | $1,237,108.35 +$214,271.77 (+20.9%) |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes375,601.9 shares12.6¢ → 5.1¢ | 375,601.9 |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes · 5 shares at 52¢ | $2.60 |
| Buy | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes · 8,369.7 shares at 51.4¢ | $4,408.11 |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
| 12.6¢ → 5.1¢ |
$18,967.89 -$28,192.76 (-59.8%) |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes85,315.3 shares22.2¢ → 21.5¢ | 85,315.3 | 22.2¢ → 21.5¢ | $18,342.80 -$589.70 (-3.1%) |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No30,955.2 shares41.8¢ → 50.8¢ | 30,955.2 | 41.8¢ → 50.8¢ | $15,740.71 +$2,815.22 (+21.8%) |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes24,999.5 shares25¢ → 27.5¢ | 24,999.5 | 25¢ → 27.5¢ | $6,874.85 +$624.99 (+10%) |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes8,374.7 shares51.4¢ → 61¢ | 8,374.7 | 51.4¢ → 61¢ | $5,108.55 +$802.39 (+18.6%) |
Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? No5,102.1 shares94.6¢ → 92.1¢ | 5,102.1 | 94.6¢ → 92.1¢ | $4,698.99 -$125.70 (-2.6%) |
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes61,404.2 shares14.8¢ → 6.5¢ | 61,404.2 | 14.8¢ → 6.5¢ | $3,991.27 -$5,117.73 (-56.2%) |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes8,788.8 shares34.9¢ → 23.5¢ | 8,788.8 | 34.9¢ → 23.5¢ | $2,065.38 -$998.59 (-32.6%) |
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? No7,289.2 shares22¢ → 26.5¢ | 7,289.2 | 22¢ → 26.5¢ | $1,931.65 +$328.02 (+20.5%) |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? Yes7,486.3 shares27¢ → 24¢ | 7,486.3 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $1,796.72 -$226.37 (-11.2%) |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes37,126 shares6.7¢ → 4.8¢ | 37,126 | 6.7¢ → 4.8¢ | $1,782.05 -$698.56 (-28.2%) |
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No1,537.3 shares93.2¢ → 97.3¢ | 1,537.3 | 93.2¢ → 97.3¢ | $1,495.79 +$63.28 (+4.4%) |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes12,406.3 shares40.4¢ → 11.5¢ | 12,406.3 | 40.4¢ → 11.5¢ | $1,426.73 -$3,585.53 (-71.5%) |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes28,947.4 shares23.7¢ → 4.5¢ | 28,947.4 | 23.7¢ → 4.5¢ | $1,302.63 -$5,554.02 (-81%) |
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? Yes1,066 shares80¢ → 89.5¢ | 1,066 | 80¢ → 89.5¢ | $954.05 +$101.27 (+11.9%) |
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes4,351.2 shares56.8¢ → 21.5¢ | 4,351.2 | 56.8¢ → 21.5¢ | $935.52 -$1,534.17 (-62.1%) |
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes4,221.4 shares33.8¢ → 20¢ | 4,221.4 | 33.8¢ → 20¢ | $844.28 -$580.58 (-40.7%) |
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026? Yes909.7 shares83¢ → 91.8¢ | 909.7 | 83¢ → 91.8¢ | $834.67 +$79.66 (+10.6%) |
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31? Yes826.7 shares59.9¢ → 78¢ | 826.7 | 59.9¢ → 78¢ | $644.83 +$149.97 (+30.3%) |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes16,605.9 shares7.6¢ → 3.9¢ | 16,605.9 | 7.6¢ → 3.9¢ | $639.33 -$621.44 (-49.3%) |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes6,388 shares39.2¢ → 8.5¢ | 6,388 | 39.2¢ → 8.5¢ | $542.98 -$1,964.11 (-78.3%) |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes4,353.2 shares40.7¢ → 9.5¢ | 4,353.2 | 40.7¢ → 9.5¢ | $413.55 -$1,359.85 (-76.7%) |
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes1,855.8 shares30.8¢ → 21.5¢ | 1,855.8 | 30.8¢ → 21.5¢ | $398.99 -$172.07 (-30.1%) |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No1,340.5 shares34.9¢ → 28.3¢ | 1,340.5 | 34.9¢ → 28.3¢ | $380.02 -$87.99 (-18.8%) |
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes2,043.6 shares32.4¢ → 17.5¢ | 2,043.6 | 32.4¢ → 17.5¢ | $356.60 -$306.21 (-46.2%) |
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes2,943.4 shares67.2¢ → 11¢ | 2,943.4 | 67.2¢ → 11¢ | $323.78 -$1,654.98 (-83.6%) |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes12,207.6 shares8.2¢ → 2.5¢ | 12,207.6 | 8.2¢ → 2.5¢ | $299.09 -$699.71 (-70.1%) |
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes300.3 shares34.3¢ → 79.5¢ | 300.3 | 34.3¢ → 79.5¢ | $238.76 +$135.63 (+131.5%) |
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes3,002.8 shares13.1¢ → 7.5¢ | 3,002.8 | 13.1¢ → 7.5¢ | $225.21 -$168.69 (-42.8%) |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes5,963 shares22.3¢ → 3.6¢ | 5,963 | 22.3¢ → 3.6¢ | $211.68 -$1,119.17 (-84.1%) |
Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2028? Yes793.7 shares16.8¢ → 25.5¢ | 793.7 | 16.8¢ → 25.5¢ | $202.40 +$68.70 (+51.4%) |
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes2,456.5 shares19.9¢ → 8¢ | 2,456.5 | 19.9¢ → 8¢ | $196.52 -$293.47 (-59.9%) |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes998 shares29.8¢ → 17.5¢ | 998 | 29.8¢ → 17.5¢ | $174.65 -$123.23 (-41.4%) |
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31? Yes885.4 shares15.8¢ → 16.5¢ | 885.4 | 15.8¢ → 16.5¢ | $146.09 +$6.21 (+4.4%) |
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes262.4 shares41¢ → 49.5¢ | 262.4 | 41¢ → 49.5¢ | $129.88 +$22.30 (+20.7%) |
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? No138.8 shares80¢ → 89.5¢ | 138.8 | 80¢ → 89.5¢ | $124.19 +$13.18 (+11.9%) |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes639.2 shares28.7¢ → 19¢ | 639.2 | 28.7¢ → 19¢ | $121.45 -$62.01 (-33.8%) |
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? No207 shares87.8¢ → 57.5¢ | 207 | 87.8¢ → 57.5¢ | $119.01 -$62.79 (-34.5%) |
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes3,334 shares8.4¢ → 3.5¢ | 3,334 | 8.4¢ → 3.5¢ | $116.69 -$162.60 (-58.2%) |
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? No124.8 shares95.9¢ → 93.1¢ | 124.8 | 95.9¢ → 93.1¢ | $116.08 -$3.54 (-3%) |
X banned in any European country by December 31? Yes773.5 shares29.6¢ → 14.5¢ | 773.5 | 29.6¢ → 14.5¢ | $112.16 -$116.96 (-51%) |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes1,500.8 shares16.8¢ → 7¢ | 1,500.8 | 16.8¢ → 7¢ | $105.06 -$147.83 (-58.5%) |
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes3,746.8 shares18.4¢ → 2.8¢ | 3,746.8 | 18.4¢ → 2.8¢ | $104.91 -$583.66 (-84.8%) |
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes2,673.1 shares12.5¢ → 3.7¢ | 2,673.1 | 12.5¢ → 3.7¢ | $98.91 -$234.93 (-70.4%) |
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? Yes100 shares81¢ → 90.5¢ | 100 | 81¢ → 90.5¢ | $90.50 +$9.50 (+11.7%) |
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes866 shares20.4¢ → 9.5¢ | 866 | 20.4¢ → 9.5¢ | $82.27 -$94.11 (-53.4%) |
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? Yes364.6 shares44.4¢ → 20.5¢ | 364.6 | 44.4¢ → 20.5¢ | $74.75 -$87.21 (-53.8%) |
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Flávio Bolsonaro by October 31, 2026? Yes88 shares79.2¢ → 81.5¢ | 88 | 79.2¢ → 81.5¢ | $71.75 +$1.99 (+2.9%) |
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes665.7 shares26¢ → 10.5¢ | 665.7 | 26¢ → 10.5¢ | $69.89 -$103.18 (-59.6%) |
| Merge | $55,836.57 |
| Yield | — | $114.61 |
| Reward | — | $169.88 |
| Redeem | $805.67 |
| Maker rebate | — | $174.00 |
| Yield | — | $114.61 |
| Taker rebate | — | $175.15 |
| Reward | — | $251.58 |
| Redeem | $25,634.70 |
| Redeem | $183.03 |
| Redeem | $6,376.50 |
| Redeem | $2,258.77 |
| Redeem | $96,275.79 |
| Convert | $0.00 |
| Merge | $25,623.50 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 2,000 shares at 99¢ | $1,980.00 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 26,808.4 shares at 99.5¢ | $26,674.36 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 21.5 shares at 99.5¢ | $21.39 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 2,870.1 shares at 98.9¢ | $2,838.97 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 50 shares at 99.5¢ | $49.75 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 50 shares at 99.5¢ | $49.75 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 50 shares at 99.5¢ | $49.75 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 50 shares at 99.5¢ | $49.75 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 50 shares at 99.5¢ | $49.75 |
| Buy | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 50 shares at 99.5¢ | $49.75 |
| Buy | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 12,939.1 shares at 99.8¢ | $12,913.24 |
| Buy | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 500 shares at 99.8¢ | $499.00 |
| Buy | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 1,000 shares at 99.8¢ | $998.00 |
| Buy | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 3,310 shares at 99.8¢ | $3,303.38 |
| Buy | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 0.9 shares at 99.8¢ | $0.85 |
| Buy | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 19.9 shares at 99.8¢ | $19.87 |
| Buy | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 4,140.6 shares at 99.8¢ | $4,132.34 |
| Merge | $75.00 |
| Buy | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 182.9 shares at 80¢ | $147.71 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 75 shares at 77¢ | $58.39 |
| Convert | $35,921.80 |
| Convert | $22,988.40 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 2,056.1 shares at 69.1¢ | $1,420.73 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 603.5 shares at 70¢ | $422.42 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 148 shares at 72.5¢ | $107.27 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 3,902 shares at 72.5¢ | $2,867.86 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 603.5 shares at 69.8¢ | $427.65 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 128.1 shares at 71.3¢ | $91.32 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 34.8 shares at 71.3¢ | $24.84 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 48.3 shares at 71.3¢ | $34.46 |
| Buy | Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No · 138.7 shares at 71.2¢ | $100.21 |
| Merge | $30,918.00 |
| Buy | Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Yes · 11,103.4 shares at 48.1¢ | $5,484.03 |