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Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
View all outcomes in this event49%chance
- Yes48.5%
Outcomes
- Yes49%
48.5¢ per share
- No52%
51.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 48.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 48¢ | 1,191.63 | $571.98 |
| 47¢ | 1,131.53 | $531.82 |
| 46¢ | 2,291 | $1,053.86 |
| 45¢ | 27,575.95 | $12,409.18 |
| 44¢ | 13,760 | $6,054.40 |
| 43¢ | 50,100 | $21,543.00 |
| 42¢ | 424 | $178.08 |
| 41¢ | 7,332 | $3,006.12 |
| 40¢ | 17,331 | $6,932.40 |
| 39¢ | 22,244 | $8,675.16 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 49¢ | 620.98 | $304.28 |
| 50¢ | 2,300.92 | $1,150.46 |
| 51¢ | 1,618.02 | $825.19 |
| 52¢ | 3,065.59 | $1,594.11 |
| 53¢ | 4,734 | $2,509.02 |
| 54¢ | 50 | $27.00 |
| 55¢ | 2,222 | $1,222.10 |
| 56¢ | 25 | $14.00 |
| 58¢ | 25 | $14.50 |
| 59¢ | 400 | $236.00 |
Rules
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.