All markets
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
View all outcomes in this event17%chance
- Yes16.5%
Outcomes
- Yes17%
16.5¢ per share
- No84%
83.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 16.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15¢ | 267.36 | $40.10 |
| 14¢ | 60 | $8.40 |
| 13¢ | 540.5 | $70.27 |
| 10¢ | 321 | $32.10 |
| 9¢ | 675 | $60.75 |
| 8¢ | 20 | $1.60 |
| 7¢ | 525.58 | $36.79 |
| 6¢ | 1,523.3 | $91.40 |
| 5¢ | 1,150 | $57.50 |
| 4¢ | 2,171.88 | $86.88 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 18¢ | 163.13 | $29.36 |
| 19¢ | 98.28 | $18.67 |
| 52¢ | 52 | $27.04 |
| 53¢ | 5 | $2.65 |
| 55¢ | 20 | $11.00 |
| 61¢ | 20 | $12.20 |
| 62¢ | 240 | $148.80 |
| 63¢ | 130 | $81.90 |
| 66¢ | 2,941.17 | $1,941.17 |
| 70¢ | 4,000 | $2,800.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.