Politics

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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen39%
Édouard Philippe25%

$149.2M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1297%
October 1593%

$10.3M Vol.monthly

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance19%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$715.5M Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?

340-35933%
360-37931%

$2.7M Vol.weekly

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot45%
Benjamin Netanyahu34%

$45.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$377.1K Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.4M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

$180.1M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.0M Vol.

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3166%
December 3143%

$39.1M Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202716%

$636.0K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$73.4M Vol.2 months left

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$21.5M Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$918.1K Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets October 10 - October 12, 2026?

40-6476%
65-8919%

$353.3K Vol.daily

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)37%

$3.3M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%
Pedro Sánchez17%

$1.7M Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202723%

$658.3K Vol.

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 1297%
October 1592%

$253.4K Vol.

$3.4M Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202718%

$509.6K Vol.

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

220-23918%
240-25918%

$852.3K Vol.weekly

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202771%
November 30, 202768%

$8.5M Vol.

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

43%chance

$116.6K Vol.20 days left

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202720%

$187.0K Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 313%
October 311%

$72.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$68.7K Vol.

Who will Putin meet bilaterally in Turkmenistan?

Ilham Aliyev26%
Sadyr Japarov22%

$105.2K Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3116%
October 317%

$16.8M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202718%

$718.7K Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.3M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance

$43.9M Vol.2 months left

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3118%
October 319%

$180.2K Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance

$3.5M Vol.2 months left

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

5%chance

$23.9M Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?