AI

228 events

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.5T86%
- ↑$1.75T70%
$5.7M Vol.

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T28%
$1.75–$2.0T24%

$1.8M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic28%

$2.6M Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3199%
October 3187%

$527.7K Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL21%

$605.6K Vol.

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia16%
Russia10%

$107.4K Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high90%
Other9%

$25.6K Vol.weekly

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic46%
Google40%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 2031%
October 2220%

$98.2K Vol.

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T37%
$1.50–$1.75T29%

$155.1K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Meta24%
Google17%

$20.6K Vol.monthly

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3193%
October 3127%

$295.3K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202717%

$260.5K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba21%
Moonshot14%

$11.6K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+92%
1420+84%

$72.8K Vol.

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202713%

$6.0M Vol.

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 2027>99%
$40B-$50B<1%

$44.2K Vol.

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high76%
Other19%

$11.0K Vol.weekly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI85%
Anthropic13%

$44.2K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic64%
Google25%

$66.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+73%
$0.55-$0.6021%

$58.1K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google29%
OpenAI23%

$22.1K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI50%
Anthropic26%

$14.1K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3136%
November 3028%

$1.6M Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta31%
OpenAI23%

$37.8K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+64%
$5.00-$5.5023%

$58.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI62%
Google28%

$65.2K Vol.monthly

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202722%

$773.0K Vol.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T65%
↑$1.5T16%

$1.3M Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3192%
October 203%

$116.4K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic45%
Google28%

$38.5K Vol.monthly

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics11%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1584%
16-197%

$196.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic44%
Google44%

$74.8K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+34%
1495+25%

$289.6K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic45%
Meta31%

$60.9K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta67%
Alibaba11%

$19.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$3.00-$3.5020%
$2.50-$3.0018%

$72.7K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+66%
1.5–1.8T23%

$523.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$2.50-$2.7530%
$3.00+26%

$37.7K Vol.monthly

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google45%
OpenAI33%

$11.9K Vol.weekly

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.20-$1.30T34%
$1.30T+33%

$14.6K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202752%
December 31, 202614%

$865.0K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Meta26%
Google21%

$18.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google52%
Anthropic26%

$34.7K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google45%
Anthropic32%

$18.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Google30%
Anthropic23%

$15.2K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+45%
No IPO by December 31, 202724%

$487.7K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai40%
Meta40%

$65.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Anthropic55%
Google28%

$30.3K Vol.monthly

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202660%
January 202717%

$385.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.00-$3.2523%
$3.25+22%

$10.7K Vol.monthly

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+79%
420%

$26.4K Vol.monthly

Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?

$42B83%
$44B71%

$2.1K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi59%
Alibaba27%

$211.6K Vol.monthly

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
June 30, 202714%

$723.0K Vol.

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANT35%
$ANTH35%

$126.2K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic27%
Meta23%

$24.2K Vol.monthly

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Moonshot36%
Z.ai21%

$36.9K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google53%
OpenAI29%

$40.0K Vol.monthly

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T60%
$1.10-$1.20T38%

$17.0K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI56%
Google13%

$21.3K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

26%chance

$11.1K Vol.15 days left

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T90%
$1.75T68%

$17.3K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta37%
Anthropic31%

$20.2K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+96%
1510+86%

$17.1K Vol.

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+88%
$50+67%

$9.7K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI74%
Google19%

$20.9K Vol.weekly

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google47%
Anthropic46%

$300.3K Vol.monthly

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#318%
#16%

$277.5K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-750%
<530%

$12.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

Google33%
OpenAI27%

$13.1K Vol.monthly

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202821%
December 31, 202712%

$693.5K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3095%
October 3163%

$15.5K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202623%

$440.0K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO92%
Las Vegas, NV84%

$76.9K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic87%
OpenAI12%

$108.3K Vol.monthly

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba27%
Xiaomi19%

$12.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic53%
Google36%

$75.1K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta52%
Anthropic20%

$70.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic90%
Google5%

$78.6K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3084%
October 3139%

$12.0K Vol.

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?

73% to 75%51%
75% to 77%20%

$1.1K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic39%
Google36%

$25.5K Vol.monthly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+75%
50%+39%

$103.6K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

Anthropic52%
Google37%

$10.9K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0045%
$0.50-$0.7524%

$17.8K Vol.monthly

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

December 3170%
October 3125%

$11.2K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

OpenAI76%
SpaceXAI4%

$26.1K Vol.monthly

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?

$20B83%
$21B74%

$867.5 Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+77%
60%+36%

$142.8K Vol.

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?

$95B87%
$100B82%

$853.0 Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI30%
Google20%

$6.3K Vol.monthly

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202784%
June 30, 202742%

$17.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI81%
SpaceXAI7%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Anthropic39%
Google35%

$14.2K Vol.monthly

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$294.2K Vol.

OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?

185-195T49%
175-185T29%

$776.9 Vol.weekly

OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22?

775T+35%
725-775T34%

$774.6 Vol.monthly

Deepseek IPO by...?

December 31, 202770%
September 30, 202762%

$52.5K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI51%
Anthropic20%

$29.8K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

9%chance

$9.6K Vol.2 months left

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T73%
625-675T16%

$17.8K Vol.monthly

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?

$33.5B83%
$35.0B73%

$668.3 Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0056%
↓ $3.5039%

$23.4K Vol.monthly

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?

$16.0B68%
$17.0B59%

$660.7 Vol.

Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?

82.5% to 85%25%
85% to 87.5%22%

$671.8 Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 316%
October 16<1%

$36.1K Vol.

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+21%
65%+8%

$137.5K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic78%
OpenAI17%

$20.5K Vol.monthly

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft31%
Anthropic28%

$45.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5046%
↓ $5.0043%

$57.7K Vol.monthly

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

NASDAQ89%
NYSE10%

$1.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+>99%
55%+87%

$10.2K Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202728%
December 31, 20268%

$30.5K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta88%
Alibaba6%

$63.6K Vol.monthly

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

349%
4+48%

$3.1K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 154046%
↑ 155028%

$224.1K Vol.daily

Next Gemini Argon released by...?

January 3134%
December 3125%

$2.4K Vol.

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0069%
$1.00-$1.2526%

$49.8K Vol.monthly

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%chance

$97.8K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↑ $3.5055%
↓ $2.2551%

$17.5K Vol.daily

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+19%
60%+9%

$87.3K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

Meta40%
Anthropic19%

$21.1K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Xiaomi39%
Alibaba36%

$12.5K Vol.monthly

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

077%
113%

$344.8K Vol.

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202720%

$576.4K Vol.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+40%
65%+23%

$108.6K Vol.

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%chance

$425.0K Vol.1 year left

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft14%
Google12%

$102.1K Vol.

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 319%
October 317%

$6.7K Vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture20%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)19%

$60.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+79%
$6.00-$6.5015%

$43.9K Vol.monthly

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

October 3156%
November 3056%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

November 3074%
October 3117%

$5.1K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$57.7K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

OpenAI9%
Anthropic6%

$5.7K Vol.

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

37%chance

$7.8K Vol.15 days left

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+84%
1490+77%

$21.6K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3021%
October 3113%

$25.4K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

9%chance

$20.9K Vol.2 months left

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202637%
October 31, 20263%

$485.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

$7.50+22%
$5.50-$6.0018%

$33.1K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1550%
↑ $2530%

$10.9K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic50%
Meta13%

$214.6K Vol.monthly

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba40%
Moonshot24%

$52.7K Vol.monthly

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202716%

$716.9K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Google42%
Anthropic33%

$5.3K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4560%
↓ $4039%

$10.8K Vol.annual

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+76%
$6.00-$6.508%

$102.7K Vol.monthly

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Moonshot35%
Alibaba17%

$3.2K Vol.monthly

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+59%
50%+37%

$158.2K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3145%
November 3014%

$19.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+47%
$5.00-$5.5022%

$21.8K Vol.monthly

$13.2K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Moonshot29%
Alibaba23%

$11.5K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3195%
November 3070%

$9.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

Anthropic71%
OpenAI22%

$12.3K Vol.monthly

JIO Platforms IPO by...?

>99%chance

$6.5K Vol.2 months left

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 202725%
December 31, 20262%

$63.2K Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3195%
October 181%

$54.1K Vol.

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

28%chance

$59.4K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Google64%
ByteDance20%

$12.2K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google57%
Alibaba20%

$69.7K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3186%
November 3056%

$5.4K Vol.

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

November 3039%
October 3131%

$26.4K Vol.monthly

What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $1536%
↓ $832%

$6.1K Vol.

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?

$320M73%
$400M31%

$100.0 Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba36%
Xiaomi22%

$7.0K Vol.monthly

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

June 30, 202771%
March 31, 202726%

$12.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0025%
$7.50-$8.0021%

$9.9K Vol.monthly

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+82%
$20+68%

$4.3K Vol.

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$38.6K Vol.

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2574%
↑ $3049%

$14.6K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google70%
Anthropic27%

$76.8K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI47%
Google25%

$11.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Anthropic65%
OpenAI19%

$17.2K Vol.monthly

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

31%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

13%chance

$9.4K Vol.2 months left

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4560%
↓ $4056%

$21.2K Vol.

Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$50B3%
↑$42.5B3%

$82.1K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

Anthropic83%
Nvidia5%

$7.2K Vol.monthly

SB Energy IPO by...?

December 3132%
October 317%

$10.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Google76%
ByteDance14%

$47.8K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

$OA42%
$OAI42%

$21.3K Vol.

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
ByteDance17%

$126.3K Vol.

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

24%chance

$5.0K Vol.2 months left

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3174%
November 3042%

$3.5K Vol.

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$454.7K Vol.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

22%chance

$62.1K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Google50%
ByteDance32%

$9.2K Vol.monthly

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+68%
$50+44%

$6.2K Vol.

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 202865%
<20B8%

$149.8K Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+77%
1520+61%

$7.9K Vol.

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3037%
October 3115%

$44.6K Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202739%
December 31, 202610%

$78.4K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.65-$0.7025%
$0.55-$0.6024%

$6.4K Vol.monthly

SSI public model released by…?

November 3039%
December 3135%

$133.8K Vol.

Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above __?

$9.25B86%
$9.75B29%

$40.1 Vol.

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$200B79%
↑$225B19%

$145.2K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3061%
October 3116%

$10.5K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+95%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$525.5K Vol.

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

6%chance

$63.6K Vol.2 months left

What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $822%
↑ $159%

$5.8K Vol.

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

84%chance

$29.2K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B80%
$1T67%

$1.6M Vol.

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

MiniMax84%
Google16%

$22.3K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google33%
Alibaba18%

$13.4K Vol.monthly

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?

December 3130%
October 312%

$3.3K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3148%
December 3127%

$1.0K Vol.

Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?

March 3158%
January 3128%

$659.0 Vol.monthly

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

December 3138%
January 3135%

$1.7K Vol.

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3194%
October 3148%

$1.4K Vol.

New MAI thinking model released by...?

62%chance

$828.7 Vol.2 months left

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+36%
40%+35%

$104.4K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

157532%
160011%

$141.8K Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

$317.7K Vol.2 months left

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Anthropic41%
Meta10%

$18.0K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic94%
OpenAI2%

$42.4K Vol.monthly

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

11%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?

December 3149%
October 313%

$1.4K Vol.

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

8%chance

$3.6K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

60%chance

$3.7K Vol.1 year left

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%chance

$88.2 Vol.2 months left

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$718.0K Vol.