AI

212 events

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.5T86%
- ↑$1.75T70%
$5.7M Vol.

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T28%
$1.75–$2.0T24%

$1.8M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic28%

$2.6M Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3199%
October 3187%

$527.0K Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL21%

$605.6K Vol.

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia16%
Russia10%

$107.4K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic46%
Google40%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high90%
Other10%

$25.5K Vol.weekly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 2031%
October 2220%

$97.8K Vol.

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T38%
$1.50–$1.75T31%

$153.3K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202717%

$260.5K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Meta24%
Google17%

$20.5K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+45%
No IPO by December 31, 202724%

$487.7K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3193%
October 3128%

$295.0K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+92%
1420+84%

$72.8K Vol.

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202713%

$6.0M Vol.

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202799%
$80B-$100B<1%

$44.2K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba29%
Moonshot16%

$10.8K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high73%
Other22%

$10.9K Vol.weekly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI82%
Anthropic13%

$44.2K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic64%
Google26%

$66.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+61%
$5.00-$5.5023%

$58.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+72%
$0.55-$0.6021%

$58.1K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google34%
OpenAI23%

$21.6K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+36%
1500+25%

$289.5K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI53%
Anthropic26%

$14.0K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3136%
November 3024%

$1.6M Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta34%
Anthropic24%

$37.8K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3192%
October 203%

$116.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Anthropic47%
Google46%

$300.3K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI60%
Google26%

$65.1K Vol.monthly

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202722%

$773.0K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google60%
OpenAI32%

$11.9K Vol.weekly

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T65%
↑$1.5T16%

$1.3M Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic42%
Google25%

$38.5K Vol.monthly

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1584%
16-197%

$196.8K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics12%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic44%
Google44%

$74.8K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+66%
1.5–1.8T23%

$523.8K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic45%
Meta31%

$60.9K Vol.monthly

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI70%
Google26%

$20.6K Vol.weekly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta66%
Alibaba13%

$19.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$3.00-$3.5019%
$2.50-$3.0017%

$72.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$2.50-$2.7530%
$2.75-$3.0025%

$37.6K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Meta26%
Z.ai20%

$18.9K Vol.monthly

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.20-$1.30T30%
$1.30T+29%

$14.4K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google52%
Anthropic26%

$34.7K Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202752%
December 31, 202614%

$864.9K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Google30%
Anthropic27%

$15.2K Vol.monthly

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO92%
Las Vegas, NV84%

$76.6K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Meta42%
Z.ai35%

$65.7K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi59%
Alibaba27%

$211.6K Vol.monthly

Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?

$42B96%
$44B78%

$2.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.25+31%
$2.75-$3.0020%

$10.6K Vol.monthly

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
June 30, 202714%

$723.0K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+77%
420%

$26.3K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+96%
1510+86%

$17.1K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI54%
Google13%

$20.7K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T91%
$1.75T68%

$17.2K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google53%
OpenAI28%

$40.0K Vol.monthly

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T55%
$1.10-$1.20T32%

$17.0K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

26%chance

$11.1K Vol.15 days left

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Moonshot36%
Z.ai24%

$36.8K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH35%
$ANT18%

$126.0K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta34%
Anthropic28%

$20.2K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+88%
$50+67%

$9.7K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#318%
#16%

$277.5K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-750%
<530%

$12.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

Google35%
OpenAI26%

$13.1K Vol.monthly

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft30%
Anthropic28%

$45.1K Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202821%
December 31, 202712%

$693.5K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3095%
October 3167%

$15.5K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic87%
OpenAI10%

$108.3K Vol.monthly

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba27%
Xiaomi19%

$12.4K Vol.monthly

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202624%

$439.9K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic53%
Google36%

$75.1K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic27%
Meta24%

$23.5K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3085%
October 3139%

$12.0K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta51%
Anthropic46%

$70.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic90%
Google5%

$78.6K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Argon released by...?

January 3134%
December 3122%

$2.2K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

OpenAI79%
SpaceXAI6%

$26.1K Vol.monthly

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202660%
January 202721%

$383.7K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic78%
OpenAI17%

$20.5K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic43%
Google37%

$25.5K Vol.monthly

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

December 3169%
October 3125%

$11.2K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

Anthropic50%
Google37%

$10.9K Vol.monthly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+75%
50%+43%

$103.6K Vol.

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0045%
$0.50-$0.7523%

$17.8K Vol.monthly

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?

73% to 75%50%
<71%21%

$953.5 Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI76%
SpaceXAI9%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+77%
60%+35%

$142.8K Vol.

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202784%
June 30, 202742%

$17.8K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$57.7K Vol.

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?

$100B81%
$95B74%

$813.0 Vol.

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?

$20B85%
$21B71%

$812.9 Vol.

Deepseek IPO by...?

December 31, 202773%
September 30, 202762%

$52.5K Vol.

OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22?

775T+34%
725-775T31%

$752.1 Vol.monthly

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202716%

$716.9K Vol.

OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?

185-195T50%
165-175T24%

$709.1 Vol.weekly

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3186%
November 3056%

$5.4K Vol.

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?

$33.5B84%
$35.0B73%

$668.3 Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0070%
↑ $7.0045%

$23.3K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 316%
October 16<1%

$36.1K Vol.

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

NASDAQ89%
NYSE10%

$1.8K Vol.

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+21%
65%+8%

$137.5K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5046%
↓ $5.0043%

$57.7K Vol.monthly

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$293.9K Vol.

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 319%
October 317%

$6.7K Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202728%
December 31, 20268%

$30.5K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

4+46%
344%

$3.0K Vol.

Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?

90% to 92.5%24%
85% to 87.5%22%

$563.8 Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta88%
Alibaba6%

$63.6K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 154046%
↑ 155028%

$224.1K Vol.daily

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0069%
$1.00-$1.2526%

$49.8K Vol.monthly

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%chance

$97.8K Vol.2 months left

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+26%
60%+14%

$87.1K Vol.

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?

$16.0B62%
$17.0B57%

$460.6 Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↑ $3.5053%
↓ $2.2552%

$17.4K Vol.daily

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Anthropic37%
Google32%

$13.9K Vol.monthly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T73%
625-675T17%

$17.5K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+>99%
55%+81%

$10.1K Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3196%
October 181%

$54.1K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Xiaomi38%
Alibaba38%

$12.5K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+45%
65%+22%

$108.6K Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

077%
113%

$344.8K Vol.

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202720%

$576.4K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Moonshot36%
Xiaomi19%

$3.2K Vol.monthly

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%chance

$425.0K Vol.1 year left

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft14%
SpaceXAI12%

$102.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+79%
$6.00-$6.5014%

$43.9K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

OpenAI9%
Google6%

$5.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+76%
$6.00-$6.507%

$102.7K Vol.monthly

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

60%chance

$7.8K Vol.15 days left

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3055%
October 3147%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+84%
1490+77%

$21.6K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic50%
Meta14%

$214.6K Vol.monthly

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+67%
50%+37%

$158.2K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

$7.50+20%
$5.50-$6.0017%

$33.1K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3023%
October 3114%

$25.4K Vol.

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

November 3067%
October 3117%

$5.1K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

9%chance

$20.9K Vol.2 months left

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

Meta40%
Anthropic19%

$20.9K Vol.monthly

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba41%
Xiaomi22%

$52.7K Vol.monthly

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

62%chance

$10.0K Vol.15 days left

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Moonshot27%
Xiaomi20%

$11.5K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2574%
↑ $3049%

$14.6K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Google42%
Anthropic34%

$5.3K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4563%
↓ $4040%

$10.8K Vol.annual

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3145%
November 3014%

$19.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+47%
$5.00-$5.5022%

$21.8K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202637%
October 31, 20261%

$485.0K Vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4056%
↓ $3049%

$13.2K Vol.

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3193%
November 3070%

$9.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

Anthropic71%
OpenAI22%

$12.3K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0025%
$8.00-$8.5019%

$9.9K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI65%
Anthropic19%

$29.3K Vol.monthly

JIO Platforms IPO by...?

>99%chance

$6.5K Vol.2 months left

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 202725%
December 31, 20262%

$63.2K Vol.

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

19%chance

$2.0K Vol.15 days left

Muse Charm released by...?

December 3163%
December 1540%

$2.6K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google47%
Anthropic33%

$16.1K Vol.monthly

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

28%chance

$59.4K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Google61%
ByteDance21%

$12.2K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google52%
Alibaba19%

$69.7K Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

$317.7K Vol.2 months left

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

November 3035%
October 3131%

$26.4K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1550%
↑ $2527%

$10.8K Vol.

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?

$320M72%
$360M28%

$100.0 Vol.

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

June 30, 202771%
March 31, 202726%

$12.7K Vol.

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+83%
$20+65%

$4.3K Vol.

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$38.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI13%

$7.7K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4561%
↓ $4056%

$21.2K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google70%
Anthropic27%

$76.8K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI47%
Google24%

$11.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Anthropic58%
OpenAI15%

$17.2K Vol.monthly

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

31%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156048%
158020%

$237.9K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI25%
Google23%

$5.6K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3175%
November 3044%

$3.5K Vol.

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

$CGPT44%
$OAI41%

$21.3K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Anthropic54%
Google34%

$28.1K Vol.monthly

Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$42.5B3%
↑$45B2%

$82.1K Vol.

SB Energy IPO by...?

December 3132%
October 318%

$10.8K Vol.

What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $823%
↑ $158%

$5.8K Vol.

What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $1536%
↓ $832%

$6.1K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Google75%
ByteDance14%

$47.8K Vol.monthly

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
ByteDance17%

$126.3K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.65-$0.7022%
$0.75+21%

$6.4K Vol.monthly

$9.2K Vol.monthly

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

11%chance

$9.3K Vol.2 months left

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$454.7K Vol.

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 202865%
<20B8%

$149.8K Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+79%
1520+61%

$7.9K Vol.

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

None in 202664%
Google16%

$134.6K Vol.

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3035%
October 3115%

$44.6K Vol.

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

87%chance

$29.2K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

7%chance

$11.9K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

Anthropic82%
Nvidia5%

$7.1K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

January 3142%
December 3137%

$1.7K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

157531%
160011%

$141.8K Vol.monthly

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$60.5K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

Anthropic89%
Google6%

$9.7K Vol.monthly

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

6%chance

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?

January 3153%
December 3152%

$295.0 Vol.

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3148%
December 3123%

$981.6 Vol.

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?

February 2851%
December 3139%

$1.2K Vol.monthly

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3153%
October 3118%

$5.1K Vol.