All markets
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
69%chance
- Yes69.5%
Outcomes
- Yes69%
69.5¢ per share
- No31%
30.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 69.5¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1¢ | 150 | $103.65 |
| 69¢ | 280 | $193.20 |
| 68.9¢ | 58 | $39.96 |
| 68.7¢ | 93.06 | $63.93 |
| 68¢ | 50 | $34.00 |
| 67.9¢ | 50 | $33.95 |
| 67.4¢ | 100 | $67.40 |
| 65¢ | 51 | $33.15 |
| 62¢ | 51 | $31.62 |
| 60.3¢ | 20 | $12.06 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 69.8¢ | 413.92 | $288.92 |
| 70¢ | 431 | $301.70 |
| 70.1¢ | 231 | $161.93 |
| 70.2¢ | 228.38 | $160.32 |
| 71¢ | 118 | $83.78 |
| 71.5¢ | 540 | $386.10 |
| 71.6¢ | 100 | $71.60 |
| 72¢ | 187 | $134.64 |
| 73¢ | 104.99 | $76.64 |
| 73.1¢ | 156.66 | $114.52 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.