AI

178 events

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.5T86%
- ↑$1.75T71%
$5.7M Vol.

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Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic30%

$2.6M Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T35%
$2.0–$2.25T16%

$1.8M Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL20%

$604.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3199%
October 3187%

$523.2K Vol.

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia16%
Russia11%

$106.1K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic46%
Google40%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202713%

$6.0M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 2030%
October 2219%

$96.6K Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high57%
Other40%

$22.2K Vol.weekly

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3193%
October 3126%

$294.2K Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202821%
December 31, 202712%

$693.5K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202717%

$260.5K Vol.

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.50–$1.75T37%
$1.75–$2.00T31%

$151.2K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+93%
1420+84%

$72.5K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+45%
No IPO by December 31, 202725%

$487.3K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Anthropic47%
Google46%

$299.6K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI81%
Anthropic13%

$44.0K Vol.monthly

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI62%
Google26%

$20.5K Vol.weekly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+37%
1495+27%

$289.3K Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1584%
16-196%

$196.5K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+90%
1510+85%

$15.5K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

$3.00-$3.5019%
$5.50-$6.0018%

$32.8K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T65%
↑$1.5T21%

$1.3M Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics12%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google51%
OpenAI40%

$11.4K Vol.weekly

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202716%

$716.9K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+65%
1.5–1.8T26%

$522.9K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$57.5K Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

076%
113%

$344.8K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO93%
Las Vegas, NV84%

$75.9K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic49%
Meta33%

$60.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+73%
$6.00-$6.507%

$102.5K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3196%
October 182%

$54.1K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-749%
<530%

$12.8K Vol.monthly

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft28%
Anthropic28%

$45.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+62%
$0.55-$0.6032%

$54.9K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Argon released by...?

January 3128%
December 3126%

$2.2K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
June 30, 202714%

$723.0K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+65%
$5.00-$5.5019%

$54.8K Vol.monthly

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%chance

$424.7K Vol.1 year left

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+43%
$1.00-$1.10T18%

$13.6K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5046%
↓ $5.0044%

$57.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.25+23%
$2.75-$3.0017%

$10.3K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH31%
$ANT15%

$126.0K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3093%
October 3178%

$15.1K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3133%
October 15<1%

$28.0K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3136%
November 3026%

$1.6M Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#318%
#16%

$277.5K Vol.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

$317.7K Vol.2 months left

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202623%

$439.9K Vol.

Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?

$46B68%
$44B61%

$1.3K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi58%
Alibaba27%

$210.1K Vol.monthly

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+69%
421%

$25.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0055%
↑ $7.0049%

$23.2K Vol.monthly

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202720%

$576.4K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Moonshot36%
Xiaomi17%

$3.0K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google32%
OpenAI22%

$17.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0056%
$0.50-$0.7524%

$16.8K Vol.monthly

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$293.6K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3191%
October 205%

$113.1K Vol.

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

December 3163%
October 3114%

$11.1K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta48%
Anthropic44%

$70.6K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic43%
Meta30%

$36.1K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3181%
November 3055%

$5.4K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

Google33%
OpenAI28%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

352%
4+16%

$2.6K Vol.

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+26%
60%+15%

$87.1K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba27%
Moonshot22%

$11.7K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3085%
October 3137%

$11.3K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI54%
Anthropic18%

$19.5K Vol.monthly

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Moonshot34%
Alibaba33%

$35.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↑ $3.5054%
↓ $2.2552%

$17.3K Vol.daily

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+45%
65%+25%

$108.5K Vol.

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202784%
June 30, 202742%

$17.7K Vol.

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

NASDAQ89%
NYSE10%

$1.8K Vol.

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T90%
$1.75T73%

$15.8K Vol.

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?

$20B70%
$21B69%

$698.4 Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T42%
$1.10-$1.20T33%

$15.6K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 315%
October 162%

$36.0K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0021%
$8.00-$8.5019%

$9.9K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+88%
$50+66%

$8.2K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3030%
October 3114%

$25.4K Vol.

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?

$95B76%
$100B73%

$633.0 Vol.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+84%
50%+36%

$102.9K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 154046%
↑ 155031%

$223.9K Vol.daily

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+81%
60%+34%

$142.5K Vol.

JIO Platforms IPO by...?

>99%chance

$6.5K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic50%
Google39%

$72.2K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta89%
Alibaba6%

$63.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic84%
OpenAI11%

$107.0K Vol.monthly

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%chance

$97.8K Vol.2 months left

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3193%
November 3068%

$9.7K Vol.

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?

$33.5B85%
$35.0B63%

$467.0 Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic78%
OpenAI16%

$19.8K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta37%
Anthropic25%

$34.0K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai35%
Meta34%

$63.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI24%

$51.8K Vol.monthly

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+23%
65%+8%

$137.3K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic27%
Meta24%

$22.3K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic94%
OpenAI4%

$77.4K Vol.monthly

ChatGPT Outage by...?

October 3188%
October 1557%

$1.2K Vol.monthly

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

26%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$454.7K Vol.

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3052%
October 3129%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba41%
Xiaomi32%

$12.5K Vol.monthly

Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?

92.5%+28%
90% to 92.5%23%

$383.7 Vol.

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?

$16.0B74%
$17.0B57%

$360.6 Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI65%
SpaceXAI10%

$14.9K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4550%
↓ $3038%

$10.7K Vol.annual

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+>99%
55%+82%

$10.0K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google57%
OpenAI28%

$38.4K Vol.monthly

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

June 30, 202771%
March 31, 202727%

$12.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0020%
$2.00-$2.5018%

$70.0K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Anthropic37%
Google32%

$13.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic43%
Google39%

$24.6K Vol.monthly

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+62%
50%+43%

$158.2K Vol.

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3160%
October 152%

$1.2K Vol.monthly

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202728%
December 31, 20268%

$30.2K Vol.

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$60B55%
↑$75B24%

$100.0K Vol.

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 319%
October 318%

$6.3K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.65-$0.7029%
$0.55-$0.6027%

$6.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI51%
Google27%

$61.6K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2567%
↑ $3049%

$14.5K Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202739%
December 31, 202610%

$78.4K Vol.

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3175%
November 3044%

$3.5K Vol.

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

47%chance

$7.6K Vol.15 days left

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google52%
Alibaba20%

$69.6K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google68%
Anthropic29%

$76.7K Vol.monthly

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3038%
October 3116%

$44.6K Vol.

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4559%
↓ $4056%

$21.2K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Google39%
Anthropic36%

$5.1K Vol.monthly

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$22.5B49%
↑$25B31%

$76.7K Vol.

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3163%
October 1510%

$25.0K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Meta27%
Z.ai19%

$16.4K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft16%
SpaceXAI12%

$101.8K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B81%
$1T75%

$1.6M Vol.

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3144%
November 3014%

$19.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$3.00+28%
$2.75-$3.0026%

$35.2K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202633%
October 31, 20261%

$485.0K Vol.

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

9%chance

$9.3K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+28%
$5.00-$5.5021%

$21.7K Vol.monthly

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%chance

$42.3K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

OpenAI80%
SpaceXAI4%

$25.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

Anthropic71%
OpenAI20%

$12.3K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

10%chance

$20.7K Vol.2 months left

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 202726%
December 31, 20262%

$63.2K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

18%chance

$76.9K Vol.2 months left

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T54%
625-675T18%

$17.1K Vol.monthly

Muse Charm released by...?

December 3162%
December 1542%

$2.6K Vol.

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+84%
$20+64%

$4.3K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google45%
Anthropic31%

$16.0K Vol.monthly

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3194%
October 3149%

$1.4K Vol.

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$200B79%
↑$225B20%

$145.2K Vol.

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

OpenAI85%
Google4%

$30.0K Vol.

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202762%
$40B-$50B12%

$37.8K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba33%
Xiaomi22%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+87%
1490+78%

$21.5K Vol.

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3122%
October 154%

$2.6K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Anthropic6%
OpenAI6%

$5.4K Vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $3048%
↓ $4046%

$13.1K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek96%
Google3%

$7.9K Vol.weekly

Deepseek IPO by...?

December 31, 202775%
September 30, 202762%

$51.7K Vol.

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?

$320M74%
$440M30%

$100.0 Vol.

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?

73% to 75%33%
71% to 73%28%

$140.0 Vol.

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$38.6K Vol.

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+38%
65%+17%

$169.6K Vol.

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
DeepSeek17%

$126.3K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156048%
158016%

$237.9K Vol.monthly

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

28%chance

$59.3K Vol.2 months left

SSI public model released by…?

December 3145%
November 3038%

$133.8K Vol.

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%chance

$30.6K Vol.2 months left

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba41%
Xiaomi28%

$52.5K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high78%
Other17%

$4.9K Vol.weekly

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic77%
OpenAI14%

$214.3K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1533%
↑ $2530%

$10.7K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI13%

$7.7K Vol.monthly