All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
76%chance
- Yes75.5%
Outcomes
- Yes76%
75.5¢ per share
- No25%
24.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 76¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 75¢ | 96.9 | $72.68 |
| 74¢ | 349.38 | $258.54 |
| 73¢ | 113.6 | $82.93 |
| 72¢ | 200 | $144.00 |
| 70¢ | 120 | $84.00 |
| 69¢ | 160.68 | $110.87 |
| 67¢ | 8.72 | $5.84 |
| 66¢ | 38.02 | $25.09 |
| 64¢ | 99.36 | $63.59 |
| 63¢ | 90.42 | $56.96 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 77¢ | 977.73 | $752.85 |
| 78¢ | 527.81 | $411.69 |
| 79¢ | 336 | $265.44 |
| 80¢ | 945 | $756.00 |
| 81¢ | 848.91 | $687.62 |
| 82¢ | 872.13 | $715.15 |
| 83¢ | 508 | $421.64 |
| 84¢ | 35 | $29.40 |
| 85¢ | 523.39 | $444.88 |
| 86¢ | 299.47 | $257.54 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.