All markets
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
View all outcomes in this event3%chance
- Yes3.5%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.5¢ per share
- No97%
96.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.5¢Spread 1.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.9¢ | 150 | $4.35 |
| 2.8¢ | 288 | $8.06 |
| 2.7¢ | 437.58 | $11.81 |
| 2.6¢ | 346 | $9.00 |
| 2.5¢ | 780 | $19.50 |
| 2.1¢ | 429 | $9.01 |
| 2¢ | 1,283.97 | $25.68 |
| 1.2¢ | 1,216.6 | $14.60 |
| 1.1¢ | 454.5 | $5.00 |
| 1¢ | 7,801.43 | $78.01 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4¢ | 10 | $0.40 |
| 4.3¢ | 5.89 | $0.25 |
| 5.3¢ | 30 | $1.59 |
| 5.4¢ | 40 | $2.16 |
| 5.5¢ | 292 | $16.06 |
| 5.9¢ | 2,562.42 | $151.18 |
| 6¢ | 50 | $3.00 |
| 6.8¢ | 400 | $27.20 |
| 7¢ | 1,021.35 | $71.49 |
| 7.3¢ | 6 | $0.44 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.