Iran

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1598%
- October 1793%
$12.9M Vol.monthly

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1599%
October 1894%

$34.7M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.5M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3161%
December 3138%

$40.0M Vol.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 319%
October 311%

$76.1M Vol.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Abbas Araghchi41%
Jared Kushner40%

$1.5M Vol.

Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 3126%
November 3016%

$596.5K Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

14%chance

$14.8M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3133%
November 3024%

$1.9M Vol.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3025%

$3.1M Vol.

Crude Oil all time high by...?

March 31, 202719%
December 3111%

$4.9M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

1%chance

$2.4M Vol.17 days left

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

$1.3M Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3116%
November 3011%

$16.9M Vol.

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3117%
October 317%

$298.0K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3113%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?

October 295%
October 495%

$45.0K Vol.monthly

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

6%chance

$792.9K Vol.47 days left

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3126%
October 3110%

$363.6K Vol.

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

6%chance

$843.5K Vol.17 days left

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3135%
November 3033%

$337.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$177.0K Vol.

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3197%
October 1596%

$33.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$97.0K Vol.

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 3198%
October 1594%

$26.7K Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202722%
December 3112%

$27.3M Vol.

$112.7K Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202639%
November 30, 202628%

$712.1K Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3124%
October 318%

$30.0K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$55.8K Vol.

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 3128%
October 3110%

$10.2M Vol.

Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?

November 3068%
October 3150%

$8.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$49.7K Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 318%
October 31<1%

$18.1M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

10%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

European military action against Iran by...?

December 316%
October 311%

$331.7K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3119%
October 313%

$7.4M Vol.

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 12?

20-2433%
25-2926%

$8.4K Vol.weekly

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

4%chance

$148.1K Vol.2 months left

EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?

30M+96%
31M+90%

$38.2K Vol.monthly

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 894%

$66.2K Vol.monthly

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 318%
October 313%

$4.2K Vol.

EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?

30M+91%
31M+85%

$34.9K Vol.monthly

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
3.0 - 3.5M24%

$116.6K Vol.monthly

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of October?

0-586%
5-109%

$21.4K Vol.monthly

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

36%chance

$29.4K Vol.2 months left

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 3118%
October 316%

$3.5M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

467%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

12%chance

$22.2K Vol.2 months left

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 315%
October 312%

$1.1M Vol.

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 12?

170-18940%
190-20934%

$6.7K Vol.weekly

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$274.5K Vol.2 months left

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

18%chance

$502.7K Vol.2 months left

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

5%chance

$2.4M Vol.2 months left

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?

25-2955%
20-2420%

$44.0K Vol.monthly

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3156%
Qatar19%

$155.4K Vol.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

10%chance

$605.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 3036%
October 319%

$97.8K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

October 3166%
October 152%

$11.0K Vol.

Putin meets with Iranian officials by...?

December 3182%
October 3128%

$530.6 Vol.

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3127%
October 3113%

$64.2K Vol.

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

9%chance

$235.0K Vol.2 months left

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 19?

<2026%
35-3918%

$406.1 Vol.weekly

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

26%chance

$19.1K Vol.2 months left

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%chance

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?

8%chance

$566.9 Vol.17 days left

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

December 3117%
November 306%

$23.7K Vol.

Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by October 31?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?