All markets
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
4%chance
- Yes4%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.0¢ per share
- No96%
96.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4¢Spread 3.9¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2¢ | 49.99 | $1.00 |
| 1.8¢ | 56 | $1.01 |
| 1.6¢ | 7.49 | $0.12 |
| 1.5¢ | 101.97 | $1.53 |
| 0.6¢ | 18.06 | $0.11 |
| 0.5¢ | 26 | $0.13 |
| 0.4¢ | 16.42 | $0.07 |
| 0.3¢ | 113.6 | $0.34 |
| 0.2¢ | 499.26 | $1.00 |
| 0.1¢ | 2,307.57 | $2.31 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9¢ | 55 | $3.24 |
| 6¢ | 51 | $3.06 |
| 6.6¢ | 258.85 | $17.08 |
| 6.7¢ | 500 | $33.50 |
| 6.9¢ | 25 | $1.73 |
| 7¢ | 56.39 | $3.95 |
| 7.1¢ | 89.74 | $6.37 |
| 7.8¢ | 523 | $40.79 |
| 7.9¢ | 61.67 | $4.87 |
| 8.2¢ | 132.76 | $10.89 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.