AI

191 events

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.5T86%
- ↑$1.75T71%
$5.7M Vol.

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T26%
$1.75–$2.0T24%

$1.8M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic29%

$2.6M Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3199%
October 3187%

$526.1K Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL18%

$604.9K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic46%
Google40%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia16%
Russia10%

$107.1K Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high85%
Other13%

$24.3K Vol.weekly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 2032%
October 2221%

$97.6K Vol.

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.50–$1.75T31%
$1.75–$2.00T31%

$152.3K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202717%

$260.5K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3193%
October 3128%

$295.0K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+45%
No IPO by December 31, 202726%

$487.7K Vol.

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202713%

$6.0M Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+93%
1420+84%

$72.8K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Meta25%
Google22%

$18.8K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high74%
Other22%

$10.9K Vol.weekly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI82%
Anthropic13%

$44.1K Vol.monthly

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202798%
$40B-$50B<1%

$43.3K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic64%
Google25%

$66.6K Vol.monthly

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI70%
Google26%

$20.6K Vol.weekly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+38%
1495+27%

$289.4K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3136%
November 3026%

$1.6M Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3191%
October 204%

$116.4K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google34%
OpenAI23%

$20.4K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta34%
Anthropic24%

$37.3K Vol.monthly

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1584%
16-197%

$196.8K Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202722%

$772.8K Vol.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T64%
↑$1.5T21%

$1.3M Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics12%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic42%
Google25%

$38.3K Vol.monthly

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202716%

$716.9K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google51%
OpenAI30%

$11.4K Vol.weekly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Google44%
Anthropic44%

$74.7K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI52%
Anthropic33%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

077%
113%

$344.8K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI59%
Google26%

$64.2K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta66%
Alibaba13%

$19.2K Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202752%
December 31, 202614%

$864.7K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic48%
Meta31%

$60.7K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Meta26%
Google20%

$18.9K Vol.monthly

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO92%
Las Vegas, NV83%

$76.3K Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+30%
$1.20-$1.30T30%

$14.4K Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202821%
December 31, 202712%

$693.5K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+62%
1.5–1.8T24%

$523.2K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Google30%
Anthropic27%

$15.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+69%
$0.55-$0.6021%

$55.1K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Meta42%
Z.ai34%

$65.5K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi59%
Alibaba27%

$211.3K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.25+31%
$2.75-$3.0020%

$10.6K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google52%
Anthropic25%

$34.3K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0045%
$0.50-$0.7523%

$17.8K Vol.monthly

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+75%
421%

$26.3K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+66%
$5.00-$5.5018%

$54.9K Vol.monthly

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
June 30, 202714%

$723.0K Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T54%
$1.10-$1.20T32%

$17.0K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

20%chance

$11.1K Vol.15 days left

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH35%
$ANT15%

$126.0K Vol.

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+88%
$50+66%

$9.7K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta34%
Anthropic29%

$20.1K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic27%
Meta23%

$23.5K Vol.monthly

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-751%
<530%

$12.8K Vol.monthly

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202660%
January 202721%

$383.7K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#318%
#16%

$277.5K Vol.

Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?

$42B75%
$46B65%

$1.5K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft30%
Anthropic28%

$45.1K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3095%
October 3158%

$15.4K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic87%
OpenAI10%

$108.2K Vol.monthly

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202623%

$439.9K Vol.

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3085%
October 3140%

$11.9K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Moonshot36%
Xiaomi19%

$3.2K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Argon released by...?

January 3131%
December 3123%

$2.2K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

OpenAI79%
SpaceXAI4%

$26.1K Vol.monthly

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202720%

$576.4K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic53%
Google36%

$74.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI4%

$78.5K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic43%
Google37%

$25.5K Vol.monthly

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

December 3169%
October 3115%

$11.2K Vol.

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T87%
$1.75T70%

$16.3K Vol.

ChatGPT Outage by...?

October 3197%
October 1577%

$1.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google53%
OpenAI31%

$39.1K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$2.50-$2.7530%
$2.75-$3.0026%

$36.0K Vol.monthly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+77%
50%+44%

$103.5K Vol.

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?

73% to 75%49%
<71%22%

$953.5 Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

Anthropic50%
Google37%

$10.8K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta51%
Anthropic45%

$70.6K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

Google37%
OpenAI27%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

Deepseek IPO by...?

December 31, 202773%
September 30, 202762%

$52.5K Vol.

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%chance

$425.0K Vol.1 year left

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba27%
Moonshot21%

$11.8K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$57.7K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI54%
Anthropic17%

$19.5K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 154046%
↑ 155028%

$224.1K Vol.daily

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↑ $7.0046%
↓ $4.0040%

$23.3K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+45%
65%+24%

$108.5K Vol.

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3185%
November 3056%

$5.4K Vol.

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

NASDAQ89%
NYSE10%

$1.8K Vol.

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?

$100B85%
$95B82%

$713.0 Vol.

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?

$20B88%
$21B80%

$703.7 Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

349%
4+37%

$2.9K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$293.9K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0025%
$8.00-$8.5020%

$9.9K Vol.monthly

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202784%
June 30, 202742%

$17.7K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI75%
SpaceXAI10%

$15.2K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 315%
October 16<1%

$36.1K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+81%
60%+36%

$142.6K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta88%
Alibaba6%

$63.6K Vol.monthly

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 3110%
October 317%

$6.7K Vol.

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?

$33.5B81%
$35.0B74%

$568.3 Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202728%
December 31, 20268%

$30.5K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Moonshot36%
Alibaba31%

$35.5K Vol.monthly

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+27%
60%+14%

$87.1K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+90%
1510+85%

$15.5K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5046%
↓ $5.0044%

$57.6K Vol.monthly

$19.9K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↑ $3.5055%
↓ $2.2555%

$17.4K Vol.daily

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Anthropic37%
Google32%

$13.9K Vol.monthly

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+23%
65%+8%

$137.3K Vol.

Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?

92.5%+31%
85% to 87.5%25%

$453.8 Vol.

OpenRouter AI token usage Oct 26 to Nov 22?

725-775T32%
775T+22%

$452.3 Vol.monthly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T71%
625-675T18%

$17.4K Vol.monthly

OpenRouter token usage week of October 19?

185-195T39%
175-185T34%

$398.2 Vol.weekly

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3196%
October 222%

$54.1K Vol.

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3054%
October 3130%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba38%
Xiaomi37%

$12.5K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+>99%
55%+80%

$10.0K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

OpenAI9%
Anthropic6%

$5.7K Vol.

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?

$16.0B60%
$17.0B57%

$360.6 Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

9%chance

$20.9K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+76%
$6.00-$6.507%

$102.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+79%
$6.00-$6.5014%

$43.9K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2567%
↑ $3049%

$14.6K Vol.

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

June 30, 202771%
March 31, 202726%

$12.7K Vol.

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

50%chance

$7.8K Vol.15 days left

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3193%
November 3070%

$9.7K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba41%
Xiaomi22%

$52.7K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3030%
October 3114%

$25.4K Vol.

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+62%
50%+43%

$158.2K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+76%
1500+55%

$21.6K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba31%
Xiaomi22%

$3.5K Vol.monthly

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

62%chance

$10.0K Vol.15 days left

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+47%
$5.00-$5.5022%

$21.8K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4561%
↓ $4056%

$21.2K Vol.

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3037%
October 3115%

$44.6K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic50%
Meta14%

$214.5K Vol.monthly

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

November 3053%
October 3118%

$5.0K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4550%
↓ $3039%

$10.7K Vol.annual

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3144%
November 3014%

$19.7K Vol.

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 202725%
December 31, 20262%

$63.2K Vol.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202640%
October 31, 20261%

$485.0K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

Anthropic71%
OpenAI22%

$12.3K Vol.monthly

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

12%chance

$9.3K Vol.2 months left

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google52%
Moonshot19%

$69.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Google40%
Anthropic34%

$5.2K Vol.monthly

Muse Charm released by...?

December 3163%
December 1541%

$2.6K Vol.

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$60B55%
↑$75B24%

$100.0K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Google62%
ByteDance23%

$12.2K Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

$317.7K Vol.2 months left

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

28%chance

$59.4K Vol.2 months left

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

30%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4051%
↓ $3048%

$13.2K Vol.

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

21%chance

$2.0K Vol.15 days left

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

November 3032%
October 3131%

$26.4K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3176%
November 3043%

$3.5K Vol.

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$200B80%
↑$225B19%

$145.2K Vol.

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+65%

$4.3K Vol.

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3194%
October 3131%

$1.4K Vol.

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Earbuds/Headphones16%
Glasses14%

$454.7K Vol.

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?

$320M73%
$400M33%

$100.0 Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Google50%
ByteDance31%

$9.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.65-$0.7022%
$0.75+21%

$6.4K Vol.monthly

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$38.6K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Moonshot27%
Alibaba21%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI13%

$7.7K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI47%
Google25%

$11.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Anthropic58%
OpenAI16%

$17.2K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $825%
↑ $159%

$5.8K Vol.

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

17%chance

$1.8K Vol.2 months left

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

22%chance

$62.1K Vol.2 months left

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?

December 3125%
October 312%

$3.3K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+36%
40%+35%

$104.4K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3061%
October 3116%

$10.5K Vol.

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

None in 202667%
Google16%

$134.6K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Anthropic53%
Google35%

$28.1K Vol.monthly

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

14%chance

$45.0K Vol.2 months left

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+95%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$525.5K Vol.

Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above __?

$9.25B76%
$9.75B28%

$40.1 Vol.

What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $832%
↑ $1531%

$6.0K Vol.

AI

OpenAI resumes training by...?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

JIO Platforms IPO by...?

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?