All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
18%chance
- Yes17.5%
Outcomes
- Yes18%
17.5¢ per share
- No83%
82.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 17.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 17¢ | 928.37 | $157.82 |
| 16¢ | 269.85 | $43.18 |
| 15¢ | 1,453.54 | $218.03 |
| 14¢ | 1,890.25 | $264.64 |
| 13¢ | 774.69 | $100.71 |
| 12¢ | 28.59 | $3.43 |
| 10¢ | 570.55 | $57.06 |
| 9¢ | 15.47 | $1.39 |
| 8¢ | 10 | $0.80 |
| 7¢ | 932.63 | $65.28 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 18¢ | 702.61 | $126.47 |
| 19¢ | 791.4 | $150.37 |
| 20¢ | 1,212 | $242.40 |
| 21¢ | 210 | $44.10 |
| 23¢ | 66.88 | $15.38 |
| 25¢ | 170 | $42.50 |
| 26¢ | 89.36 | $23.23 |
| 27¢ | 72 | $19.44 |
| 28¢ | 72 | $20.16 |
| 29¢ | 55 | $15.95 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.