All markets
Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026?
4%chance
- Yes3.9%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.9¢ per share
- No96%
96.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.9¢Spread 3.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1¢ | 40 | $0.84 |
| 2¢ | 49.99 | $1.00 |
| 1.8¢ | 56 | $1.01 |
| 1.6¢ | 7.49 | $0.12 |
| 1.5¢ | 101.97 | $1.53 |
| 0.6¢ | 18.06 | $0.11 |
| 0.5¢ | 26 | $0.13 |
| 0.3¢ | 28.85 | $0.09 |
| 0.2¢ | 439.26 | $0.88 |
| 0.1¢ | 2,037.57 | $2.04 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.7¢ | 25 | $1.43 |
| 5.8¢ | 70 | $4.06 |
| 6¢ | 51 | $3.06 |
| 6.6¢ | 48.75 | $3.22 |
| 6.7¢ | 276 | $18.49 |
| 6.8¢ | 200 | $13.60 |
| 6.9¢ | 25 | $1.73 |
| 7¢ | 25 | $1.75 |
| 7.1¢ | 93.84 | $6.66 |
| 8.8¢ | 40 | $3.52 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.