All markets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
18%chance
- Yes17.5%
Outcomes
- Yes18%
17.5¢ per share
- No83%
82.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 17.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 17¢ | 998.99 | $169.83 |
| 16¢ | 432.61 | $69.22 |
| 15¢ | 918 | $137.70 |
| 14¢ | 1,993.07 | $279.03 |
| 13¢ | 256 | $33.28 |
| 12¢ | 28.54 | $3.42 |
| 10¢ | 80 | $8.00 |
| 9¢ | 70.39 | $6.34 |
| 8¢ | 65 | $5.20 |
| 7¢ | 5 | $0.35 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 18¢ | 712.28 | $128.21 |
| 19¢ | 375.56 | $71.36 |
| 20¢ | 1,004 | $200.80 |
| 21¢ | 101.55 | $21.33 |
| 22¢ | 86 | $18.92 |
| 23¢ | 50 | $11.50 |
| 25¢ | 165 | $41.25 |
| 26¢ | 80.36 | $20.89 |
| 27¢ | 63 | $17.01 |
| 28¢ | 63 | $17.64 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.