
38%chance
38.0¢ per share
62.0¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 36.9¢ | 145 | $53.51 |
| 36.3¢ | 5 | $1.82 |
| 36.2¢ | 5 | $1.81 |
| 36¢ | 10 | $3.60 |
| 35.9¢ | 111.75 | $40.12 |
| 34.7¢ | 12.82 | $4.45 |
| 34.6¢ | 8.26 | $2.86 |
| 34.5¢ | 8.3 | $2.86 |
| 34.4¢ | 8.06 | $2.77 |
| 34.3¢ | 10 | $3.43 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 38.1¢ | 30 | $11.43 |
| 38.2¢ | 400 | $152.80 |
| 38.6¢ | 10 | $3.86 |
| 38.7¢ | 5 | $1.94 |
| 38.8¢ | 5 | $1.94 |
| 39¢ | 50 | $19.50 |
| 39.2¢ | 100 | $39.20 |
| 39.3¢ | 226 | $88.82 |
| 39.4¢ | 88.56 | $34.89 |
| 39.5¢ | 7 | $2.77 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.